Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:25:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

54
+9.7%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,963
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,758.82
Current Value
$8,791.43
Period P&L
$32.57
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
36 / 25
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
-4.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,005,695.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$32.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$32.57
Gross Return
+0.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,758.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:40am ET $34.40 255 $8,772.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $35.29 255 $8,998.95 $9,013.87 +$226.95
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $33.95 265 $8,996.75
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $34.84 265 $9,232.60 $9,249.72 +$235.85
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $34.68 266 $9,224.88
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $35.44 266 $9,425.71 $9,450.55 +$200.83
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $36.44 259 $9,437.31
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $35.31 259 $9,144.00 $9,157.23 $-293.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.69 264 $9,156.84
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 11:40am ET $35.54 264 $9,382.56 $9,382.95 +$225.72
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $35.46 264 $9,360.12
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $34.31 264 $9,057.84 $9,080.67 $-302.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $34.39 264 $9,077.64
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $35.33 264 $9,327.12 $9,330.15 +$249.48
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $33.30 280 $9,323.97
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $31.82 280 $8,909.43 $8,915.61 $-414.54
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $32.11 277 $8,895.77
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET $31.12 277 $8,620.24 $8,640.08 $-275.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:20am ET $30.40 284 $8,633.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET $30.07 284 $8,538.46 $8,544.94 $-95.14
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $30.24 282 $8,527.68
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $29.00 282 $8,178.00 $8,195.26 $-349.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET $27.78 295 $8,195.10
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $26.90 295 $7,935.50 $7,935.66 $-259.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:45am ET $27.64 287 $7,932.68
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $26.81 287 $7,694.47 $7,697.45 $-238.21
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $25.36 303 $7,685.59
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 303 $8,059.80 $8,071.65 +$374.21
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $27.36 295 $8,071.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $27.51 295 $8,116.92 $8,117.38 +$45.72
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $21.29 381 $8,111.49
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $21.74 381 $8,282.94 $8,288.83 +$171.45
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:20am ET $23.35 354 $8,267.67
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $22.62 354 $8,007.48 $8,028.64 $-260.19
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET $21.95 365 $8,012.30
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $21.23 365 $7,748.95 $7,765.29 $-263.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $21.77 356 $7,750.12
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $22.23 356 $7,912.10 $7,927.27 +$161.98
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:55pm ET $22.70 349 $7,924.04
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $23.23 349 $8,105.53 $8,108.75 +$181.48
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $22.46 361 $8,108.06
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:25am ET $22.91 361 $8,270.51 $8,271.20 +$162.45
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:55am ET $23.64 349 $8,250.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET $24.14 349 $8,424.86 $8,445.70 +$174.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $25.33 333 $8,433.23
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $24.40 333 $8,125.63 $8,138.11 $-307.59
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $24.53 331 $8,119.43
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.03 331 $8,284.93 $8,303.61 +$165.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $25.22 329 $8,297.38
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $25.81 329 $8,489.85 $8,496.07 +$192.47
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $25.95 327 $8,487.28
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $25.12 327 $8,214.24 $8,223.03 $-273.04
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $24.98 329 $8,218.42
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $25.50 329 $8,389.50 $8,394.11 +$171.08
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $24.99 335 $8,369.98
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET $24.05 335 $8,055.08 $8,079.21 $-314.90
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET $24.49 329 $8,056.22
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $23.45 329 $7,715.05 $7,738.04 $-341.17
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET $22.87 338 $7,730.06
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 338 $7,469.80 $7,477.78 $-260.26
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:15am ET $21.45 348 $7,466.34
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $20.68 348 $7,196.64 $7,208.08 $-269.70
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:35am ET $20.66 348 $7,189.68
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $21.09 348 $7,341.06 $7,359.46 +$151.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $22.10 333 $7,359.30
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $22.80 333 $7,592.40 $7,592.56 +$233.10
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET $22.75 333 $7,574.09
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 333 $7,897.10 $7,915.57 +$323.01
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $23.01 343 $7,894.14
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $22.32 343 $7,655.42 $7,676.84 $-238.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $21.73 353 $7,670.69
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $22.17 353 $7,824.25 $7,830.40 +$153.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $23.26 336 $7,815.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $23.73 336 $7,971.60 $7,986.88 +$156.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $23.57 338 $7,966.66
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.11 338 $8,149.18 $8,169.40 +$182.52
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $22.57 362 $8,168.53
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $23.13 362 $8,373.06 $8,373.93 +$204.53
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $23.18 361 $8,367.98
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $22.40 361 $8,085.50 $8,091.45 $-282.48
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $22.29 363 $8,091.27
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $22.86 363 $8,298.18 $8,298.36 +$206.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $23.81 348 $8,285.88
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $23.05 348 $8,019.66 $8,032.14 $-266.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $22.98 349 $8,018.28
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $23.51 349 $8,204.99 $8,218.85 +$186.71
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
44 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:40am ET $23.65 347 $8,206.55
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $24.22 347 $8,404.34 $8,416.64 +$197.79
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
45 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $24.36 345 $8,403.20
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $24.86 345 $8,576.70 $8,590.14 +$173.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
46 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $26.14 328 $8,572.28
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 328 $8,224.60 $8,242.46 $-347.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
47 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $25.24 326 $8,226.61
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $24.02 326 $7,830.52 $7,846.37 $-396.09
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
48 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $24.58 319 $7,841.02
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.09 319 $8,005.30 $8,010.65 +$164.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
49 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.89 321 $7,989.69
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $25.43 321 $8,163.03 $8,183.99 +$173.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
50 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:00am ET $25.96 315 $8,177.18
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $24.81 315 $7,815.15 $7,821.96 $-362.03
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
51 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $24.59 318 $7,819.62
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:10am ET $25.19 318 $8,010.42 $8,012.76 +$190.80
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
52 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:10am ET $26.00 308 $8,008.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.20 308 $7,761.60 $7,766.36 $-246.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
53 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $24.19 320 $7,742.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $24.74 320 $7,915.20 $7,939.16 +$172.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
54 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $25.30 313 $7,917.34
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $24.52 313 $7,676.32 $7,698.15 $-241.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $25.97 296 $7,687.12
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $26.55 296 $7,857.32 $7,868.35 +$170.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $25.41 309 $7,850.15
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $25.99 309 $8,029.37 $8,047.57 +$179.22
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $25.02 321 $8,033.02
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 321 $8,476.01 $8,490.55 +$442.98
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET $29.33 289 $8,477.81
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $29.99 289 $8,667.11 $8,679.85 +$189.30
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:40am ET $28.67 302 $8,656.83
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $29.30 302 $8,848.60 $8,871.62 +$191.77
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $28.80 308 $8,868.86
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $29.50 308 $9,086.00 $9,088.76 +$217.14
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $28.53 318 $9,072.54
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:30am ET $27.59 318 $8,775.21 $8,791.43 $-297.33
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,791.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,208.57
Total Return: -12.09%
Back to Rebel Contraire