Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:22:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 34.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,692.48
Current Value
$13,434.96
Period P&L
$-257.49
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+3.25%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$512,071.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-257.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-257.49
Gross Return
-1.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,692.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $93.79 146 $13,693.34
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $91.95 146 $13,424.70 $13,491.70 $-268.64
(-2.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $87.83 153 $13,437.99
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $88.47 153 $13,535.91 $13,589.62 +$97.92
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET $83.21 163 $13,563.23
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $84.90 163 $13,838.70 $13,865.09 +$275.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $86.54 160 $13,846.40
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $83.63 160 $13,380.80 $13,399.49 $-465.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET $81.11 165 $13,383.48
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.75 165 $13,652.93 $13,668.94 +$269.45
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $83.25 164 $13,653.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.26 164 $13,162.64 $13,178.58 $-490.36
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $78.18 168 $13,135.08
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $79.75 168 $13,398.00 $13,441.50 +$262.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $76.98 174 $13,394.52
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $74.63 174 $12,985.62 $13,032.60 $-408.90
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.50 172 $12,986.86
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET $77.10 172 $13,260.34 $13,306.08 +$273.48
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $79.03 168 $13,277.04
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.63 168 $13,545.82 $13,574.86 +$268.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $79.90 169 $13,503.94
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $77.47 169 $13,092.43 $13,163.35 $-411.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $77.44 169 $13,087.38
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $79.02 169 $13,354.38 $13,430.35 +$267.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $80.82 166 $13,416.12
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $81.72 166 $13,565.52 $13,579.75 +$149.40
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.60 166 $13,545.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $84.25 166 $13,985.50 $14,019.65 +$439.90
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $84.92 165 $14,011.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $81.39 165 $13,428.53 $13,436.38 $-583.27
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $80.19 167 $13,392.56
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $81.82 167 $13,663.11 $13,706.92 +$270.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $82.04 167 $13,700.68
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $81.09 167 $13,542.03 $13,548.27 $-158.65
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.04 167 $13,533.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.79 167 $13,658.93 $13,673.52 +$125.25
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.17 168 $13,635.72
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $79.75 168 $13,397.16 $13,434.96 $-238.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,434.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,434.96
Total Return: +34.35%
Back to Rebel Contraire