CRWD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 54 trades in period
-21.49%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,661.36
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$12,306.13
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
12.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.7
30-Day Momentum
27
+2.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.0
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,686
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,306.13
Current Value
$9,661.36
Period P&L
$-2,644.80
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
28 /
26
Best Trade
+4.27%
Worst Trade
-6.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,140,980.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,644.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,644.80
Gross Return
-21.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,306.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $531.41 | 23 | $12,222.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET | $542.07 | 23 | $12,467.61 | $12,551.36 |
+$245.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $554.83 | 22 | $12,206.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $534.31 | 22 | $11,754.83 | $12,099.93 |
$-451.43 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:50pm ET | $539.79 | 22 | $11,875.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $520.81 | 22 | $11,457.82 | $11,682.37 |
$-417.56 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $519.87 | 22 | $11,437.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $535.24 | 22 | $11,775.17 | $12,020.40 |
+$338.03 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $493.93 | 24 | $11,854.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $478.60 | 24 | $11,486.46 | $11,652.54 |
$-367.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:30am ET | $502.45 | 23 | $11,556.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:05pm ET | $513.16 | 23 | $11,802.68 | $11,898.87 |
+$246.33 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:35am ET | $506.47 | 23 | $11,648.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $517.03 | 23 | $11,891.69 | $12,141.86 |
+$243.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $493.70 | 24 | $11,848.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $503.67 | 24 | $12,088.08 | $12,381.21 |
+$239.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $514.50 | 24 | $12,348.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $525.40 | 24 | $12,609.60 | $12,642.81 |
+$261.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $516.33 | 24 | $12,391.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET | $526.91 | 24 | $12,645.72 | $12,896.61 |
+$253.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $506.40 | 25 | $12,660.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $517.79 | 25 | $12,944.75 | $13,181.36 |
+$284.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET | $520.95 | 25 | $13,023.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $501.94 | 25 | $12,548.56 | $12,706.30 |
$-475.06 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $495.71 | 25 | $12,392.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $480.54 | 25 | $12,013.50 | $12,327.05 |
$-379.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $476.36 | 25 | $11,909.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 1:25pm ET | $485.98 | 25 | $12,149.50 | $12,567.55 |
+$240.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:10pm ET | $483.02 | 26 | $12,558.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $478.41 | 26 | $12,438.73 | $12,447.76 |
$-119.79 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $472.24 | 26 | $12,278.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $457.96 | 26 | $11,906.96 | $12,076.47 |
$-371.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $464.51 | 25 | $11,612.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.29 | 25 | $11,857.25 | $12,320.97 |
+$244.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $471.96 | 26 | $12,270.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $470.85 | 26 | $12,242.04 | $12,292.05 |
$-28.92 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $470.15 | 26 | $12,223.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $455.46 | 26 | $11,841.96 | $11,910.24 |
$-381.81 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $465.76 | 25 | $11,644.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $450.95 | 25 | $11,273.75 | $11,539.99 |
$-370.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $456.50 | 25 | $11,412.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $442.32 | 25 | $11,058.00 | $11,185.49 |
$-354.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $451.97 | 24 | $10,847.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $462.88 | 24 | $11,109.00 | $11,447.21 |
+$261.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $480.21 | 23 | $11,044.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.43 | 23 | $10,290.78 | $10,693.16 |
$-754.05 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $444.62 | 24 | $10,670.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $430.86 | 24 | $10,340.64 | $10,362.92 |
$-330.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $405.24 | 25 | $10,131.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $415.82 | 25 | $10,395.58 | $10,627.50 |
+$264.59 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $407.82 | 26 | $10,603.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $394.21 | 26 | $10,249.52 | $10,273.84 |
$-353.67 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $392.97 | 26 | $10,217.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $401.49 | 26 | $10,438.87 | $10,495.49 |
+$221.65 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
54m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $414.74 | 25 | $10,368.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $414.88 | 25 | $10,372.00 | $10,498.86 |
+$3.38 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $418.00 | 25 | $10,450.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $404.98 | 25 | $10,124.62 | $10,173.48 |
$-325.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $419.66 | 24 | $10,071.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $430.83 | 24 | $10,339.92 | $10,441.56 |
+$268.08 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $359.28 | 29 | $10,419.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $348.17 | 29 | $10,096.79 | $10,119.23 |
$-322.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $351.10 | 28 | $9,830.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $359.26 | 28 | $10,059.28 | $10,347.71 |
+$228.48 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $381.40 | 27 | $10,297.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.35 | 27 | $9,945.45 | $9,995.36 |
$-352.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $382.74 | 26 | $9,951.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.23 | 26 | $9,573.98 | $9,617.97 |
$-377.39 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:05pm ET | $405.21 | 23 | $9,319.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $417.72 | 23 | $9,607.50 | $9,905.64 |
+$287.67 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $424.02 | 23 | $9,752.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $432.72 | 23 | $9,952.58 | $10,105.65 |
+$200.01 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $435.76 | 23 | $10,022.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.55 | 23 | $10,247.65 | $10,330.82 |
+$225.17 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $443.42 | 23 | $10,198.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $433.67 | 23 | $9,974.41 | $10,106.57 |
$-224.25 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $434.30 | 23 | $9,988.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 23 | $9,578.12 | $9,695.79 |
$-410.78 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $414.05 | 23 | $9,523.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $394.80 | 23 | $9,080.40 | $9,253.15 |
$-442.64 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $394.92 | 23 | $9,083.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 23 | $8,519.89 | $8,689.99 |
$-563.16 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $387.11 | 22 | $8,516.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.89 | 22 | $8,731.58 | $8,905.15 |
+$215.16 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $387.62 | 22 | $8,527.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $397.55 | 22 | $8,746.21 | $9,123.72 |
+$218.57 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $395.11 | 23 | $9,087.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $403.21 | 23 | $9,273.83 | $9,310.02 |
+$186.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $428.20 | 21 | $8,992.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $413.86 | 21 | $8,690.96 | $9,008.67 |
$-301.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $382.79 | 23 | $8,804.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $369.45 | 23 | $8,497.24 | $8,701.79 |
$-306.88 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $395.20 | 22 | $8,694.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.25 | 22 | $8,915.50 | $8,922.89 |
+$221.10 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $405.20 | 22 | $8,914.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.51 | 22 | $9,295.13 | $9,303.73 |
+$380.84 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $427.86 | 21 | $8,985.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $439.75 | 21 | $9,234.75 | $9,553.32 |
+$249.59 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $460.73 | 20 | $9,214.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $444.62 | 20 | $8,892.40 | $9,231.12 |
$-322.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $440.51 | 20 | $8,810.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $449.58 | 20 | $8,991.60 | $9,412.52 |
+$181.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $455.51 | 20 | $9,110.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $440.96 | 20 | $8,819.20 | $9,121.62 |
$-290.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $450.60 | 20 | $9,012.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $462.80 | 20 | $9,256.00 | $9,365.62 |
+$244.00 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $472.43 | 19 | $8,976.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 19 | $9,272.00 | $9,661.36 |
+$295.74 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,661.36
Net Profit/Loss:
$-338.64
Total Return:
-3.39%