CMCSA Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 35 trades in period
-9.56%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,378.04
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$5,946.39
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
6.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 6.1
30-Day Momentum
2
-6.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,271
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,946.39
Current Value
$5,378.04
Period P&L
$-568.34
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
17 /
18
Best Trade
+2.80%
Worst Trade
-6.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$425,147.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-568.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-568.34
Gross Return
-9.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,946.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $27.68 | 216 | $5,978.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $26.83 | 216 | $5,795.28 | $5,801.67 |
$-183.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:50pm ET | $27.58 | 210 | $5,791.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $28.24 | 210 | $5,929.35 | $5,939.22 |
+$137.55 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $27.33 | 217 | $5,929.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $27.03 | 217 | $5,865.75 | $5,875.44 |
$-63.78 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $27.03 | 217 | $5,864.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:20am ET | $26.90 | 217 | $5,836.80 | $5,847.82 |
$-27.62 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $26.72 | 218 | $5,823.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:20pm ET | $26.75 | 218 | $5,831.50 | $5,855.45 |
+$7.63 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:55pm ET | $26.47 | 221 | $5,848.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 1:50pm ET | $27.21 | 221 | $6,012.33 | $6,019.01 |
+$163.56 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:55pm ET | $27.44 | 219 | $6,008.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:45am ET | $28.00 | 219 | $6,130.91 | $6,141.65 |
+$122.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:10am ET | $27.11 | 226 | $6,125.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:15pm ET | $27.68 | 226 | $6,254.55 | $6,270.47 |
+$128.82 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $27.61 | 227 | $6,267.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:00pm ET | $28.20 | 227 | $6,401.40 | $6,404.40 |
+$133.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:50pm ET | $29.52 | 216 | $6,375.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $30.12 | 216 | $6,505.92 | $6,535.08 |
+$130.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:35pm ET | $30.35 | 215 | $6,524.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:50am ET | $29.42 | 215 | $6,325.34 | $6,336.25 |
$-198.83 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET | $29.19 | 217 | $6,333.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:10pm ET | $29.77 | 217 | $6,460.09 | $6,463.19 |
+$126.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $29.61 | 218 | $6,453.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.75 | 218 | $6,049.50 | $6,058.80 |
$-404.39 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.50 | 220 | $6,048.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.06 | 220 | $6,172.10 | $6,182.00 |
+$123.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $28.18 | 219 | $6,171.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $28.77 | 219 | $6,299.54 | $6,310.12 |
+$128.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $28.96 | 217 | $6,283.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $28.05 | 217 | $6,085.77 | $6,112.65 |
$-197.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.89 | 219 | $6,106.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $28.45 | 219 | $6,230.55 | $6,236.38 |
+$123.74 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:10pm ET | $28.81 | 216 | $6,221.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $29.39 | 216 | $6,347.16 | $6,361.66 |
+$125.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $29.22 | 217 | $6,339.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $28.85 | 217 | $6,259.37 | $6,281.37 |
$-80.29 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $29.44 | 213 | $6,269.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $30.07 | 213 | $6,404.91 | $6,416.63 |
+$135.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $30.97 | 207 | $6,410.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $31.46 | 207 | $6,512.22 | $6,518.06 |
+$101.43 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $31.57 | 206 | $6,503.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.32 | 206 | $6,451.92 | $6,466.56 |
$-51.50 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $31.72 | 203 | $6,439.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $30.76 | 203 | $6,245.29 | $6,272.70 |
$-193.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $30.90 | 203 | $6,272.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $31.17 | 203 | $6,326.50 | $6,326.50 |
+$53.80 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $31.82 | 198 | $6,300.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $30.83 | 198 | $6,105.33 | $6,131.47 |
$-195.03 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $30.66 | 199 | $6,101.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.27 | 199 | $6,023.73 | $6,053.86 |
$-77.61 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $30.47 | 198 | $6,033.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $29.44 | 198 | $5,830.11 | $5,850.12 |
$-203.74 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.13 | 200 | $5,825.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $29.59 | 200 | $5,918.00 | $5,943.12 |
+$93.00 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.93 | 205 | $5,930.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.73 | 205 | $5,888.63 | $5,901.10 |
$-42.02 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.49 | 207 | $5,896.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.63 | 207 | $5,719.41 | $5,724.11 |
$-176.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $28.06 | 204 | $5,723.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.91 | 204 | $5,693.64 | $5,694.53 |
$-29.58 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.90 | 204 | $5,691.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $28.48 | 204 | $5,809.92 | $5,812.85 |
+$118.32 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.70 | 195 | $5,792.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.35 | 195 | $5,724.22 | $5,744.60 |
$-68.25 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $31.84 | 180 | $5,731.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 180 | $5,452.20 | $5,465.60 |
$-279.00 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.43 | 199 | $5,458.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 199 | $5,371.01 | $5,378.04 |
$-87.56 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,378.04
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,621.96
Total Return:
-46.22%