Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.3/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 55.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 53.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,301.86
Current Value
$17,848.24
Period P&L
$-453.59
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
10 / 8
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$628,165.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-453.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-453.59
Gross Return
-2.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,301.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $129.54 141 $18,265.07
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $127.10 141 $17,920.68 $17,957.44 $-344.39
(-1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET $132.21 135 $17,849.02
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.12 135 $17,296.20 $17,404.61 $-552.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET $128.65 135 $17,368.42
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.55 135 $16,814.25 $16,850.44 $-554.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET $125.77 133 $16,727.41
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 133 $17,090.50 $17,213.53 +$363.09
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.51 136 $17,206.04
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $122.53 136 $16,664.08 $16,671.57 $-541.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $123.44 135 $16,664.40
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $125.95 135 $17,003.25 $17,010.42 +$338.85
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $123.94 137 $16,979.78
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:05am ET $126.42 137 $17,319.54 $17,350.18 +$339.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $125.08 138 $17,261.05
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $120.99 138 $16,695.93 $16,785.06 $-565.12
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $119.28 140 $16,698.50
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET $121.83 140 $17,056.20 $17,142.76 +$357.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET $122.65 139 $17,048.35
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:40am ET $124.39 139 $17,290.21 $17,384.62 +$241.86
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $123.78 140 $17,328.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 140 $17,668.00 $17,724.12 +$339.50
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $124.72 142 $17,710.91
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.43 142 $18,095.06 $18,108.27 +$384.15
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $128.04 141 $18,052.94
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $124.14 141 $17,503.04 $17,558.37 $-549.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $124.92 140 $17,488.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.44 140 $17,841.60 $17,911.17 +$352.80
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.53 140 $17,853.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $130.13 140 $18,217.50 $18,275.17 +$364.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $131.12 139 $18,225.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $127.06 139 $17,661.28 $17,710.78 $-564.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $126.56 139 $17,591.15
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $129.31 139 $17,974.09 $18,093.72 +$382.94
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $132.28 136 $17,990.08
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $130.48 136 $17,744.60 $17,848.24 $-245.48
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,848.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,848.24
Total Return: +78.48%
Back to Rebel Contraire