Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:28:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

5
-6.8%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,162.05
Current Value
$8,847.24
Period P&L
$-314.77
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+3.93%
Worst Trade
-9.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$372,712.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-314.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-314.77
Gross Return
-3.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,162.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $545.69 17 $9,276.73
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $545.90 17 $9,280.30 $9,285.77 +$3.57
(+0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $501.68 18 $9,030.24
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $512.00 18 $9,216.00 $9,471.53 +$185.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $505.86 18 $9,105.48
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $516.48 18 $9,296.73 $9,662.78 +$191.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $516.40 18 $9,295.20
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $512.74 18 $9,229.32 $9,596.90 $-65.88
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $497.93 19 $9,460.67
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $508.58 19 $9,663.02 $9,799.25 +$202.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $511.70 19 $9,722.30
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $494.80 19 $9,401.29 $9,478.24 $-321.01
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $498.96 18 $8,981.23
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $483.17 18 $8,697.06 $9,194.07 $-284.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $466.15 19 $8,856.94
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $476.99 19 $9,062.81 $9,399.93 +$205.86
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $467.23 20 $9,344.60
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $476.59 20 $9,531.80 $9,587.13 +$187.20
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $481.45 19 $9,147.46
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $491.51 19 $9,338.69 $9,778.37 +$191.24
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $488.69 20 $9,773.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $473.95 20 $9,478.91 $9,483.48 $-294.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $481.13 19 $9,141.38
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $490.89 19 $9,326.91 $9,669.02 +$185.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $494.83 19 $9,401.68
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $485.31 19 $9,220.89 $9,488.23 $-180.79
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $485.88 19 $9,231.72
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 19 $9,594.62 $9,851.13 +$362.90
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $496.04 19 $9,424.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $506.34 19 $9,620.46 $10,046.83 +$195.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $528.22 19 $10,036.27
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 19 $9,926.36 $9,936.92 $-109.91
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $525.10 18 $9,451.89
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $536.72 18 $9,661.05 $10,146.08 +$209.16
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $522.50 19 $9,927.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 19 $8,942.64 $9,161.22 $-984.86
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $470.41 19 $8,937.79
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $468.33 19 $8,898.36 $9,121.79 $-39.43
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $475.05 19 $9,025.95
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $460.60 19 $8,751.40 $8,847.24 $-274.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,847.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,152.76
Total Return: -11.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire