Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:13

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 48.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.3

30-Day Momentum

6
-5.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-42 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,875.39
Current Value
$16,344.03
Period P&L
$-531.33
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$659,215.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-531.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-531.33
Gross Return
-3.15%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,875.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $119.28 140 $16,698.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $121.83 140 $17,056.20 $17,142.76 +$357.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET $122.65 139 $17,048.35
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:40am ET $124.39 139 $17,290.21 $17,384.62 +$241.86
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $123.78 140 $17,328.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 140 $17,668.00 $17,724.12 +$339.50
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $124.72 142 $17,710.91
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.43 142 $18,095.06 $18,108.27 +$384.15
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $128.04 141 $18,052.94
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $124.14 141 $17,503.04 $17,558.37 $-549.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.92 140 $17,488.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.44 140 $17,841.60 $17,911.17 +$352.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.53 140 $17,853.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $130.13 140 $18,217.50 $18,275.17 +$364.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $131.12 139 $18,225.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $127.06 139 $17,661.28 $17,710.78 $-564.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $126.56 139 $17,591.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $129.31 139 $17,974.09 $18,093.72 +$382.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $132.28 136 $17,990.08
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $130.48 136 $17,744.60 $17,848.24 $-245.48
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:15am ET $129.52 137 $17,744.24
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:15am ET $129.07 137 $17,682.59 $17,786.59 $-61.65
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $131.28 135 $17,722.80
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:20am ET $132.08 135 $17,830.80 $17,894.59 +$108.00
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.90 132 $17,806.80
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $130.43 132 $17,216.76 $17,304.55 $-590.04
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $121.21 142 $17,211.82
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $118.19 142 $16,782.98 $16,875.71 $-428.84
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:15am ET $118.60 142 $16,841.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:05am ET $114.99 142 $16,327.87 $16,362.38 $-513.33
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $113.61 144 $16,360.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $115.99 144 $16,702.56 $16,704.38 +$342.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET $118.61 140 $16,605.40
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $119.46 140 $16,724.40 $16,823.38 +$119.00
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $119.57 140 $16,739.80
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET $120.01 140 $16,801.40 $16,884.98 +$61.60
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $121.79 138 $16,807.02
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $117.87 138 $16,266.07 $16,344.03 $-540.95
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,344.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,344.03
Total Return: +63.44%
Back to Rebel Contraire