AVGO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-22 to present • 52 trades in period
-10.27%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,297.03
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$18,162.27
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
38.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 38.5
30-Day Momentum
19
-4.0%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.7
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,084
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$18,162.27
Current Value
$16,297.03
Period P&L
$-1,865.20
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
30 /
22
Best Trade
+4.28%
Worst Trade
-14.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,812,877.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,865.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,865.20
Gross Return
-10.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,162.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $340.93 | 53 | $18,069.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $348.19 | 53 | $18,454.07 | $18,547.01 |
+$384.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $350.28 | 52 | $18,214.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:35pm ET | $348.34 | 52 | $18,113.68 | $18,446.13 |
$-100.88 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 1:20pm ET | $350.86 | 52 | $18,244.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $358.28 | 52 | $18,630.46 | $18,831.87 |
+$385.74 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $337.69 | 55 | $18,572.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $344.73 | 55 | $18,960.15 | $19,219.07 |
+$387.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $342.93 | 56 | $19,204.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $332.31 | 56 | $18,609.36 | $18,624.35 |
$-594.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $344.97 | 53 | $18,283.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $351.92 | 53 | $18,651.76 | $18,992.70 |
+$368.35 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $354.41 | 53 | $18,783.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $343.58 | 53 | $18,209.48 | $18,418.71 |
$-573.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $347.37 | 53 | $18,410.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $339.48 | 53 | $17,992.18 | $18,000.27 |
$-418.43 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $326.37 | 55 | $17,950.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.23 | 55 | $18,327.65 | $18,377.85 |
+$377.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $320.44 | 57 | $18,265.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $327.10 | 57 | $18,644.70 | $18,757.47 |
+$379.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $328.12 | 57 | $18,702.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $334.70 | 57 | $19,077.62 | $19,132.24 |
+$374.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $331.92 | 57 | $18,919.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $321.73 | 57 | $18,338.33 | $18,551.13 |
$-581.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $307.97 | 60 | $18,478.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $298.51 | 60 | $17,910.60 | $17,983.53 |
$-567.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $318.50 | 56 | $17,836.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $308.11 | 56 | $17,253.88 | $17,401.41 |
$-582.12 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $332.93 | 52 | $17,312.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $340.92 | 52 | $17,727.84 | $17,816.89 |
+$415.48 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $344.81 | 51 | $17,585.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $343.04 | 51 | $17,495.12 | $17,726.70 |
$-90.19 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.55 | 55 | $17,575.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $326.29 | 55 | $17,945.95 | $18,097.40 |
+$370.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $335.40 | 53 | $17,776.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $332.06 | 53 | $17,599.08 | $17,920.28 |
$-177.12 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $326.88 | 54 | $17,651.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.83 | 54 | $18,026.82 | $18,295.85 |
+$375.57 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $321.30 | 56 | $17,992.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $311.42 | 56 | $17,439.52 | $17,742.57 |
$-553.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $316.83 | 56 | $17,742.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $319.92 | 56 | $17,915.80 | $17,916.17 |
+$173.60 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $328.70 | 54 | $17,749.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $336.49 | 54 | $18,170.46 | $18,336.83 |
+$420.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $344.57 | 53 | $18,262.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $351.87 | 53 | $18,649.11 | $18,723.73 |
+$386.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $341.26 | 54 | $18,428.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $330.18 | 54 | $17,829.72 | $18,125.41 |
$-598.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $328.40 | 55 | $18,062.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET | $318.52 | 55 | $17,518.87 | $17,582.29 |
$-543.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $320.32 | 54 | $17,297.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $308.88 | 54 | $16,679.25 | $16,964.26 |
$-618.03 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $318.64 | 53 | $16,887.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $326.12 | 53 | $17,284.36 | $17,360.70 |
+$396.44 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $318.21 | 54 | $17,183.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 54 | $16,459.74 | $16,637.10 |
$-723.60 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $299.69 | 55 | $16,482.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $290.67 | 55 | $15,986.85 | $16,141.00 |
$-496.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $309.35 | 52 | $16,086.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.10 | 52 | $16,385.20 | $16,440.00 |
+$299.00 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $325.20 | 50 | $16,260.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $332.99 | 50 | $16,649.50 | $16,829.50 |
+$389.50 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $349.21 | 48 | $16,762.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $356.27 | 48 | $17,100.96 | $17,168.37 |
+$338.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $372.23 | 46 | $17,122.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.28 | 46 | $17,492.88 | $17,538.44 |
+$370.07 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $394.42 | 44 | $17,354.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $403.24 | 44 | $17,742.78 | $17,926.74 |
+$388.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $396.52 | 45 | $17,843.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.98 | 45 | $18,314.10 | $18,397.44 |
+$470.70 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $426.08 | 43 | $18,321.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.89 | 43 | $17,625.06 | $17,701.06 |
$-696.38 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $416.37 | 42 | $17,487.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.30 | 42 | $16,812.81 | $17,026.33 |
$-674.73 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $398.92 | 42 | $16,754.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.00 | 42 | $17,472.00 | $17,743.69 |
+$717.36 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $420.30 | 42 | $17,652.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $429.53 | 42 | $18,040.26 | $18,131.35 |
+$387.66 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $422.53 | 42 | $17,746.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $409.26 | 42 | $17,188.92 | $17,574.01 |
$-557.34 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $428.60 | 41 | $17,572.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $413.63 | 41 | $16,958.83 | $16,960.24 |
$-613.77 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $413.20 | 41 | $16,941.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.52 | 41 | $17,610.52 | $17,629.56 |
+$669.32 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $425.55 | 41 | $17,447.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.71 | 41 | $16,798.31 | $16,980.53 |
$-649.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $418.18 | 40 | $16,727.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.94 | 40 | $16,757.60 | $17,010.93 |
+$30.40 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $424.93 | 40 | $16,997.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $437.00 | 40 | $17,480.00 | $17,493.73 |
+$482.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $448.96 | 38 | $17,060.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $457.99 | 38 | $17,403.81 | $17,836.87 |
+$343.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $479.54 | 37 | $17,742.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.39 | 37 | $15,184.25 | $15,278.14 |
$-2,558.73 (-14.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.00 | 37 | $14,947.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $391.69 | 37 | $14,492.53 | $14,822.73 |
$-455.41 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $394.80 | 37 | $14,607.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $404.95 | 37 | $14,983.15 | $15,198.28 |
+$375.55 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $372.63 | 40 | $14,905.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $380.19 | 40 | $15,207.60 | $15,500.68 |
+$302.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $383.36 | 40 | $15,334.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.25 | 40 | $15,810.00 | $15,976.08 |
+$475.40 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $384.67 | 41 | $15,771.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $392.50 | 41 | $16,092.50 | $16,297.03 |
+$320.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,297.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,297.03
Total Return:
+62.97%