Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
9.8/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 55.2

30-Day Momentum

18
+1.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.5 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,666.32
Current Value
$15,463.64
Period P&L
$1,797.35
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
12 / 2
Best Trade
+3.49%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$395,351.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,797.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,797.35
Gross Return
+13.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,666.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET $660.15 20 $13,203.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $640.16 20 $12,803.20 $13,266.49 $-399.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $635.93 20 $12,718.60
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $648.85 20 $12,977.00 $13,524.89 +$258.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $654.30 20 $13,086.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $658.35 20 $13,167.00 $13,605.89 +$81.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $653.84 20 $13,076.80
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $676.68 20 $13,533.70 $14,062.79 +$456.90
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $674.77 20 $13,495.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $688.69 20 $13,773.80 $14,341.19 +$278.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $696.87 20 $13,937.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $710.84 20 $14,216.80 $14,620.59 +$279.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET $708.06 20 $14,161.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $713.14 20 $14,262.80 $14,722.19 +$101.60
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $711.09 20 $14,221.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $720.11 20 $14,402.20 $14,902.64 +$180.45
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:40am ET $722.65 20 $14,453.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $737.29 20 $14,745.80 $15,195.44 +$292.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $738.36 20 $14,767.20
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $739.63 20 $14,792.60 $15,220.84 +$25.40
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:05am ET $734.54 20 $14,690.80
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $750.30 20 $15,006.00 $15,536.04 +$315.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $749.39 20 $14,987.80
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $756.39 20 $15,127.80 $15,676.04 +$140.00
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $759.78 20 $15,195.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $736.35 20 $14,727.00 $15,207.44 $-468.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $739.12 20 $14,782.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $751.93 20 $15,038.60 $15,463.64 +$256.20
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,463.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,463.64
Total Return: +54.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire