Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 25 trades in period

-17.61%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,449.40
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$16,324.03
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:30

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 33.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.8%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.2 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,324.03
Current Value
$13,449.40
Period P&L
$-2,874.61
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-5.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$692,571.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,874.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,874.61
Gross Return
-17.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,324.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $61.73 264 $16,296.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET $62.97 264 $16,624.05 $16,651.34 +$327.33
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $65.65 253 $16,609.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 253 $15,696.37 $15,738.29 $-913.05
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $63.97 246 $15,737.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 246 $16,213.86 $16,214.30 +$476.01
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $67.65 239 $16,169.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 239 $15,205.90 $15,250.65 $-963.65
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $65.55 232 $15,207.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET $63.47 232 $14,725.04 $14,768.09 $-482.56
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET $68.92 214 $14,748.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $66.82 214 $14,300.55 $14,319.76 $-448.33
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $69.14 207 $14,310.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $67.04 207 $13,878.31 $13,887.13 $-432.63
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $71.42 194 $13,854.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $73.87 194 $14,330.78 $14,363.40 +$476.27
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $72.57 197 $14,296.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $70.28 197 $13,844.18 $13,911.29 $-452.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $70.38 197 $13,863.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $68.26 197 $13,447.22 $13,494.64 $-416.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $69.19 195 $13,492.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 195 $12,807.60 $12,810.17 $-684.47
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $64.85 197 $12,775.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 197 $13,125.91 $13,160.63 +$350.46
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:25am ET $69.35 189 $13,107.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $66.32 189 $12,533.54 $12,586.90 $-573.73
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:20am ET $66.39 189 $12,548.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.50 189 $13,135.50 $13,173.75 +$586.85
(+4.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:45am ET $73.25 179 $13,112.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.95 179 $13,774.05 $13,835.44 +$661.69
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $76.82 180 $13,826.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $78.40 180 $14,111.98 $14,120.72 +$285.28
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $79.36 177 $14,046.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $76.81 177 $13,595.37 $13,669.37 $-451.35
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $69.53 196 $13,627.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $66.54 196 $13,041.84 $13,083.33 $-586.04
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:45am ET $68.79 190 $13,071.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.19 190 $13,146.10 $13,158.38 +$75.05
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $67.51 194 $13,096.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $69.00 194 $13,386.97 $13,448.41 +$290.03
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:50am ET $67.68 198 $13,401.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $64.19 198 $12,709.62 $12,756.40 $-692.01
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $61.71 206 $12,712.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $59.32 206 $12,219.38 $12,263.77 $-492.63
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.80 208 $12,230.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $60.05 208 $12,491.36 $12,524.73 +$260.96
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $61.33 204 $12,510.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.29 204 $13,114.14 $13,128.57 +$603.84
(+4.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $63.13 207 $13,067.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $64.68 207 $13,388.74 $13,449.40 +$320.83
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,449.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,449.40
Total Return: +34.49%
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