SOFI Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 32 trades in period
-16.99%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,470.13
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,998.89
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
10.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.4
30-Day Momentum
14
-1.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,998.89
Current Value
$7,470.13
Period P&L
$-1,528.76
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
16 /
16
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-11.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$519,571.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,528.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,528.76
Gross Return
-16.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,998.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $17.04 | 528 | $8,997.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $16.52 | 528 | $8,725.20 | $8,726.97 |
$-271.92 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $16.78 | 519 | $8,711.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.25 | 519 | $8,433.75 | $8,449.31 |
$-277.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.57 | 542 | $8,438.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.10 | 542 | $8,181.49 | $8,191.86 |
$-257.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $15.58 | 525 | $8,179.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.96 | 525 | $8,377.58 | $8,390.00 |
+$198.14 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.88 | 528 | $8,382.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.18 | 528 | $8,015.04 | $8,022.88 |
$-367.12 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.23 | 494 | $8,015.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.70 | 494 | $8,746.27 | $8,754.00 |
+$731.12 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.16 | 541 | $8,739.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.55 | 541 | $8,953.55 | $8,967.69 |
+$213.69 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $17.96 | 499 | $8,962.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.46 | 499 | $9,211.54 | $9,217.14 |
+$249.45 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.82 | 489 | $9,202.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET | $19.23 | 489 | $9,401.03 | $9,415.72 |
+$198.58 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $19.86 | 473 | $9,396.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.22 | 473 | $9,090.07 | $9,109.64 |
$-306.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $19.32 | 471 | $9,097.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $18.72 | 471 | $8,817.12 | $8,829.39 |
$-280.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $18.25 | 483 | $8,812.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.63 | 483 | $8,996.17 | $9,013.22 |
+$183.83 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $18.68 | 482 | $9,003.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.48 | 482 | $7,943.36 | $7,952.82 |
$-1,060.40 (-11.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.98 | 497 | $7,941.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $16.34 | 497 | $8,123.46 | $8,134.82 |
+$182.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $16.73 | 486 | $8,128.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $16.17 | 486 | $7,858.62 | $7,865.09 |
$-269.73 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $16.11 | 488 | $7,863.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.47 | 488 | $8,034.92 | $8,036.62 |
+$171.53 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.34 | 491 | $8,022.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $15.77 | 491 | $7,745.52 | $7,759.20 |
$-277.42 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $16.11 | 481 | $7,748.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $15.59 | 481 | $7,496.39 | $7,506.72 |
$-252.48 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $15.39 | 487 | $7,492.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $15.73 | 487 | $7,658.08 | $7,672.30 |
+$165.58 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:05pm ET | $15.48 | 495 | $7,665.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $15.81 | 495 | $7,828.42 | $7,835.65 |
+$163.35 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $15.60 | 502 | $7,828.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $15.13 | 502 | $7,592.75 | $7,599.71 |
$-235.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $15.50 | 490 | $7,594.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.90 | 490 | $7,793.45 | $7,798.21 |
+$198.50 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $16.12 | 483 | $7,785.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $16.51 | 483 | $7,974.33 | $7,986.58 |
+$188.37 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $16.57 | 481 | $7,970.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $16.92 | 481 | $8,139.19 | $8,155.60 |
+$169.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $18.39 | 443 | $8,146.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.74 | 443 | $7,859.66 | $7,868.54 |
$-287.06 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $17.92 | 438 | $7,851.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.09 | 438 | $7,485.16 | $7,502.55 |
$-365.99 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $17.02 | 440 | $7,491.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.46 | 440 | $7,242.40 | $7,253.95 |
$-248.60 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $16.48 | 440 | $7,249.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.85 | 440 | $7,416.20 | $7,421.15 |
+$167.20 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $16.43 | 451 | $7,409.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $15.94 | 451 | $7,186.69 | $7,197.86 |
$-223.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.53 | 435 | $7,190.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.31 | 435 | $7,527.68 | $7,534.98 |
+$337.12 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $17.55 | 429 | $7,526.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $17.95 | 429 | $7,702.69 | $7,710.83 |
+$175.85 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $18.57 | 415 | $7,704.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $17.99 | 415 | $7,463.78 | $7,470.13 |
$-240.70 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,470.13
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,529.87
Total Return:
-25.30%