SQQQ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 35 trades in period
-26.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,291.87
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$7,245.83
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
9.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.9
30-Day Momentum
14
-8.0%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,245.83
Current Value
$5,291.87
Period P&L
$-1,953.86
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
16 /
19
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.85%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$439,006.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,953.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,953.86
Gross Return
-26.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,245.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $75.32 | 96 | $7,230.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $77.20 | 96 | $7,411.20 | $7,426.21 |
+$180.48 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $78.38 | 94 | $7,368.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $76.01 | 94 | $7,144.94 | $7,202.99 |
$-223.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.85 | 91 | $7,175.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.47 | 91 | $7,322.77 | $7,350.07 |
+$147.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $85.38 | 86 | $7,342.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $87.21 | 86 | $7,500.49 | $7,507.87 |
+$157.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $88.67 | 84 | $7,448.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $90.50 | 84 | $7,602.00 | $7,661.59 |
+$153.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $80.61 | 95 | $7,657.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $78.06 | 95 | $7,415.58 | $7,419.54 |
$-242.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $81.57 | 90 | $7,341.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $79.11 | 90 | $7,119.91 | $7,198.15 |
$-221.39 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $76.43 | 94 | $7,184.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $78.25 | 94 | $7,355.50 | $7,369.22 |
+$171.07 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $69.29 | 106 | $7,344.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.17 | 106 | $7,120.30 | $7,145.31 |
$-223.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $67.39 | 106 | $7,143.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.35 | 106 | $6,821.10 | $6,822.54 |
$-322.77 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.89 | 110 | $6,808.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $59.96 | 110 | $6,595.75 | $6,610.18 |
$-212.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $58.72 | 112 | $6,576.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.83 | 112 | $6,364.96 | $6,398.28 |
$-211.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.33 | 111 | $6,363.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $55.59 | 111 | $6,170.48 | $6,204.82 |
$-193.46 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $54.72 | 113 | $6,183.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $55.92 | 113 | $6,318.40 | $6,339.85 |
+$135.03 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:40pm ET | $52.78 | 120 | $6,333.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.20 | 120 | $6,504.00 | $6,510.25 |
+$170.40 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.72 | 121 | $6,500.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $52.08 | 121 | $6,301.69 | $6,311.82 |
$-198.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $49.94 | 126 | $6,292.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $51.20 | 126 | $6,451.20 | $6,470.57 |
+$158.75 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $48.53 | 133 | $6,454.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.99 | 133 | $6,249.67 | $6,265.75 |
$-204.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.36 | 138 | $6,259.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.99 | 138 | $6,069.93 | $6,076.00 |
$-189.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.45 | 143 | $6,069.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.34 | 143 | $6,197.62 | $6,203.93 |
+$127.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $42.88 | 144 | $6,174.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $41.51 | 144 | $5,977.45 | $6,006.64 |
$-197.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $42.83 | 140 | $5,995.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $43.92 | 140 | $6,149.33 | $6,160.47 |
+$153.83 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $44.86 | 137 | $6,145.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.32 | 137 | $5,934.83 | $5,949.49 |
$-210.98 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $42.95 | 138 | $5,927.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $41.53 | 138 | $5,731.14 | $5,753.53 |
$-195.96 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $41.41 | 138 | $5,714.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 138 | $5,521.46 | $5,560.25 |
$-193.28 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $39.60 | 140 | $5,544.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $38.36 | 140 | $5,370.39 | $5,386.64 |
$-173.61 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $38.10 | 141 | $5,372.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $36.94 | 141 | $5,207.92 | $5,222.46 |
$-164.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $38.10 | 141 | $5,372.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.25 | 141 | $5,393.25 | $5,243.61 |
+$21.15 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $40.03 | 130 | $5,204.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $40.88 | 130 | $5,314.40 | $5,353.85 |
+$110.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $40.21 | 133 | $5,347.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $41.25 | 133 | $5,486.25 | $5,492.18 |
+$138.33 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $43.32 | 126 | $5,458.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $44.45 | 126 | $5,600.69 | $5,634.41 |
+$142.23 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET | $44.00 | 128 | $5,632.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.16 | 128 | $5,396.48 | $5,398.89 |
$-235.52 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $39.84 | 135 | $5,378.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.25 | 135 | $5,028.75 | $5,049.33 |
$-349.56 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $36.33 | 138 | $5,013.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $37.09 | 138 | $5,118.42 | $5,154.21 |
+$104.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $37.93 | 135 | $5,120.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $38.95 | 135 | $5,258.22 | $5,291.87 |
+$137.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,291.87
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,708.13
Total Return:
-47.08%