Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 37.1/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 36.2

30-Day Momentum

34
+4.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.7 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,812.90
Current Value
$13,935.48
Period P&L
$1,122.55
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+2.85%
Worst Trade
-2.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$401,548.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,122.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,122.55
Gross Return
+8.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,812.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:25am ET $49.74 259 $12,881.37
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 259 $12,898.20 $12,919.12 +$16.83
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $48.87 264 $12,901.68
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $49.87 264 $13,165.68 $13,183.12 +$264.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $49.17 268 $13,178.90
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $48.62 268 $13,030.16 $13,034.38 $-148.74
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $49.19 264 $12,986.16
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $49.67 264 $13,111.56 $13,159.78 +$125.40
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:50am ET $49.82 264 $13,152.45
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.24 264 $13,527.33 $13,534.66 +$374.88
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $50.92 265 $13,492.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $51.67 265 $13,691.23 $13,733.41 +$198.75
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $51.99 264 $13,724.04
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $52.69 264 $13,908.84 $13,918.21 +$184.80
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:40am ET $52.85 263 $13,899.58
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $51.38 263 $13,512.94 $13,531.57 $-386.64
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $52.15 259 $13,506.85
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.72 259 $13,395.48 $13,420.20 $-111.37
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $51.41 261 $13,418.01
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $51.31 261 $13,391.91 $13,394.10 $-26.10
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:40am ET $51.26 261 $13,378.86
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $51.12 261 $13,342.32 $13,357.56 $-36.54
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $51.44 259 $13,322.96
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $52.02 259 $13,473.18 $13,507.78 +$150.22
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $51.80 260 $13,468.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $51.27 260 $13,330.20 $13,369.98 $-137.80
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $51.37 260 $13,354.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $52.40 260 $13,624.00 $13,639.08 +$269.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $52.28 260 $13,591.50
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $53.42 260 $13,887.90 $13,935.48 +$296.40
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,935.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,935.48
Total Return: +39.35%
Back to Rebel Contraire