Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

71
+13.2%
30d Return
88%
Win Rate
8
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+56 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,625.18
Current Value
$10,224.02
Period P&L
$1,598.83
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
16 / 7
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-3.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$415,002.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,598.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,598.83
Gross Return
+18.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,625.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $50.71 170 $8,620.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.08 170 $8,514.45 $8,534.24 $-106.25
(-1.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $50.08 170 $8,512.75
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $51.24 170 $8,710.80 $8,732.29 +$198.05
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $51.53 169 $8,709.41
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET $51.37 169 $8,681.53 $8,704.40 $-27.89
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:15pm ET $51.13 170 $8,692.95
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $52.17 170 $8,868.05 $8,879.50 +$175.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $50.98 174 $8,870.57
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $49.22 174 $8,563.41 $8,572.34 $-307.16
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $47.76 179 $8,549.04
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.14 179 $8,259.06 $8,282.36 $-289.98
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:35am ET $48.18 171 $8,238.78
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $46.53 171 $7,957.48 $8,001.06 $-281.30
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $43.89 182 $7,987.98
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $44.83 182 $8,159.06 $8,172.14 +$171.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $44.54 183 $8,150.82
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET $45.51 183 $8,329.24 $8,350.56 +$178.42
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET $46.19 180 $8,313.30
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:45am ET $47.21 180 $8,496.90 $8,534.16 +$183.60
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $47.56 179 $8,513.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET $48.66 179 $8,710.14 $8,731.06 +$196.90
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $49.98 174 $8,696.52
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET $51.04 174 $8,880.96 $8,915.50 +$184.44
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $52.08 171 $8,905.68
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $53.15 171 $9,088.65 $9,098.47 +$182.97
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.85 172 $9,089.34
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.17 172 $8,802.10 $8,811.23 $-287.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.67 177 $8,791.59
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $50.90 177 $9,009.30 $9,028.94 +$217.71
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $49.47 182 $9,004.12
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.55 182 $9,200.10 $9,224.92 +$195.98
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $52.35 176 $9,214.48
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.73 176 $9,456.48 $9,466.92 +$242.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $52.18 181 $9,444.58
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.33 181 $9,653.63 $9,675.97 +$209.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.01 186 $9,672.93
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $53.20 186 $9,895.20 $9,898.24 +$222.27
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $54.47 181 $9,859.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $55.62 181 $10,067.22 $10,105.49 +$207.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $55.46 182 $10,092.81
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $56.64 182 $10,308.48 $10,321.16 +$215.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $55.79 184 $10,266.17
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.99 184 $10,486.16 $10,541.15 +$219.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:55am ET $56.51 186 $10,511.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:05am ET $54.81 186 $10,194.66 $10,224.02 $-317.13
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,224.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$224.02
Total Return: +2.24%
Back to Rebel Contraire