BMY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-22 to present • 36 trades in period
-0.78%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,074.09
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,145.30
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
9.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.8
30-Day Momentum
3
-6.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,496
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,145.30
Current Value
$9,074.09
Period P&L
$-71.16
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
20 /
16
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-3.90%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$672,721.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-71.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-71.16
Gross Return
-0.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,145.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $53.98 | 168 | $9,069.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.23 | 168 | $9,109.80 | $9,152.81 |
+$40.71 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:10am ET | $54.34 | 168 | $9,128.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.51 | 168 | $9,157.93 | $9,182.46 |
+$29.65 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.00 | 170 | $9,179.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.04 | 170 | $9,016.80 | $9,020.11 |
$-162.35 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $54.33 | 166 | $9,017.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.60 | 166 | $9,229.60 | $9,231.76 |
+$211.65 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $56.65 | 162 | $9,176.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $55.80 | 162 | $9,039.60 | $9,094.87 |
$-136.89 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $56.88 | 159 | $9,043.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $55.15 | 159 | $8,768.85 | $8,820.59 |
$-274.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $54.29 | 162 | $8,794.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.40 | 162 | $8,974.82 | $9,001.24 |
+$180.65 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $54.77 | 164 | $8,982.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.89 | 164 | $9,165.96 | $9,184.92 |
+$183.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $55.15 | 166 | $9,154.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $55.65 | 166 | $9,237.90 | $9,267.94 |
+$83.02 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $56.19 | 164 | $9,215.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $57.35 | 164 | $9,404.58 | $9,456.54 |
+$188.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $58.06 | 162 | $9,405.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $59.43 | 162 | $9,627.66 | $9,678.48 |
+$221.94 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $61.17 | 158 | $9,665.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $60.65 | 158 | $9,582.70 | $9,595.53 |
$-82.95 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $60.42 | 158 | $9,546.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.01 | 158 | $9,639.58 | $9,688.75 |
+$93.22 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $61.30 | 158 | $9,685.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $62.53 | 158 | $9,879.74 | $9,883.09 |
+$194.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $62.08 | 159 | $9,869.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.65 | 159 | $9,485.14 | $9,498.31 |
$-384.78 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.65 | 159 | $9,484.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $60.88 | 159 | $9,680.71 | $9,694.67 |
+$196.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:45pm ET | $59.76 | 162 | $9,681.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $59.66 | 162 | $9,664.92 | $9,677.66 |
$-17.01 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $60.53 | 159 | $9,625.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $58.69 | 159 | $9,331.71 | $9,384.30 |
$-293.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $57.36 | 163 | $9,349.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $58.55 | 163 | $9,543.65 | $9,578.27 |
+$193.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $59.24 | 161 | $9,537.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $60.77 | 161 | $9,783.86 | $9,824.49 |
+$246.22 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $61.19 | 160 | $9,790.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $59.29 | 160 | $9,486.40 | $9,520.49 |
$-304.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $59.19 | 160 | $9,471.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.19 | 160 | $9,309.60 | $9,358.89 |
$-161.60 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $58.33 | 160 | $9,332.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $59.51 | 160 | $9,521.60 | $9,548.49 |
+$189.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $59.67 | 160 | $9,547.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.26 | 160 | $9,322.40 | $9,323.69 |
$-224.80 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $58.10 | 160 | $9,296.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.44 | 160 | $9,509.60 | $9,537.29 |
+$213.60 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $58.94 | 161 | $9,490.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $57.06 | 161 | $9,186.66 | $9,233.81 |
$-303.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $57.14 | 161 | $9,199.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.38 | 161 | $9,077.98 | $9,112.25 |
$-121.56 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.55 | 164 | $9,110.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $56.79 | 164 | $9,313.56 | $9,315.61 |
+$203.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $56.17 | 165 | $9,268.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.48 | 165 | $9,484.20 | $9,530.94 |
+$215.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $58.16 | 163 | $9,480.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $59.35 | 163 | $9,673.24 | $9,724.10 |
+$193.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $59.60 | 163 | $9,714.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.33 | 163 | $9,345.60 | $9,354.91 |
$-369.19 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.22 | 163 | $9,326.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.45 | 163 | $9,038.35 | $9,066.40 |
$-288.51 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.72 | 165 | $9,027.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.01 | 165 | $9,241.63 | $9,280.06 |
+$213.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.83 | 163 | $9,263.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.15 | 163 | $9,153.26 | $9,170.03 |
$-110.03 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.33 | 162 | $9,125.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.51 | 162 | $9,316.62 | $9,361.19 |
+$191.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $56.50 | 165 | $9,322.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.76 | 165 | $9,035.40 | $9,074.09 |
$-287.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,074.09
Net Profit/Loss:
$-925.91
Total Return:
-9.26%