Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 29 trades in period

-22.05%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,173.75
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$16,899.37
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-13.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,899.37
Current Value
$13,173.75
Period P&L
$-3,725.60
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+4.68%
Worst Trade
-5.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$932,005.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,725.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,725.60
Gross Return
-22.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,899.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $74.87 225 $16,845.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $72.49 225 $16,310.27 $16,363.83 $-535.52
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $66.49 246 $16,355.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $69.49 246 $17,094.54 $17,103.06 +$739.23
(+4.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:10am ET $70.93 241 $17,095.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $73.05 241 $17,605.05 $17,612.78 +$509.72
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:05am ET $78.83 223 $17,578.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $80.46 223 $17,943.69 $17,977.50 +$364.72
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $79.03 227 $17,938.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $81.83 227 $18,575.41 $18,614.24 +$636.74
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $78.28 237 $18,551.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $80.00 237 $18,958.82 $19,021.88 +$407.64
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.59 224 $18,948.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.32 224 $18,215.68 $18,289.27 $-732.61
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.99 247 $18,275.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET $75.50 247 $18,648.48 $18,662.22 +$372.95
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:45am ET $75.72 246 $18,628.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $73.14 246 $17,992.44 $18,026.31 $-635.91
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $76.27 236 $17,999.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $77.90 236 $18,384.40 $18,410.92 +$384.61
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $79.96 230 $18,391.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $77.46 230 $17,815.80 $17,834.77 $-576.15
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $76.86 232 $17,832.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $74.11 232 $17,192.36 $17,194.71 $-640.06
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $72.73 236 $17,164.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $69.52 236 $16,406.72 $16,436.44 $-758.27
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $61.76 266 $16,428.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $63.25 266 $16,824.50 $16,832.78 +$396.34
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $63.44 265 $16,811.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $61.52 265 $16,302.80 $16,324.01 $-508.77
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $61.73 264 $16,296.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET $62.97 264 $16,624.05 $16,651.34 +$327.33
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $65.65 253 $16,609.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 253 $15,696.37 $15,738.29 $-913.05
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $63.97 246 $15,737.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 246 $16,213.86 $16,214.30 +$476.01
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $67.65 239 $16,169.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 239 $15,205.90 $15,250.65 $-963.65
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $65.55 232 $15,207.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:20am ET $63.47 232 $14,725.04 $14,768.09 $-482.56
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET $68.92 214 $14,748.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $66.82 214 $14,300.55 $14,319.76 $-448.33
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET $69.14 207 $14,310.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $67.04 207 $13,878.31 $13,887.13 $-432.63
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $71.42 194 $13,854.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $73.87 194 $14,330.78 $14,363.40 +$476.27
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $72.57 197 $14,296.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $70.28 197 $13,844.18 $13,911.29 $-452.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $70.38 197 $13,863.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $68.26 197 $13,447.22 $13,494.64 $-416.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $69.19 195 $13,492.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 195 $12,807.60 $12,810.17 $-684.47
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $64.85 197 $12,775.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 197 $13,125.91 $13,160.63 +$350.46
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:25am ET $69.35 189 $13,107.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $66.32 189 $12,533.54 $12,586.90 $-573.73
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
29 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:20am ET $66.39 189 $12,548.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $69.50 189 $13,135.50 $13,173.75 +$586.85
(+4.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,173.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,173.75
Total Return: +31.74%
Back to Rebel Contraire