UVXY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 35 trades in period
+23.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,424.76
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$8,454.76
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
6.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
16.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 16.7
30-Day Momentum
64
+12.3%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.9
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,454.76
Current Value
$10,424.76
Period P&L
$1,970.03
Max Drawdown
-48.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
24 /
11
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$632,662.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,970.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,970.03
Gross Return
+23.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,454.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $47.88 | 176 | $8,426.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $48.97 | 176 | $8,618.72 | $8,646.57 |
+$191.84 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.41 | 174 | $8,597.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $50.56 | 174 | $8,797.44 | $8,846.67 |
+$200.10 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $49.70 | 178 | $8,846.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.78 | 178 | $9,038.84 | $9,038.91 |
+$192.24 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $58.25 | 155 | $9,028.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 155 | $8,745.12 | $8,755.28 |
$-283.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.47 | 144 | $8,707.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $62.04 | 144 | $8,933.76 | $8,981.36 |
+$226.08 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $52.88 | 169 | $8,937.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 169 | $8,632.52 | $8,676.32 |
$-305.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.91 | 158 | $8,675.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.25 | 158 | $8,413.48 | $8,414.02 |
$-262.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $48.44 | 173 | $8,380.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $49.67 | 173 | $8,592.91 | $8,626.81 |
+$212.79 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $51.87 | 166 | $8,610.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $52.97 | 166 | $8,792.92 | $8,809.31 |
+$182.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $44.39 | 198 | $8,789.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $43.02 | 198 | $8,517.96 | $8,538.05 |
$-271.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $41.00 | 208 | $8,528.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $41.94 | 208 | $8,723.52 | $8,733.55 |
+$195.50 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $41.22 | 211 | $8,698.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $39.94 | 211 | $8,428.39 | $8,463.47 |
$-270.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.28 | 221 | $8,459.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $39.06 | 221 | $8,632.26 | $8,635.85 |
+$172.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $39.09 | 220 | $8,599.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.44 | 220 | $8,237.90 | $8,273.95 |
$-361.90 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $39.30 | 210 | $8,252.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $40.27 | 210 | $8,456.68 | $8,477.65 |
+$203.70 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $39.20 | 216 | $8,467.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $40.33 | 216 | $8,711.28 | $8,721.73 |
+$244.08 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $38.97 | 223 | $8,690.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $39.77 | 223 | $8,868.71 | $8,899.86 |
+$178.13 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $37.72 | 235 | $8,863.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.93 | 235 | $9,148.57 | $9,185.41 |
+$285.55 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $37.96 | 242 | $9,185.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $36.74 | 242 | $8,891.08 | $8,891.38 |
$-294.03 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $36.07 | 246 | $8,873.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.85 | 246 | $9,065.10 | $9,083.26 |
+$191.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.34 | 249 | $9,049.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $37.22 | 249 | $9,267.78 | $9,301.38 |
+$218.12 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.90 | 259 | $9,298.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $36.70 | 259 | $9,505.30 | $9,508.58 |
+$207.20 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $35.77 | 265 | $9,479.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $36.71 | 265 | $9,728.15 | $9,757.68 |
+$249.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $36.44 | 267 | $9,729.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.03 | 267 | $9,354.34 | $9,382.55 |
$-375.13 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $34.73 | 270 | $9,377.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $35.45 | 270 | $9,571.50 | $9,576.95 |
+$194.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $34.02 | 281 | $9,559.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $32.97 | 281 | $9,265.97 | $9,283.30 |
$-293.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $32.63 | 284 | $9,266.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $33.29 | 284 | $9,454.36 | $9,470.74 |
+$187.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $31.20 | 303 | $9,453.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $30.26 | 303 | $9,168.78 | $9,185.92 |
$-284.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $29.09 | 315 | $9,163.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $29.72 | 315 | $9,361.80 | $9,384.09 |
+$198.17 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $29.12 | 322 | $9,376.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $28.22 | 322 | $9,086.84 | $9,094.29 |
$-289.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $30.00 | 303 | $9,090.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $30.76 | 303 | $9,320.28 | $9,324.57 |
+$230.28 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $29.53 | 315 | $9,301.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $30.40 | 315 | $9,576.00 | $9,598.62 |
+$274.05 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $32.81 | 292 | $9,580.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $33.81 | 292 | $9,872.52 | $9,890.62 |
+$292.00 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $29.72 | 332 | $9,867.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $30.52 | 332 | $10,132.64 | $10,156.22 |
+$265.60 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $26.25 | 386 | $10,134.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.95 | 386 | $10,402.70 | $10,424.76 |
+$268.54 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,424.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$424.76
Total Return:
+4.25%