Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:19:29

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 37.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

54
+9.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 72.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,306.11
Current Value
$14,112.09
Period P&L
$806.01
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+3.25%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$482,990.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$806.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$806.01
Gross Return
+6.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,306.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $79.03 168 $13,277.04
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.63 168 $13,545.82 $13,574.86 +$268.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $79.90 169 $13,503.94
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $77.47 169 $13,092.43 $13,163.35 $-411.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $77.44 169 $13,087.38
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $79.02 169 $13,354.38 $13,430.35 +$267.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $80.82 166 $13,416.12
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $81.72 166 $13,565.52 $13,579.75 +$149.40
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.60 166 $13,545.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $84.25 166 $13,985.50 $14,019.65 +$439.90
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $84.92 165 $14,011.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 165 $13,428.53 $13,436.38 $-583.27
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $80.19 167 $13,392.56
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $81.82 167 $13,663.11 $13,706.92 +$270.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $82.04 167 $13,700.68
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $81.09 167 $13,542.03 $13,548.27 $-158.65
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.04 167 $13,533.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.79 167 $13,658.93 $13,673.52 +$125.25
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.17 168 $13,635.72
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $79.75 168 $13,397.16 $13,434.96 $-238.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $79.94 168 $13,429.92
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:50am ET $77.43 168 $13,008.24 $13,013.28 $-421.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $73.92 176 $13,009.92
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $73.39 176 $12,916.64 $12,920.00 $-93.28
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $75.08 172 $12,913.76
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $76.76 172 $13,201.88 $13,208.12 +$288.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $77.36 170 $13,151.20
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 170 $13,064.50 $13,121.42 $-86.70
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $78.25 167 $13,067.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.98 167 $13,356.66 $13,410.33 +$288.91
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $82.04 163 $13,372.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $82.35 163 $13,423.05 $13,460.86 +$50.53
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $81.17 165 $13,393.05
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $82.82 165 $13,665.30 $13,733.11 +$272.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $83.74 163 $13,649.62
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 163 $14,028.60 $14,112.09 +$378.98
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,112.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,112.09
Total Return: +41.12%
Back to Rebel Contraire