CSCO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 35 trades in period
+27.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$19,279.62
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$15,142.83
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
70.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 69.9
30-Day Momentum
51
+8.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,243
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,142.83
Current Value
$19,279.62
Period P&L
$4,136.84
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+2.89%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,219,790.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,136.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,136.84
Gross Return
+27.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,142.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:35pm ET | $70.69 | 214 | $15,127.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.35 | 214 | $15,481.83 | $15,496.95 |
+$354.17 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $71.39 | 217 | $15,491.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $72.94 | 217 | $15,827.98 | $15,833.30 |
+$336.35 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 12:25pm ET | $77.24 | 204 | $15,757.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $78.84 | 204 | $16,083.36 | $16,158.72 |
+$325.42 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $77.59 | 208 | $16,138.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $79.16 | 208 | $16,465.28 | $16,485.28 |
+$326.56 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $75.94 | 217 | $16,479.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $75.97 | 217 | $16,485.49 | $16,491.70 |
+$6.42 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $76.47 | 215 | $16,441.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $77.31 | 215 | $16,620.58 | $16,671.23 |
+$179.53 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 12:55pm ET | $77.51 | 215 | $16,663.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $79.09 | 215 | $17,003.28 | $17,010.93 |
+$339.70 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:45am ET | $78.95 | 215 | $16,973.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $80.55 | 215 | $17,318.29 | $17,356.04 |
+$345.12 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $79.47 | 218 | $17,323.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:15pm ET | $77.48 | 218 | $16,890.64 | $16,923.31 |
$-432.73 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $76.61 | 220 | $16,854.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $78.20 | 220 | $17,204.00 | $17,273.11 |
+$349.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $78.11 | 221 | $17,262.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $77.94 | 221 | $17,224.74 | $17,235.54 |
$-37.57 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET | $77.24 | 223 | $17,223.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.59 | 223 | $17,079.57 | $17,091.71 |
$-143.83 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $75.44 | 226 | $17,048.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.42 | 226 | $16,592.92 | $16,636.32 |
$-455.39 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $74.76 | 222 | $16,595.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.56 | 222 | $16,551.21 | $16,591.92 |
$-44.40 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $73.97 | 224 | $16,568.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.10 | 224 | $17,046.40 | $17,070.16 |
+$478.24 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $78.23 | 218 | $17,054.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.11 | 218 | $17,027.98 | $17,044.00 |
$-26.16 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $82.32 | 207 | $17,041.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $84.02 | 207 | $17,392.14 | $17,394.86 |
+$350.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $81.93 | 212 | $17,370.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.91 | 212 | $17,788.92 | $17,813.57 |
+$418.70 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $85.66 | 207 | $17,731.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $87.77 | 207 | $18,168.53 | $18,250.48 |
+$436.91 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $76.70 | 237 | $18,177.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $78.24 | 237 | $18,542.90 | $18,615.48 |
+$365.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $78.89 | 235 | $18,537.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $78.25 | 235 | $18,388.75 | $18,466.25 |
$-149.23 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.68 | 234 | $18,409.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.57 | 234 | $18,385.38 | $18,441.68 |
$-24.57 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:15am ET | $79.68 | 231 | $18,404.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $77.01 | 231 | $17,789.54 | $17,826.30 |
$-615.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $78.10 | 228 | $17,806.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.98 | 228 | $18,007.44 | $18,026.94 |
+$200.64 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.31 | 227 | $18,003.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.51 | 227 | $17,821.77 | $17,845.34 |
$-181.60 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.13 | 228 | $17,813.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $79.75 | 228 | $18,183.00 | $18,214.70 |
+$369.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $82.33 | 221 | $18,196.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $79.80 | 221 | $17,635.80 | $17,654.47 |
$-560.23 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $78.32 | 225 | $17,620.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.22 | 225 | $17,825.62 | $17,859.22 |
+$204.75 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $80.12 | 222 | $17,786.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.31 | 222 | $18,271.71 | $18,344.29 |
+$485.07 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $84.35 | 217 | $18,303.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $81.73 | 217 | $17,735.41 | $17,775.75 |
$-568.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $81.65 | 217 | $17,718.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $83.34 | 217 | $18,084.78 | $18,142.48 |
+$366.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $85.48 | 212 | $18,121.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $87.22 | 212 | $18,490.64 | $18,511.36 |
+$368.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $88.92 | 208 | $18,494.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.77 | 208 | $18,464.16 | $18,481.20 |
$-30.16 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.46 | 211 | $18,454.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $89.32 | 211 | $18,846.52 | $18,873.66 |
+$392.46 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.31 | 204 | $18,831.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $94.30 | 204 | $19,237.20 | $19,279.62 |
+$405.96 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,279.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,279.62
Total Return:
+92.80%