CVX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 36 trades in period
+24.73%
Last 6 Months Return
$20,718.16
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$16,610.75
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
69
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
29.2/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
69.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 68.6
30-Day Momentum
13
-1.2%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,270
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,610.75
Current Value
$20,718.16
Period P&L
$4,107.43
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
25 /
11
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,340,034.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,107.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,107.43
Gross Return
+24.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,610.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $155.15 | 107 | $16,600.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $154.58 | 107 | $16,539.53 | $16,686.16 |
$-60.99 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $156.82 | 106 | $16,622.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.63 | 106 | $16,602.56 | $16,665.81 |
$-20.35 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET | $152.35 | 109 | $16,606.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.47 | 109 | $16,291.69 | $16,351.34 |
$-314.46 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $148.35 | 110 | $16,318.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:00am ET | $151.41 | 110 | $16,654.55 | $16,687.39 |
+$336.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $152.96 | 109 | $16,672.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.45 | 109 | $16,290.27 | $16,305.57 |
$-381.83 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $149.22 | 109 | $16,264.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.62 | 109 | $16,308.58 | $16,349.18 |
+$43.61 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $147.84 | 110 | $16,262.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $149.72 | 110 | $16,469.20 | $16,555.98 |
+$206.80 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET | $150.01 | 110 | $16,501.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $151.33 | 110 | $16,646.30 | $16,701.18 |
+$145.20 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $151.69 | 110 | $16,685.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $154.75 | 110 | $17,021.95 | $17,037.23 |
+$336.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $164.12 | 103 | $16,903.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $159.09 | 103 | $16,386.27 | $16,519.65 |
$-517.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $156.31 | 105 | $16,412.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $159.64 | 105 | $16,761.68 | $16,868.78 |
+$349.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $162.27 | 103 | $16,713.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $165.73 | 103 | $17,070.19 | $17,225.16 |
+$356.38 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $166.82 | 103 | $17,182.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.65 | 103 | $17,061.95 | $17,104.65 |
$-120.51 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.17 | 102 | $17,051.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $167.38 | 102 | $17,072.76 | $17,126.07 |
+$21.42 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $167.73 | 102 | $17,108.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.87 | 102 | $17,734.74 | $17,752.35 |
+$626.28 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $172.80 | 102 | $17,625.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $176.31 | 102 | $17,983.62 | $18,110.37 |
+$358.02 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $181.70 | 99 | $17,988.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $182.18 | 99 | $18,035.82 | $18,157.89 |
+$47.52 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $182.37 | 99 | $18,054.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $186.37 | 99 | $18,450.63 | $18,553.89 |
+$396.00 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $179.26 | 103 | $18,463.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.05 | 103 | $18,854.15 | $18,944.26 |
+$390.37 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $186.97 | 101 | $18,883.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $184.54 | 101 | $18,639.04 | $18,699.33 |
$-244.93 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $183.29 | 102 | $18,695.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $187.04 | 102 | $19,077.57 | $19,081.83 |
+$382.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $188.21 | 101 | $19,009.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.00 | 101 | $19,291.00 | $19,363.62 |
+$281.79 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $186.41 | 103 | $19,200.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $190.15 | 103 | $19,585.96 | $19,748.84 |
+$385.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $197.75 | 99 | $19,577.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $198.61 | 99 | $19,662.39 | $19,833.98 |
+$85.14 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $201.15 | 98 | $19,712.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.91 | 98 | $20,277.18 | $20,398.47 |
+$564.49 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $205.61 | 99 | $20,355.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $210.44 | 99 | $20,833.56 | $20,876.64 |
+$478.17 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.82 | 97 | $20,740.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $207.20 | 97 | $20,098.40 | $20,234.50 |
$-642.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $196.34 | 103 | $20,223.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.54 | 103 | $20,964.74 | $20,976.22 |
+$741.72 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $198.16 | 105 | $20,806.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.14 | 105 | $21,224.70 | $21,394.12 |
+$417.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $190.47 | 112 | $21,332.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.31 | 112 | $21,762.72 | $21,824.20 |
+$430.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.88 | 114 | $21,646.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.31 | 114 | $21,239.34 | $21,417.22 |
$-406.98 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $185.91 | 115 | $21,379.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.80 | 115 | $20,677.00 | $20,714.57 |
$-702.65 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $184.82 | 112 | $20,700.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.92 | 112 | $21,159.04 | $21,173.21 |
+$458.64 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $186.56 | 113 | $21,081.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $188.25 | 113 | $21,272.25 | $21,364.18 |
+$190.97 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $191.82 | 111 | $21,292.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $192.62 | 111 | $21,380.82 | $21,452.98 |
+$88.80 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $192.39 | 111 | $21,355.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.77 | 111 | $20,620.47 | $20,718.16 |
$-734.82 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,718.16
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,718.16
Total Return:
+107.18%