Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.1/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 49.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.2

30-Day Momentum

36
+4.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.3 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,634.39
Current Value
$16,369.05
Period P&L
$734.71
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
13 / 7
Best Trade
+2.62%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$639,039.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$734.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$734.71
Gross Return
+4.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,634.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $149.36 104 $15,533.44
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $150.87 104 $15,690.48 $15,791.38 +$157.04
(+1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $147.26 107 $15,756.82
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $150.23 107 $16,074.61 $16,109.17 +$317.79
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $151.73 106 $16,083.37
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:25am ET $147.14 106 $15,596.84 $15,622.64 $-486.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $150.25 103 $15,476.08
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $153.43 103 $15,803.29 $15,949.85 +$327.21
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:50am ET $151.87 105 $15,946.35
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $151.57 105 $15,915.37 $15,918.88 $-30.97
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $148.35 107 $15,873.45
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $151.38 107 $16,197.67 $16,243.10 +$324.22
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $154.51 105 $16,223.76
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 11:10am ET $157.66 105 $16,554.30 $16,573.64 +$330.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $160.15 103 $16,495.45
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $155.21 103 $15,986.63 $16,064.82 $-508.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:45am ET $161.26 99 $15,964.25
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $155.32 99 $15,376.68 $15,477.26 $-587.56
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $165.49 93 $15,390.57
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $169.15 93 $15,731.41 $15,818.10 +$340.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET $174.83 90 $15,734.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $168.60 90 $15,174.01 $15,257.41 $-560.69
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $160.48 95 $15,245.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $164.68 95 $15,644.60 $15,656.41 +$399.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET $161.20 97 $15,636.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $165.30 97 $16,034.58 $16,054.59 +$398.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $153.81 104 $15,996.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $157.02 104 $16,330.08 $16,388.43 +$333.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $153.77 106 $16,299.62
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 106 $15,647.72 $15,736.53 $-651.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $148.01 106 $15,689.06
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $151.23 106 $16,030.38 $16,077.85 +$341.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:55am ET $143.90 111 $15,972.90
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $147.34 111 $16,354.74 $16,459.69 +$381.84
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $148.13 111 $16,442.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $149.15 111 $16,556.20 $16,573.46 +$113.77
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET $151.90 109 $16,556.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $155.00 109 $16,895.00 $16,911.90 +$338.44
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $153.05 110 $16,835.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:15am ET $148.12 110 $16,292.65 $16,369.05 $-542.85
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,369.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,369.05
Total Return: +63.69%
Back to Rebel Contraire