AAPL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 32 trades in period
+11.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,485.70
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$12,948.26
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
37.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 36.9
30-Day Momentum
53
+9.0%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.9
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,834
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,948.26
Current Value
$14,485.70
Period P&L
$1,537.50
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
21 /
11
Best Trade
+3.23%
Worst Trade
-3.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$829,746.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,537.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,537.50
Gross Return
+11.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,948.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $268.30 | 47 | $12,610.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $271.51 | 47 | $12,760.97 | $13,019.16 |
+$150.86 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $272.76 | 47 | $12,819.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $267.55 | 47 | $12,574.80 | $12,774.24 |
$-244.92 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $266.82 | 47 | $12,540.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.55 | 47 | $12,809.62 | $13,043.55 |
+$269.31 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:25pm ET | $270.61 | 48 | $12,989.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 1:10pm ET | $276.18 | 48 | $13,256.64 | $13,311.15 |
+$267.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:55pm ET | $278.30 | 47 | $13,080.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $277.58 | 47 | $13,046.03 | $13,277.08 |
$-34.08 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $283.39 | 46 | $13,035.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $279.13 | 46 | $12,839.98 | $13,081.12 |
$-195.96 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET | $277.89 | 47 | $13,060.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $278.01 | 47 | $13,066.47 | $13,086.76 |
+$5.64 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $272.38 | 48 | $13,074.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.39 | 48 | $13,122.72 | $13,135.48 |
+$48.72 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:30am ET | $270.78 | 48 | $12,997.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $273.37 | 48 | $13,121.76 | $13,259.80 |
+$124.32 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $272.61 | 48 | $13,085.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.27 | 48 | $12,877.10 | $13,051.62 |
$-208.18 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $263.77 | 49 | $12,924.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.03 | 49 | $12,643.47 | $12,770.36 |
$-281.26 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.73 | 49 | $12,726.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.07 | 49 | $12,449.43 | $12,493.02 |
$-277.34 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $246.67 | 50 | $12,333.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $252.63 | 50 | $12,631.74 | $12,791.26 |
+$298.24 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $260.83 | 49 | $12,780.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.79 | 49 | $12,876.70 | $12,887.54 |
+$96.28 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $268.62 | 47 | $12,625.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.61 | 47 | $12,906.90 | $13,169.31 |
+$281.76 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $276.32 | 47 | $12,987.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $274.34 | 47 | $12,893.98 | $13,076.24 |
$-93.06 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $258.55 | 50 | $12,927.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $264.43 | 50 | $13,221.50 | $13,370.24 |
+$294.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $264.85 | 50 | $13,242.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $267.77 | 50 | $13,388.50 | $13,516.03 |
+$145.79 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $271.96 | 49 | $13,326.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.15 | 49 | $12,845.59 | $13,035.59 |
$-480.44 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $262.17 | 49 | $12,846.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.69 | 49 | $12,528.81 | $12,718.07 |
$-317.52 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $258.65 | 49 | $12,673.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $250.87 | 49 | $12,292.63 | $12,336.85 |
$-381.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $252.80 | 48 | $12,134.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.25 | 48 | $12,204.00 | $12,406.45 |
+$69.60 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 49 | $12,309.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $256.25 | 49 | $12,556.25 | $12,653.41 |
+$246.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $252.53 | 50 | $12,626.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $254.18 | 50 | $12,708.75 | $12,735.66 |
+$82.25 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $254.85 | 49 | $12,487.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $260.12 | 49 | $12,745.88 | $12,993.88 |
+$258.22 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $251.38 | 51 | $12,820.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.92 | 51 | $13,153.92 | $13,327.17 |
+$333.29 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $258.82 | 51 | $13,199.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.88 | 51 | $13,304.63 | $13,431.97 |
+$104.80 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $265.07 | 50 | $13,253.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $271.36 | 50 | $13,568.25 | $13,746.97 |
+$315.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $271.86 | 50 | $13,593.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.92 | 50 | $13,296.00 | $13,449.97 |
$-297.00 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $270.22 | 49 | $13,240.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.94 | 49 | $13,668.06 | $13,877.28 |
+$427.31 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $275.36 | 50 | $13,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $281.07 | 50 | $14,053.50 | $14,162.79 |
+$285.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $284.58 | 49 | $13,944.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $291.17 | 49 | $14,267.33 | $14,485.70 |
+$322.91 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,485.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,485.70
Total Return:
+44.86%