Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:12

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,770.16
Current Value
$10,850.86
Period P&L
$80.71
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,186.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$80.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$80.71
Gross Return
+0.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,770.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $46.62 232 $10,814.68
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $46.69 232 $10,830.92 $10,875.70 +$16.24
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $47.31 229 $10,833.99
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $47.60 229 $10,899.26 $10,940.97 +$65.26
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $48.87 223 $10,899.01
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.56 223 $11,050.77 $11,092.72 +$151.75
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET $49.60 223 $11,059.69
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $50.01 223 $11,152.23 $11,185.26 +$92.54
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $50.11 223 $11,174.53
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.13 223 $11,401.97 $11,412.70 +$227.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $51.03 223 $11,380.80
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.70 223 $11,306.86 $11,338.75 $-73.95
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $50.32 225 $11,320.90
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $51.35 225 $11,553.75 $11,571.60 +$232.85
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $50.87 227 $11,546.36
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET $49.23 227 $11,175.21 $11,200.45 $-371.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.23 222 $11,151.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $51.28 222 $11,384.16 $11,432.73 +$232.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.60 225 $11,383.88
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.26 225 $11,309.62 $11,358.48 $-74.25
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $50.07 226 $11,316.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.40 226 $11,164.40 $11,206.68 $-151.80
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 229 $11,162.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET $47.24 229 $10,819.10 $10,863.18 $-343.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $47.83 227 $10,858.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $46.36 227 $10,523.72 $10,528.36 $-334.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $45.62 230 $10,491.45
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $46.59 230 $10,715.70 $10,752.61 +$224.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $46.79 229 $10,714.93
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $45.26 229 $10,365.68 $10,403.36 $-349.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $47.27 220 $10,399.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $48.24 220 $10,611.70 $10,615.66 +$212.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $47.27 224 $10,588.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $48.32 224 $10,823.68 $10,850.86 +$235.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,850.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$850.86
Total Return: +8.51%
Back to Rebel Contraire