Compendium › Rebel Contraire › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 23 trades in period

-14.05%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,239.76
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$9,587.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:23:20

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.1%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,587.17
Current Value
$8,239.76
Period P&L
$-1,347.37
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+3.93%
Worst Trade
-9.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.61%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$402,575.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,347.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,347.37
Gross Return
-14.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,587.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $481.45 19 $9,147.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $491.51 19 $9,338.69 $9,778.37 +$191.24
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $488.69 20 $9,773.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $473.95 20 $9,478.91 $9,483.48 $-294.89
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET $481.13 19 $9,141.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $490.89 19 $9,326.91 $9,669.02 +$185.54
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $494.83 19 $9,401.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $485.31 19 $9,220.89 $9,488.23 $-180.79
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $485.88 19 $9,231.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 19 $9,594.62 $9,851.13 +$362.90
(+3.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $496.04 19 $9,424.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $506.34 19 $9,620.46 $10,046.83 +$195.70
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $528.22 19 $10,036.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $522.44 19 $9,926.36 $9,936.92 $-109.91
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $525.10 18 $9,451.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET $536.72 18 $9,661.05 $10,146.08 +$209.16
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET $522.50 19 $9,927.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 19 $8,942.64 $9,161.22 $-984.86
(-9.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $470.41 19 $8,937.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $468.33 19 $8,898.36 $9,121.79 $-39.43
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $475.05 19 $9,025.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $460.60 19 $8,751.40 $8,847.24 $-274.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $474.67 18 $8,543.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $459.65 18 $8,273.73 $8,577.00 $-270.24
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:50am ET $460.02 18 $8,280.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $446.02 18 $8,028.45 $8,325.00 $-252.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $453.16 18 $8,156.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $439.45 18 $7,910.01 $8,078.13 $-246.87
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:40am ET $440.34 18 $7,926.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $449.59 18 $8,092.62 $8,244.63 +$166.50
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:05am ET $444.03 18 $7,992.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $453.80 18 $8,168.40 $8,420.49 +$175.86
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:00am ET $448.79 18 $8,078.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $462.37 18 $8,322.66 $8,664.93 +$244.44
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:15am ET $488.64 17 $8,306.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $498.55 17 $8,475.27 $8,833.40 +$168.47
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $478.05 17 $8,126.85 $8,578.14 $-255.26
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $493.07 17 $8,382.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $476.85 17 $8,106.45 $8,302.49 $-275.65
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET $475.25 17 $8,079.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $486.39 17 $8,268.63 $8,491.87 +$189.38
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $490.57 17 $8,339.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $475.07 17 $8,076.19 $8,228.37 $-263.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.17 17 $7,992.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $470.84 17 $8,004.28 $8,239.76 +$11.39
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,239.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,760.24
Total Return: -17.60%
Back to Rebel Contraire