Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:21:31

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,220.70
Current Value
$7,615.01
Period P&L
$1,394.29
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+9.49%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$238,294.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,394.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,394.29
Gross Return
+22.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,220.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $270.77 22 $5,956.94
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:40am ET $261.83 22 $5,760.26 $6,024.04 $-196.68
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET $259.24 23 $5,962.52
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $265.27 23 $6,101.21 $6,162.73 +$138.69
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $271.01 22 $5,962.11
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $276.50 22 $6,083.00 $6,283.62 +$120.89
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $281.83 22 $6,200.15
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 22 $6,771.38 $6,854.85 +$571.23
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET $309.07 22 $6,799.43
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $307.23 22 $6,759.06 $6,814.48 $-40.37
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $318.37 21 $6,685.77
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $324.91 21 $6,823.11 $6,951.82 +$137.34
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $323.21 21 $6,787.44
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 21 $7,431.69 $7,596.07 +$644.25
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $355.27 21 $7,460.77
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $349.67 21 $7,343.07 $7,478.37 $-117.70
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.21 20 $7,364.27
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $369.59 20 $7,391.80 $7,505.90 +$27.53
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:10am ET $363.80 20 $7,276.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $373.60 20 $7,472.00 $7,701.90 +$196.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $378.30 20 $7,566.00
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:05am ET $386.13 20 $7,722.50 $7,858.40 +$156.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:10am ET $400.86 19 $7,616.34
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $385.17 19 $7,318.23 $7,560.29 $-298.11
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $388.69 19 $7,385.11
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $384.83 19 $7,311.77 $7,486.95 $-73.34
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $381.93 19 $7,256.67
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET $382.20 19 $7,261.80 $7,492.08 +$5.13
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $378.43 19 $7,190.26
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $386.91 19 $7,351.29 $7,653.11 +$161.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $398.64 19 $7,574.07
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $406.62 19 $7,725.78 $7,804.82 +$151.71
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $411.46 18 $7,406.28
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $400.92 18 $7,216.47 $7,615.01 $-189.81
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,615.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,384.99
Total Return: -23.85%
Back to Rebel Contraire