AMGN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 38 trades in period
+12.45%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,319.05
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$10,066.14
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
24.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 23.9
30-Day Momentum
25
+2.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.5
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,497
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,066.14
Current Value
$11,319.05
Period P&L
$1,252.92
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
23 /
15
Best Trade
+2.78%
Worst Trade
-3.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$846,385.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,252.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,252.92
Gross Return
+12.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,066.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $316.71 | 31 | $9,818.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $325.47 | 31 | $10,089.57 | $10,372.43 |
+$271.56 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:25am ET | $329.71 | 31 | $10,221.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 2:50pm ET | $336.72 | 31 | $10,438.32 | $10,589.74 |
+$217.31 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:25pm ET | $336.81 | 31 | $10,441.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $344.09 | 31 | $10,666.79 | $10,815.42 |
+$225.68 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET | $336.96 | 32 | $10,782.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $343.88 | 32 | $11,004.00 | $11,036.70 |
+$221.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:30pm ET | $341.96 | 32 | $10,942.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.59 | 32 | $10,770.72 | $10,864.70 |
$-172.00 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET | $338.75 | 32 | $10,840.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $341.85 | 32 | $10,939.20 | $10,963.90 |
+$99.20 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:15am ET | $339.26 | 32 | $10,856.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 2:25pm ET | $346.19 | 32 | $11,078.08 | $11,185.66 |
+$221.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:25pm ET | $340.56 | 32 | $10,897.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET | $329.86 | 32 | $10,555.52 | $10,843.26 |
$-342.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:30pm ET | $320.98 | 33 | $10,592.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $322.92 | 33 | $10,656.36 | $10,907.31 |
+$64.05 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 11:00am ET | $323.66 | 33 | $10,680.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET | $330.66 | 33 | $10,911.62 | $11,138.14 |
+$230.83 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:45am ET | $330.93 | 33 | $10,920.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.32 | 33 | $10,999.56 | $11,217.01 |
+$78.87 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET | $328.26 | 34 | $11,160.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.71 | 34 | $11,040.14 | $11,096.31 |
$-120.70 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $323.95 | 34 | $11,014.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $330.64 | 34 | $11,241.76 | $11,323.77 |
+$227.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.43 | 33 | $11,168.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $328.04 | 33 | $10,825.32 | $10,980.90 |
$-342.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $325.06 | 33 | $10,726.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $331.61 | 33 | $10,943.13 | $11,197.21 |
+$216.32 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $331.70 | 33 | $10,946.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $338.56 | 33 | $11,172.32 | $11,423.43 |
+$226.22 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $349.04 | 32 | $11,169.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $352.13 | 32 | $11,268.31 | $11,522.61 |
+$99.19 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $346.20 | 33 | $11,424.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $345.60 | 33 | $11,404.80 | $11,502.81 |
$-19.80 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $343.23 | 33 | $11,326.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.78 | 33 | $11,641.74 | $11,817.96 |
+$315.15 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $370.98 | 31 | $11,500.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $378.45 | 31 | $11,731.95 | $12,049.53 |
+$231.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $374.95 | 32 | $11,998.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $368.88 | 32 | $11,804.00 | $11,855.13 |
$-194.40 (-1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $370.84 | 31 | $11,496.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $378.36 | 31 | $11,729.16 | $12,088.25 |
+$233.12 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $376.93 | 32 | $12,061.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $381.04 | 32 | $12,193.12 | $12,219.45 |
+$131.20 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $383.01 | 31 | $11,873.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $384.80 | 31 | $11,928.65 | $12,274.79 |
+$55.34 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $376.73 | 32 | $12,055.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $364.87 | 32 | $11,675.84 | $11,895.27 |
$-379.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $365.74 | 32 | $11,703.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $373.23 | 32 | $11,943.36 | $12,134.95 |
+$239.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $377.62 | 32 | $12,083.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.66 | 32 | $11,765.12 | $11,816.23 |
$-318.72 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $365.98 | 32 | $11,711.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $354.93 | 32 | $11,357.76 | $11,462.63 |
$-353.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $353.15 | 32 | $11,300.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $347.81 | 32 | $11,129.92 | $11,291.75 |
$-170.88 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $356.05 | 31 | $11,037.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $350.26 | 31 | $10,858.06 | $11,112.26 |
$-179.49 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:30am ET | $349.49 | 31 | $10,834.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.81 | 31 | $10,720.11 | $10,998.18 |
$-114.08 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $338.67 | 32 | $10,837.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $345.52 | 32 | $11,056.64 | $11,217.22 |
+$219.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $353.82 | 31 | $10,968.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $350.70 | 31 | $10,871.85 | $11,120.81 |
$-96.41 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $347.14 | 32 | $11,108.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $354.36 | 32 | $11,339.68 | $11,352.01 |
+$231.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $351.42 | 32 | $11,245.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $340.42 | 32 | $10,893.28 | $10,999.85 |
$-352.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $346.49 | 31 | $10,741.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $346.17 | 31 | $10,731.27 | $10,989.78 |
$-10.07 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $341.99 | 32 | $10,943.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $348.89 | 32 | $11,164.32 | $11,210.42 |
+$220.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $327.99 | 34 | $11,151.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $331.19 | 34 | $11,260.46 | $11,319.05 |
+$108.63 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,319.05
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,319.05
Total Return:
+13.19%