Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 27 trades in period

+14.18%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,533.30
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,225.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,799
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,225.32
Current Value
$10,533.30
Period P&L
$1,307.98
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
17 / 10
Best Trade
+3.78%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$551,950.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,307.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,307.98
Gross Return
+14.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,225.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.28 195 $9,219.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.23 195 $9,209.85 $9,215.57 $-9.75
(-0.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $50.83 181 $9,200.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $49.15 181 $8,897.05 $8,912.39 $-303.18
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:15am ET $49.46 180 $8,902.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $50.53 180 $9,094.50 $9,104.09 +$191.70
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $48.31 188 $9,082.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $49.41 188 $9,289.08 $9,310.87 +$206.78
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET $49.36 188 $9,279.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $50.94 188 $9,576.72 $9,607.91 +$297.04
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $52.24 183 $9,559.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.60 183 $9,259.75 $9,307.70 $-300.21
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.25 188 $9,259.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $50.24 188 $9,445.12 $9,493.80 +$186.10
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:00am ET $52.48 180 $9,446.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.73 180 $9,671.40 $9,718.80 +$225.00
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $51.51 188 $9,684.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $52.87 188 $9,939.56 $9,973.54 +$254.74
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $52.93 188 $9,950.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $54.14 188 $10,178.32 $10,201.02 +$227.48
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:20am ET $53.09 192 $10,193.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $54.26 192 $10,418.88 $10,426.20 +$225.18
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.83 186 $10,384.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $57.10 186 $10,620.62 $10,662.44 +$236.24
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET $54.83 194 $10,636.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $55.94 194 $10,851.39 $10,877.78 +$215.34
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.67 191 $10,823.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $54.67 191 $10,441.97 $10,495.78 $-382.00
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $56.23 186 $10,458.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $57.36 186 $10,668.96 $10,705.96 +$210.18
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $59.93 178 $10,667.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $61.22 178 $10,897.14 $10,935.56 +$229.60
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $62.39 175 $10,918.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 175 $10,491.25 $10,508.56 $-427.00
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $55.53 189 $10,495.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 189 $10,892.07 $10,905.46 +$396.90
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.22 197 $10,878.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $56.47 197 $11,124.59 $11,151.71 +$246.25
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET $50.68 220 $11,149.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:55am ET $49.76 220 $10,948.30 $10,950.41 $-201.30
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $46.74 234 $10,936.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $45.27 234 $10,593.18 $10,607.02 $-343.39
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $44.13 240 $10,592.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $43.79 240 $10,509.60 $10,524.22 $-82.80
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:25am ET $43.44 242 $10,512.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $44.33 242 $10,726.65 $10,738.39 +$214.17
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $42.98 249 $10,702.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $43.85 249 $10,918.65 $10,955.00 +$216.61
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 257 $10,941.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $41.21 257 $10,590.97 $10,604.19 $-350.81
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $41.67 254 $10,584.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $42.68 254 $10,840.72 $10,860.73 +$256.54
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $41.29 263 $10,860.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 263 $10,533.15 $10,533.30 $-327.43
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,533.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$533.30
Total Return: +5.33%
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