Compendium › Rebel Contraire › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 29 trades in period

-30.27%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,855.28
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,397.60
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:25:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

35
+5.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.9 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,397.60
Current Value
$5,855.28
Period P&L
$-2,542.29
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+3.33%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
-1.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$385,059.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,542.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,542.29
Gross Return
-30.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-30.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,397.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.15 161 $8,396.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $51.90 161 $8,355.10 $8,356.50 $-41.06
(-0.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $47.56 175 $8,322.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.63 175 $8,509.99 $8,543.73 +$187.23
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.79 171 $8,514.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:20pm ET $48.19 171 $8,239.89 $8,269.02 $-274.71
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $49.42 167 $8,253.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $47.88 167 $7,995.13 $8,011.01 $-258.01
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.89 160 $7,982.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $50.99 160 $8,159.20 $8,187.33 +$176.32
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $50.69 161 $8,161.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $49.10 161 $7,905.90 $7,931.55 $-255.78
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.18 161 $7,917.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.47 161 $7,642.83 $7,656.40 $-275.15
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $46.68 164 $7,655.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $47.66 164 $7,815.75 $7,816.63 +$160.23
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $50.35 155 $7,805.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.72 155 $7,552.37 $7,563.98 $-252.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $48.52 155 $7,520.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.46 155 $7,200.53 $7,244.51 $-319.47
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:30am ET $50.13 144 $7,219.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $48.37 144 $6,965.28 $6,990.35 $-254.16
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET $47.59 146 $6,948.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $46.03 146 $6,719.65 $6,761.86 $-228.49
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.44 142 $6,736.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $48.44 142 $6,878.48 $6,903.86 +$142.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $47.15 146 $6,883.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.47 146 $6,492.62 $6,512.59 $-391.27
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $44.10 147 $6,481.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $42.75 147 $6,284.25 $6,314.88 $-197.72
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $45.04 140 $6,305.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $43.57 140 $6,099.80 $6,109.08 $-205.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET $44.54 137 $6,101.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $43.20 137 $5,918.40 $5,925.49 $-183.59
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $39.65 149 $5,908.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.44 149 $5,726.82 $5,744.01 $-181.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $43.39 132 $5,727.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 132 $5,414.64 $5,430.69 $-313.32
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $43.82 123 $5,389.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $42.33 123 $5,206.58 $5,247.41 $-183.28
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $47.74 109 $5,204.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $48.85 109 $5,324.94 $5,368.15 +$120.74
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $49.08 109 $5,350.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.14 109 $5,465.26 $5,483.15 +$115.00
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.58 100 $5,458.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $56.11 100 $5,611.00 $5,636.01 +$152.86
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET $58.02 97 $5,627.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $59.28 97 $5,749.68 $5,757.75 +$121.74
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $60.42 95 $5,739.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.58 95 $5,565.57 $5,583.90 $-173.85
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $62.45 89 $5,558.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET $60.53 89 $5,387.18 $5,412.90 $-171.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.71 89 $5,403.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $62.73 89 $5,582.97 $5,592.69 +$179.79
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $65.11 85 $5,533.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $66.66 85 $5,666.10 $5,724.87 +$132.18
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
29 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:15am ET $70.28 81 $5,692.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $71.89 81 $5,822.69 $5,855.28 +$130.41
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,855.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,144.72
Total Return: -41.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire