GS Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-22 to present • 42 trades in period
-2.02%
Last 6 Months Return
$21,980.06
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$22,432.67
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
67
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
31.8/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
67.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 66.9
30-Day Momentum
57
+9.4%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.6
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,572
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$22,432.67
Current Value
$21,980.06
Period P&L
$-452.58
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
24 /
18
Best Trade
+4.38%
Worst Trade
-4.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,718,299.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-452.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-452.58
Gross Return
-2.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $22,432.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $892.23 | 25 | $22,305.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $905.87 | 25 | $22,646.75 | $22,704.13 |
+$341.13 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:00pm ET | $906.74 | 25 | $22,668.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $878.28 | 25 | $21,957.00 | $21,992.76 |
$-711.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $882.22 | 24 | $21,173.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $901.43 | 24 | $21,634.32 | $22,453.80 |
+$461.04 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $954.90 | 23 | $21,962.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.13 | 23 | $21,415.99 | $21,907.20 |
$-546.60 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $937.02 | 23 | $21,551.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $957.05 | 23 | $22,012.15 | $22,367.89 |
+$460.69 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $965.17 | 23 | $22,198.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $960.61 | 23 | $22,094.03 | $22,263.01 |
$-104.88 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $964.73 | 23 | $22,188.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $926.06 | 23 | $21,299.38 | $21,373.60 |
$-889.41 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $926.99 | 23 | $21,320.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $954.24 | 23 | $21,947.61 | $22,000.45 |
+$626.84 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $941.61 | 23 | $21,657.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $921.83 | 23 | $21,202.09 | $21,545.51 |
$-454.94 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $898.67 | 23 | $20,669.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $920.34 | 23 | $21,167.82 | $22,043.80 |
+$498.30 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET | $943.41 | 23 | $21,698.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $950.76 | 23 | $21,867.37 | $22,212.74 |
+$168.94 (+0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $907.87 | 24 | $21,788.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $932.10 | 24 | $22,370.40 | $22,794.26 |
+$581.52 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $917.67 | 24 | $22,024.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $889.70 | 24 | $21,352.80 | $22,122.98 |
$-671.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $898.19 | 24 | $21,556.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.04 | 24 | $22,008.96 | $22,575.38 |
+$452.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $929.20 | 24 | $22,300.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $886.60 | 24 | $21,278.40 | $21,553.10 |
$-1,022.28 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $860.49 | 25 | $21,512.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $831.94 | 25 | $20,798.50 | $20,839.35 |
$-713.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $873.18 | 23 | $20,083.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $844.97 | 23 | $19,434.42 | $20,190.63 |
$-648.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $823.20 | 24 | $19,756.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $798.38 | 24 | $19,161.00 | $19,594.83 |
$-595.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $841.11 | 23 | $19,345.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $815.03 | 23 | $18,745.58 | $18,994.88 |
$-599.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $793.36 | 23 | $18,247.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $813.38 | 23 | $18,707.63 | $19,455.11 |
+$460.23 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $810.17 | 24 | $19,444.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $826.80 | 24 | $19,843.20 | $19,854.23 |
+$399.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $834.53 | 23 | $19,194.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $851.84 | 23 | $19,592.32 | $20,252.48 |
+$398.25 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $836.55 | 24 | $20,077.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $803.59 | 24 | $19,286.19 | $19,461.35 |
$-791.13 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $816.04 | 23 | $18,769.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $833.24 | 23 | $19,164.52 | $19,856.84 |
+$395.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $863.45 | 22 | $18,995.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $835.00 | 22 | $18,370.00 | $19,231.05 |
$-625.79 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $867.22 | 22 | $19,078.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $905.24 | 22 | $19,915.28 | $20,067.38 |
+$836.33 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $899.40 | 22 | $19,786.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $868.87 | 22 | $19,115.14 | $19,395.83 |
$-671.55 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $899.49 | 21 | $18,889.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $919.58 | 21 | $19,311.18 | $19,817.62 |
+$421.79 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $898.52 | 22 | $19,767.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $917.00 | 22 | $20,174.00 | $20,224.23 |
+$406.61 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $932.69 | 21 | $19,586.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $928.00 | 21 | $19,488.00 | $20,125.74 |
$-98.49 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $937.81 | 21 | $19,694.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $907.17 | 21 | $19,050.57 | $19,482.30 |
$-643.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $920.68 | 21 | $19,334.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $920.41 | 21 | $19,328.61 | $19,476.63 |
$-5.67 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $936.17 | 20 | $18,723.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $940.78 | 20 | $18,815.60 | $19,568.83 |
+$92.20 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $949.40 | 20 | $18,987.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $970.43 | 20 | $19,408.60 | $19,989.53 |
+$420.70 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $942.30 | 21 | $19,788.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $947.39 | 21 | $19,895.09 | $20,096.32 |
+$106.79 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $993.78 | 20 | $19,875.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,014.13 | 20 | $20,282.60 | $20,503.40 |
+$407.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $978.74 | 20 | $19,574.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $999.78 | 20 | $19,995.60 | $20,924.20 |
+$420.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,024.83 | 20 | $20,496.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,045.76 | 20 | $20,915.10 | $21,342.70 |
+$418.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,065.05 | 20 | $21,301.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,086.64 | 20 | $21,732.70 | $21,774.40 |
+$431.70 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,059.38 | 20 | $21,187.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,025.36 | 20 | $20,507.20 | $21,094.00 |
$-680.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,011.65 | 20 | $20,232.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,033.58 | 20 | $20,671.70 | $21,532.80 |
+$438.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,081.36 | 19 | $20,545.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,104.90 | 19 | $20,993.10 | $21,980.06 |
+$447.26 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,980.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,980.06
Total Return:
+119.80%