Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:22:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.0/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 42.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 41.8

30-Day Momentum

4
-10.9%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,613.92
Current Value
$14,735.43
Period P&L
$-878.45
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
12 / 10
Best Trade
+2.62%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$698,505.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-878.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-878.45
Gross Return
-5.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,613.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $161.26 99 $15,964.25
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $155.32 99 $15,376.68 $15,477.26 $-587.56
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $165.49 93 $15,390.57
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $169.15 93 $15,731.41 $15,818.10 +$340.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $174.83 90 $15,734.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $168.60 90 $15,174.01 $15,257.41 $-560.69
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $160.48 95 $15,245.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $164.68 95 $15,644.60 $15,656.41 +$399.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $161.20 97 $15,636.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $165.30 97 $16,034.58 $16,054.59 +$398.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $153.81 104 $15,996.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $157.02 104 $16,330.08 $16,388.43 +$333.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $153.77 106 $16,299.62
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 106 $15,647.72 $15,736.53 $-651.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $148.01 106 $15,689.06
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $151.23 106 $16,030.38 $16,077.85 +$341.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $143.90 111 $15,972.90
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $147.34 111 $16,354.74 $16,459.69 +$381.84
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $148.13 111 $16,442.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $149.15 111 $16,556.20 $16,573.46 +$113.77
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $151.90 109 $16,556.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $155.00 109 $16,895.00 $16,911.90 +$338.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $153.05 110 $16,835.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $148.12 110 $16,292.65 $16,369.05 $-542.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:30am ET $144.41 113 $16,318.33
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $147.30 113 $16,645.46 $16,696.18 +$327.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $150.95 110 $16,603.95
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $154.23 110 $16,965.30 $17,057.53 +$361.35
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $161.00 105 $16,905.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $156.14 105 $16,394.70 $16,547.23 $-510.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $154.10 107 $16,489.23
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.19 107 $15,749.33 $15,807.33 $-739.90
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $149.46 105 $15,692.78
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $144.96 105 $15,220.80 $15,335.36 $-471.97
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:10am ET $148.93 102 $15,191.37
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $152.34 102 $15,538.68 $15,682.67 +$347.31
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $151.35 103 $15,588.54
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $149.36 103 $15,384.08 $15,478.21 $-204.46
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $150.76 102 $15,377.52
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $145.61 102 $14,852.22 $14,952.91 $-525.30
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET $138.86 107 $14,858.02
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET $141.66 107 $15,158.15 $15,253.04 +$300.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $141.39 107 $15,128.73
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $136.55 107 $14,611.12 $14,735.43 $-517.61
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,735.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,735.43
Total Return: +47.35%
Back to Rebel Contraire