Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:14

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-1.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,144.14
Current Value
$10,500.07
Period P&L
$-644.06
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+2.74%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$344,880.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-644.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-644.06
Gross Return
-5.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,144.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.23 222 $11,151.88
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $51.28 222 $11,384.16 $11,432.73 +$232.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.60 225 $11,383.88
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $50.26 225 $11,309.62 $11,358.48 $-74.25
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $50.07 226 $11,316.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.40 226 $11,164.40 $11,206.68 $-151.80
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $48.74 229 $11,162.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET $47.24 229 $10,819.10 $10,863.18 $-343.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET $47.83 227 $10,858.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $46.36 227 $10,523.72 $10,528.36 $-334.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $45.62 230 $10,491.45
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $46.59 230 $10,715.70 $10,752.61 +$224.25
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $46.79 229 $10,714.93
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $45.26 229 $10,365.68 $10,403.36 $-349.25
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $47.27 220 $10,399.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $48.24 220 $10,611.70 $10,615.66 +$212.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $47.27 224 $10,588.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $48.32 224 $10,823.68 $10,850.86 +$235.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.42 228 $10,810.62
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $47.62 228 $10,857.36 $10,897.60 +$46.74
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $47.34 230 $10,887.74
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.51 230 $10,697.30 $10,707.16 $-190.44
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:10am ET $47.88 223 $10,676.13
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $48.42 223 $10,797.66 $10,828.69 +$121.53
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:55am ET $48.36 223 $10,784.28
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $47.75 223 $10,648.25 $10,692.66 $-136.03
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $47.33 225 $10,648.13
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $45.77 225 $10,298.25 $10,342.78 $-349.88
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $45.18 228 $10,301.04
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $46.42 228 $10,583.76 $10,625.50 +$282.72
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $47.81 222 $10,614.93
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $47.25 222 $10,489.50 $10,500.07 $-125.43
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,500.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$500.07
Total Return: +5.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire