SNOW Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 33 trades in period
+56.75%
Last 3 Months Return
$22,896.20
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,607.19
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
44.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 44.1
30-Day Momentum
70
+28.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.9
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,607.19
Current Value
$22,896.20
Period P&L
$8,289.02
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
22 /
11
Best Trade
+31.30%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+1.56%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,165,235.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,289.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,289.02
Gross Return
+56.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+56.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,607.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $175.28 | 83 | $14,548.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.73 | 83 | $13,838.18 | $13,897.11 |
$-710.06 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $161.33 | 86 | $13,874.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $164.58 | 86 | $14,153.88 | $14,176.61 |
+$279.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $152.93 | 92 | $14,069.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.39 | 92 | $14,387.89 | $14,495.40 |
+$318.79 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.70 | 98 | $14,376.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $150.00 | 98 | $14,700.00 | $14,818.80 |
+$323.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $152.15 | 97 | $14,758.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $155.31 | 97 | $15,065.07 | $15,125.32 |
+$306.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $152.23 | 99 | $15,070.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $147.60 | 99 | $14,612.40 | $14,666.95 |
$-458.37 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.88 | 100 | $14,588.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:35am ET | $149.21 | 100 | $14,921.00 | $14,999.95 |
+$333.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $153.43 | 97 | $14,883.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.81 | 97 | $14,434.57 | $14,551.33 |
$-448.63 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.86 | 116 | $14,483.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $120.32 | 116 | $13,956.54 | $14,024.11 |
$-527.22 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $131.70 | 106 | $13,960.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.96 | 106 | $14,411.23 | $14,475.14 |
+$451.03 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $140.87 | 102 | $14,368.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $143.87 | 102 | $14,674.23 | $14,780.94 |
+$305.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $144.54 | 102 | $14,742.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $147.99 | 102 | $15,094.47 | $15,132.84 |
+$351.90 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $153.69 | 98 | $15,062.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.93 | 98 | $14,399.14 | $14,469.96 |
$-662.88 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $137.27 | 105 | $14,413.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $140.13 | 105 | $14,713.65 | $14,770.26 |
+$300.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $145.52 | 101 | $14,697.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.11 | 101 | $14,151.11 | $14,223.85 |
$-546.41 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $137.30 | 103 | $14,141.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.24 | 103 | $14,650.21 | $14,732.15 |
+$508.30 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.98 | 100 | $14,698.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.47 | 100 | $14,246.67 | $14,280.57 |
$-451.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $138.47 | 103 | $14,262.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.63 | 103 | $15,823.38 | $15,841.53 |
+$1,560.96 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.60 | 108 | $15,724.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $148.53 | 108 | $16,041.24 | $16,157.97 |
+$316.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $150.74 | 107 | $16,129.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $154.06 | 107 | $16,484.42 | $16,512.68 |
+$354.71 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $151.54 | 108 | $16,366.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $155.55 | 108 | $16,799.40 | $16,945.22 |
+$432.54 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $163.75 | 103 | $16,866.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.80 | 103 | $17,695.40 | $17,774.37 |
+$829.15 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.16 | 106 | $17,612.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $171.94 | 106 | $18,225.64 | $18,387.32 |
+$612.95 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $177.38 | 103 | $18,270.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.90 | 103 | $23,988.70 | $24,105.57 |
+$5,718.25 (+31.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $249.40 | 96 | $23,942.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $255.50 | 96 | $24,528.00 | $24,691.17 |
+$585.60 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.74 | 92 | $24,540.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $258.14 | 92 | $23,748.42 | $23,899.05 |
$-792.12 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $247.08 | 96 | $23,719.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $252.20 | 96 | $24,211.20 | $24,390.57 |
+$491.52 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $237.10 | 102 | $24,183.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.00 | 102 | $24,684.00 | $24,890.88 |
+$500.31 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $241.65 | 103 | $24,889.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $234.17 | 103 | $24,119.51 | $24,120.44 |
$-770.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $242.44 | 99 | $24,001.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $235.02 | 99 | $23,266.98 | $23,385.86 |
$-734.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $236.85 | 98 | $23,211.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $241.78 | 98 | $23,694.44 | $23,869.00 |
+$483.14 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $235.81 | 101 | $23,816.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $240.63 | 101 | $24,303.63 | $24,355.82 |
+$486.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $237.23 | 102 | $24,197.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $222.92 | 102 | $22,737.84 | $22,896.20 |
$-1,459.62 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,896.20
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,896.20
Total Return:
+128.96%