COP Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 44 trades in period
+29.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,960.39
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$9,215.54
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
27.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 27.3
30-Day Momentum
48
+7.5%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.8
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,913
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,215.54
Current Value
$11,960.39
Period P&L
$2,744.87
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
30 /
14
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-5.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$903,967.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,744.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,744.87
Gross Return
+29.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,215.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:45pm ET | $88.07 | 104 | $9,159.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $89.92 | 104 | $9,351.17 | $9,407.42 |
+$191.89 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 2:15pm ET | $89.21 | 105 | $9,366.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:05am ET | $91.00 | 105 | $9,555.00 | $9,595.90 |
+$188.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $89.53 | 107 | $9,579.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $86.79 | 107 | $9,286.53 | $9,302.72 |
$-293.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $86.63 | 107 | $9,269.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $88.46 | 107 | $9,464.69 | $9,497.99 |
+$195.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $90.79 | 104 | $9,441.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $92.75 | 104 | $9,646.00 | $9,702.35 |
+$204.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:20am ET | $94.69 | 102 | $9,658.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $95.41 | 102 | $9,731.83 | $9,775.80 |
+$73.45 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:35am ET | $96.66 | 101 | $9,762.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $93.70 | 101 | $9,463.70 | $9,476.84 |
$-298.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $91.25 | 103 | $9,398.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $93.16 | 103 | $9,595.48 | $9,673.57 |
+$196.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $93.64 | 103 | $9,644.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET | $92.83 | 103 | $9,561.49 | $9,590.14 |
$-83.43 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $92.54 | 103 | $9,531.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $92.34 | 103 | $9,511.02 | $9,569.23 |
$-20.91 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:40am ET | $93.49 | 102 | $9,535.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $95.48 | 102 | $9,738.45 | $9,771.70 |
+$202.47 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $99.50 | 98 | $9,751.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.56 | 98 | $9,364.88 | $9,385.58 |
$-386.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $97.11 | 96 | $9,322.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $99.13 | 96 | $9,516.48 | $9,579.50 |
+$193.92 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $99.06 | 96 | $9,509.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $95.98 | 96 | $9,214.08 | $9,283.82 |
$-295.68 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $97.26 | 95 | $9,239.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $99.73 | 95 | $9,474.35 | $9,518.47 |
+$234.65 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $98.88 | 96 | $9,492.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $97.62 | 96 | $9,371.58 | $9,398.05 |
$-120.42 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $97.33 | 96 | $9,343.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $97.90 | 96 | $9,397.92 | $9,452.29 |
+$54.24 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $99.04 | 95 | $9,408.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $101.07 | 95 | $9,601.65 | $9,645.62 |
+$193.33 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $104.67 | 92 | $9,629.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.45 | 92 | $9,333.40 | $9,349.38 |
$-296.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $104.43 | 89 | $9,294.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.82 | 89 | $9,507.42 | $9,562.09 |
+$212.71 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.42 | 90 | $9,487.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $108.07 | 90 | $9,725.85 | $9,800.59 |
+$238.50 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $108.69 | 90 | $9,782.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $107.70 | 90 | $9,693.00 | $9,711.49 |
$-89.10 (-0.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
22h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.76 | 87 | $9,636.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $113.38 | 87 | $9,864.06 | $9,938.99 |
+$227.50 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $109.86 | 90 | $9,886.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $109.33 | 90 | $9,840.15 | $9,892.19 |
$-46.80 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $110.78 | 89 | $9,859.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $113.28 | 89 | $10,081.92 | $10,114.69 |
+$222.50 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $116.12 | 87 | $10,102.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.76 | 87 | $10,419.12 | $10,431.37 |
+$316.68 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $115.50 | 90 | $10,395.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $118.41 | 90 | $10,656.90 | $10,693.27 |
+$261.90 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $117.70 | 90 | $10,593.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $113.99 | 90 | $10,259.10 | $10,359.37 |
$-333.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $116.25 | 89 | $10,346.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $118.88 | 89 | $10,579.88 | $10,593.00 |
+$233.63 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $121.21 | 87 | $10,545.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $123.65 | 87 | $10,757.55 | $10,805.28 |
+$212.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET | $123.78 | 87 | $10,768.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.32 | 87 | $10,990.27 | $11,026.69 |
+$221.41 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $126.10 | 87 | $10,970.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.99 | 87 | $11,222.13 | $11,278.56 |
+$251.87 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $129.32 | 87 | $11,250.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $132.18 | 87 | $11,499.66 | $11,527.38 |
+$248.82 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $133.51 | 86 | $11,482.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $128.86 | 86 | $11,081.96 | $11,127.05 |
$-400.33 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $132.69 | 83 | $11,013.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $132.79 | 83 | $11,021.57 | $11,135.35 |
+$8.30 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $123.60 | 90 | $11,124.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.43 | 90 | $11,468.70 | $11,480.05 |
+$344.70 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $123.57 | 92 | $11,368.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $119.73 | 92 | $11,015.16 | $11,126.77 |
$-353.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $118.98 | 93 | $11,065.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $121.37 | 93 | $11,287.41 | $11,348.83 |
+$222.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $113.71 | 99 | $11,257.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $116.11 | 99 | $11,494.89 | $11,586.43 |
+$237.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $117.26 | 98 | $11,491.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $119.72 | 98 | $11,732.56 | $11,827.51 |
+$241.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $122.83 | 96 | $11,791.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $125.46 | 96 | $12,044.16 | $12,079.93 |
+$252.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $120.68 | 100 | $12,068.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.16 | 100 | $12,416.25 | $12,428.18 |
+$348.25 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $125.22 | 99 | $12,396.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $127.82 | 99 | $12,654.18 | $12,685.57 |
+$257.39 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $124.63 | 101 | $12,587.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.45 | 101 | $11,862.45 | $11,960.39 |
$-725.18 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,960.39
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,960.39
Total Return:
+19.60%