Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 28.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.4

30-Day Momentum

80
+20.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+52 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,138.72
Current Value
$12,990.09
Period P&L
$851.36
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
15 / 10
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$589,636.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$851.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$851.36
Gross Return
+7.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,138.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $413.14 29 $11,980.92
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $422.25 29 $12,245.25 $12,497.75 +$264.33
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $412.86 30 $12,385.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $407.29 30 $12,218.70 $12,330.65 $-167.10
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $402.25 30 $12,067.50
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $410.70 30 $12,321.00 $12,584.15 +$253.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $409.75 30 $12,292.60
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $390.92 30 $11,727.60 $12,019.15 $-565.00
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET $392.50 30 $11,775.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $402.95 30 $12,088.35 $12,332.50 +$313.35
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $404.60 30 $12,138.00
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $390.44 30 $11,713.20 $11,907.70 $-424.80
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $402.27 29 $11,665.83
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET $411.71 29 $11,939.59 $12,181.46 +$273.76
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $397.81 30 $11,934.30
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET $398.53 30 $11,955.90 $12,203.06 +$21.60
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET $397.96 30 $11,938.80
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $386.00 30 $11,580.00 $11,844.26 $-358.80
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $379.01 31 $11,749.31
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $367.21 31 $11,383.51 $11,478.46 $-365.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $383.29 29 $11,115.41
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 29 $11,426.00 $11,789.05 +$310.59
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $380.83 30 $11,424.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.52 30 $11,055.75 $11,420.05 $-369.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $362.22 31 $11,228.82
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $369.75 31 $11,462.25 $11,653.48 +$233.43
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $380.78 30 $11,423.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 30 $10,931.69 $11,161.77 $-491.71
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $363.17 30 $10,895.10
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $351.37 30 $10,541.10 $10,807.77 $-354.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $341.45 31 $10,584.89
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 31 $11,279.04 $11,501.92 +$694.15
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $338.61 33 $11,174.29
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $347.49 33 $11,467.17 $11,794.80 +$292.88
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $343.68 34 $11,685.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $353.57 34 $12,021.38 $12,131.06 +$336.26
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $358.18 33 $11,819.94
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $365.93 33 $12,075.69 $12,386.81 +$255.75
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $391.35 31 $12,131.93
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $401.28 31 $12,439.68 $12,694.56 +$307.75
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $390.69 32 $12,502.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 32 $11,958.08 $12,150.56 $-544.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $374.92 32 $11,997.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $373.41 32 $11,949.12 $12,102.08 $-48.48
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET $376.98 32 $12,063.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $385.67 32 $12,341.40 $12,379.96 +$277.88
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $388.95 31 $12,057.45
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $399.62 31 $12,388.22 $12,710.73 +$330.77
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
25 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $387.74 32 $12,407.68
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $396.47 32 $12,687.04 $12,990.09 +$279.36
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,990.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,990.09
Total Return: +29.90%
Back to Rebel Contraire