BAC Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 38 trades in period
+18.97%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,192.72
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$12,769.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.2/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
39.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 38.8
30-Day Momentum
67
+13.2%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
5.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.7
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+28 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,713
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,769.74
Current Value
$15,192.72
Period P&L
$2,422.98
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
25 /
13
Best Trade
+3.91%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,009,158.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,422.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,422.98
Gross Return
+18.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,769.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $52.97 | 238 | $12,606.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $53.74 | 238 | $12,788.93 | $12,821.24 |
+$182.07 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $54.58 | 234 | $12,771.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:40pm ET | $52.86 | 234 | $12,368.07 | $12,417.59 |
$-403.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $52.48 | 236 | $12,384.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET | $51.98 | 236 | $12,266.10 | $12,299.59 |
$-118.00 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $51.01 | 241 | $12,292.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $52.05 | 241 | $12,542.85 | $12,550.23 |
+$250.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:50pm ET | $52.53 | 238 | $12,502.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $53.65 | 238 | $12,767.70 | $12,815.79 |
+$265.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET | $53.48 | 239 | $12,781.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.60 | 239 | $13,048.21 | $13,082.28 |
+$266.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $54.34 | 240 | $13,041.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:15am ET | $53.72 | 240 | $12,891.60 | $12,932.28 |
$-150.00 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:15pm ET | $54.13 | 238 | $12,881.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 1:10pm ET | $55.21 | 238 | $13,139.98 | $13,190.51 |
+$258.23 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.21 | 238 | $13,139.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.68 | 238 | $13,251.84 | $13,302.37 |
+$111.86 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:10am ET | $56.00 | 237 | $13,272.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 237 | $13,310.99 | $13,341.12 |
+$38.75 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $55.24 | 241 | $13,312.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.65 | 241 | $13,652.65 | $13,680.93 |
+$339.81 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $56.92 | 240 | $13,659.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.01 | 240 | $13,201.20 | $13,222.53 |
$-458.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.94 | 240 | $13,184.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.53 | 240 | $12,606.00 | $12,644.13 |
$-578.40 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $52.25 | 242 | $12,643.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $53.30 | 242 | $12,898.60 | $12,899.44 |
+$255.31 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $52.40 | 246 | $12,889.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.96 | 246 | $12,782.16 | $12,792.43 |
$-107.01 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $51.99 | 246 | $12,788.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.05 | 246 | $13,050.30 | $13,054.42 |
+$261.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.99 | 241 | $13,010.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.09 | 241 | $13,276.69 | $13,320.72 |
+$266.30 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $55.63 | 239 | $13,296.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $56.79 | 239 | $13,574.00 | $13,597.96 |
+$277.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $56.49 | 240 | $13,556.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $55.76 | 240 | $13,383.60 | $13,425.16 |
$-172.80 (-1.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
23.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $52.99 | 253 | $13,407.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.79 | 253 | $13,357.13 | $13,374.56 |
$-50.60 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.00 | 267 | $13,350.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.01 | 267 | $13,618.34 | $13,642.90 |
+$268.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $52.37 | 260 | $13,616.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.57 | 260 | $13,148.20 | $13,174.90 |
$-468.00 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $50.09 | 263 | $13,173.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.48 | 263 | $12,750.24 | $12,751.47 |
$-423.43 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.47 | 268 | $12,720.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.47 | 268 | $12,991.30 | $13,022.15 |
+$270.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $48.28 | 269 | $12,987.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:45pm ET | $46.83 | 269 | $12,597.27 | $12,632.10 |
$-390.05 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $46.91 | 269 | $12,618.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $48.01 | 269 | $12,914.69 | $12,928.00 |
+$295.90 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.52 | 272 | $12,924.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.91 | 272 | $13,031.52 | $13,035.25 |
+$107.25 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $47.64 | 273 | $13,005.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.97 | 273 | $13,367.45 | $13,396.98 |
+$361.73 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.70 | 275 | $13,392.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $47.21 | 275 | $12,982.75 | $12,987.23 |
$-409.75 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $47.19 | 275 | $12,977.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.15 | 275 | $13,242.62 | $13,252.61 |
+$265.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $49.36 | 268 | $13,228.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $49.99 | 268 | $13,395.98 | $13,420.11 |
+$167.50 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $49.99 | 268 | $13,395.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.94 | 268 | $13,919.92 | $13,944.05 |
+$523.94 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $51.98 | 268 | $13,930.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $53.03 | 268 | $14,210.70 | $14,224.11 |
+$280.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $53.33 | 266 | $14,185.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.55 | 266 | $14,510.30 | $14,548.63 |
+$324.52 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $54.04 | 269 | $14,536.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $54.50 | 269 | $14,660.50 | $14,673.04 |
+$124.41 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.54 | 274 | $14,670.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.71 | 274 | $14,442.54 | $14,445.13 |
$-227.91 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $52.69 | 274 | $14,437.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.88 | 274 | $14,761.75 | $14,769.82 |
+$324.69 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $52.42 | 281 | $14,728.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.92 | 281 | $15,151.52 | $15,192.72 |
+$422.90 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,192.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,192.72
Total Return:
+51.93%