Compendium › Rebel Contraire › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 29 trades in period

+6.42%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,612.62
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$12,791.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 39.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

45
+6.7%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.3 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,684
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,791.96
Current Value
$13,612.62
Period P&L
$820.68
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
17 / 12
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,411.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$820.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$820.68
Gross Return
+6.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,791.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET $471.94 27 $12,742.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $472.66 27 $12,761.82 $12,856.48 +$19.58
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $478.72 26 $12,446.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $471.50 26 $12,259.00 $12,668.76 $-187.72
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $461.33 27 $12,455.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $463.82 27 $12,523.14 $12,735.99 +$67.23
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:45pm ET $469.99 27 $12,689.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $474.78 27 $12,819.06 $12,865.32 +$129.33
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET $473.87 27 $12,794.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $479.34 27 $12,942.18 $13,013.01 +$147.69
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $479.09 27 $12,935.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $488.71 27 $13,195.17 $13,272.88 +$259.88
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:55am ET $485.69 27 $13,113.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $483.19 27 $13,046.00 $13,205.25 $-67.63
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $482.74 27 $13,033.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $486.46 27 $13,134.42 $13,305.82 +$100.57
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET $483.82 27 $13,063.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $487.22 27 $13,154.94 $13,397.62 +$91.80
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $490.99 27 $13,256.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $490.35 27 $13,239.32 $13,380.21 $-17.41
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $494.13 27 $13,341.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $486.58 27 $13,137.66 $13,176.36 $-203.85
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $489.11 26 $12,716.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $492.22 26 $12,797.72 $13,257.22 +$80.86
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $490.38 27 $13,240.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $489.99 27 $13,229.73 $13,246.69 $-10.53
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $493.86 26 $12,840.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $500.15 26 $13,003.90 $13,410.23 +$163.54
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $504.08 26 $13,106.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $504.08 26 $13,106.08 $13,410.23 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $493.71 27 $13,330.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $494.34 27 $13,347.18 $13,427.24 +$17.01
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $490.27 27 $13,237.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $484.37 27 $13,077.99 $13,267.94 $-159.30
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $480.26 27 $12,967.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $470.74 27 $12,709.98 $13,010.90 $-257.04
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $477.42 27 $12,890.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $470.30 27 $12,698.10 $12,818.66 $-192.24
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $473.91 27 $12,795.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $459.63 27 $12,410.01 $12,433.10 $-385.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $458.52 27 $12,380.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $466.59 27 $12,597.93 $12,650.99 +$217.89
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $461.75 27 $12,467.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $456.00 27 $12,312.00 $12,495.74 $-155.25
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $464.87 26 $12,086.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $464.54 26 $12,078.04 $12,487.16 $-8.58
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $463.40 26 $12,048.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $478.92 26 $12,451.92 $12,890.68 +$403.52
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $478.15 26 $12,431.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $484.56 26 $12,598.56 $13,057.34 +$166.66
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $483.40 27 $13,051.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $493.70 27 $13,329.77 $13,335.31 +$277.97
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $493.24 27 $13,317.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $491.62 27 $13,273.74 $13,291.57 $-43.74
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $492.29 26 $12,799.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $493.62 26 $12,834.12 $13,326.15 +$34.58
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
29 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:45am ET $490.29 27 $13,237.83 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $500.90 27 $13,524.30 $13,612.62 +$286.47
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,612.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,612.62
Total Return: +36.13%
Back to Rebel Contraire