Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:35:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

68
+17.4%
30d Return
79%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.8 Conf: 0.98×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,179
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,894.27
Current Value
$15,683.77
Period P&L
$-210.49
Max Drawdown
-36.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
34 / 29
Best Trade
+7.87%
Worst Trade
-7.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,737,340.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-210.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-210.49
Gross Return
-1.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,894.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:50pm ET $159.94 100 $15,994.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $152.95 100 $15,295.00 $15,379.26 $-699.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:10am ET $156.57 98 $15,343.37
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $150.49 98 $14,748.02 $14,783.91 $-595.35
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET $149.81 98 $14,681.38
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $143.89 98 $14,100.73 $14,203.26 $-580.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:20am ET $140.03 101 $14,143.03
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET $143.34 101 $14,476.84 $14,537.07 +$333.81
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $141.15 102 $14,397.30
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $135.82 102 $13,853.54 $13,993.30 $-543.76
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:10am ET $137.86 101 $13,923.86
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $141.23 101 $14,264.23 $14,333.67 +$340.37
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET $126.25 113 $14,266.25
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:20am ET $128.92 113 $14,567.96 $14,635.38 +$301.71
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $135.34 108 $14,616.72
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $130.68 108 $14,112.90 $14,131.56 $-503.82
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:45am ET $133.15 106 $14,113.90
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:45am ET $134.00 106 $14,204.00 $14,221.66 +$90.10
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET $138.07 103 $14,221.21
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:45am ET $140.96 103 $14,518.88 $14,519.33 +$297.67
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:50pm ET $141.78 102 $14,461.05
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $140.59 102 $14,340.18 $14,398.46 $-120.87
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $135.70 106 $14,384.20
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $131.58 106 $13,947.48 $13,961.74 $-436.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:40am ET $125.87 110 $13,845.70
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $121.93 110 $13,412.30 $13,528.34 $-433.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:40am ET $120.03 112 $13,442.80
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:30am ET $116.18 112 $13,012.16 $13,097.70 $-430.64
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $115.56 113 $13,058.28
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $112.07 113 $12,663.91 $12,703.33 $-394.37
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:55am ET $111.26 114 $12,683.64
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:55am ET $110.16 114 $12,558.24 $12,577.93 $-125.40
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $110.88 113 $12,529.44
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $114.49 113 $12,937.37 $12,985.86 +$407.93
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:35am ET $120.71 107 $12,915.97
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $116.96 107 $12,514.72 $12,584.61 $-401.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $115.41 109 $12,579.69
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $111.55 109 $12,158.95 $12,163.87 $-420.74
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET $111.17 109 $12,117.53
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $107.69 109 $11,738.74 $11,785.09 $-378.79
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $102.33 115 $11,767.59
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $104.75 115 $12,046.25 $12,063.74 +$278.66
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.14 114 $11,985.96
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:45am ET $107.63 114 $12,269.25 $12,347.03 +$283.29
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:50am ET $109.16 113 $12,335.08
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $114.26 113 $12,911.38 $12,923.33 +$576.30
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $119.93 107 $12,832.51
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $116.30 107 $12,444.10 $12,534.92 $-388.41
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:55am ET $114.65 109 $12,496.41
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $111.20 109 $12,120.91 $12,159.42 $-375.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $107.15 113 $12,107.95
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $106.10 113 $11,989.30 $12,040.77 $-118.65
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $103.56 116 $12,012.96
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $106.20 116 $12,319.20 $12,347.01 +$306.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $112.44 109 $12,256.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $116.45 109 $12,692.65 $12,783.15 +$436.14
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $121.29 105 $12,735.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $123.76 105 $12,994.80 $13,042.50 +$259.35
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $129.08 101 $13,037.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $125.17 101 $12,642.17 $12,647.59 $-394.91
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $124.48 101 $12,572.48
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.42 101 $12,970.42 $13,045.53 +$397.94
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:10am ET $124.64 104 $12,962.56
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET $127.50 104 $13,260.00 $13,342.97 +$297.44
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET $123.77 107 $13,243.39
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $127.49 107 $13,640.90 $13,740.48 +$397.51
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:20am ET $130.80 105 $13,734.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $126.85 105 $13,319.25 $13,325.73 $-414.75
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $127.02 104 $13,210.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $122.83 104 $12,774.32 $12,889.97 $-435.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $117.04 110 $12,874.58
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $120.76 110 $13,283.59 $13,298.98 +$409.01
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $124.69 106 $13,217.14
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $120.40 106 $12,762.40 $12,844.24 $-454.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:10am ET $117.36 109 $12,792.78
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $113.61 109 $12,383.49 $12,434.95 $-409.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:15am ET $119.18 104 $12,394.72
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $121.61 104 $12,647.44 $12,687.67 +$252.72
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $119.94 105 $12,593.70
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:15am ET $116.10 105 $12,189.98 $12,283.94 $-403.73
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $116.74 105 $12,257.70
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $119.14 105 $12,509.70 $12,535.94 +$252.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:15am ET $126.20 99 $12,493.80
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $129.18 99 $12,788.33 $12,830.47 +$294.53
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:25am ET $127.77 100 $12,777.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 100 $13,783.00 $13,836.47 +$1,006.00
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:25am ET $136.52 101 $13,788.52
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $139.68 101 $14,108.18 $14,156.13 +$319.66
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $159.61 88 $14,045.69
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $154.63 88 $13,607.44 $13,717.88 $-438.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $142.37 96 $13,667.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $137.87 96 $13,235.76 $13,286.12 $-431.76
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:20pm ET $148.70 89 $13,234.39
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 89 $13,882.22 $13,933.95 +$647.83
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $148.18 94 $13,929.39
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $151.18 94 $14,211.39 $14,215.95 +$282.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $147.59 96 $14,168.16
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $141.91 96 $13,623.84 $13,671.63 $-544.32
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 93 $13,665.89
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $149.93 93 $13,943.49 $13,949.23 +$277.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $148.40 93 $13,801.20
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $152.38 93 $14,171.80 $14,319.84 +$370.61
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $147.72 96 $14,181.12
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $150.90 96 $14,486.73 $14,625.45 +$305.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $158.18 92 $14,552.56
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $161.41 92 $14,849.74 $14,922.63 +$297.18
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $158.04 94 $14,855.76
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $162.93 94 $15,315.42 $15,382.29 +$459.66
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $164.37 93 $15,286.41
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:50am ET $167.86 93 $15,610.98 $15,706.86 +$324.57
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 90 $15,649.20
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $179.75 90 $16,177.50 $16,235.16 +$528.30
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:50am ET $206.97 78 $16,143.66
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 78 $17,311.44 $17,402.94 +$1,167.78
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 80 $17,384.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 80 $16,112.94 $16,131.88 $-1,271.06
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 82 $16,077.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET $200.95 82 $16,477.89 $16,532.02 +$400.14
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $209.48 78 $16,339.28
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $214.01 78 $16,692.39 $16,885.13 +$353.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
61 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $212.68 79 $16,801.73
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $205.34 79 $16,221.86 $16,305.26 $-579.87
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
62 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $206.19 79 $16,289.13
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.12 79 $16,678.09 $16,694.22 +$388.96
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
63 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $237.08 70 $16,595.60
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 70 $15,585.15 $15,683.77 $-1,010.45
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,683.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,683.77
Total Return: +56.84%
Back to Rebel Contraire