Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:20:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.0

30-Day Momentum

40
+6.7%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.0 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,947
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,225.80
Current Value
$9,657.69
Period P&L
$-3,567.99
Max Drawdown
-32.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
32 / 31
Best Trade
+6.37%
Worst Trade
-6.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,420,611.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,567.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,567.99
Gross Return
-26.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,225.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET $134.17 98 $13,148.66
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:25pm ET $137.03 98 $13,428.94 $13,505.99 +$280.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $131.65 102 $13,428.30
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $126.45 102 $12,897.90 $12,975.59 $-530.40
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $123.78 104 $12,873.12
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 104 $12,344.47 $12,446.94 $-528.65
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $112.56 110 $12,381.60
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET $114.87 110 $12,635.70 $12,701.04 +$254.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET $116.25 109 $12,671.25
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:30pm ET $118.62 109 $12,929.58 $12,959.37 +$258.33
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $105.96 122 $12,927.23
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET $108.50 122 $13,237.00 $13,269.14 +$309.77
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:20am ET $110.96 119 $13,203.65
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:35am ET $113.27 119 $13,479.13 $13,544.62 +$275.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:55am ET $122.83 110 $13,511.30
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET $125.57 110 $13,812.15 $13,845.47 +$300.85
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:40am ET $128.04 108 $13,828.32
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $123.37 108 $13,323.96 $13,341.11 $-504.36
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:20am ET $127.43 104 $13,252.72
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $130.64 104 $13,586.05 $13,674.44 +$333.33
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:40am ET $134.26 101 $13,560.26
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $137.04 101 $13,841.03 $13,955.21 +$280.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 2:00pm ET $131.47 106 $13,935.82
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET $134.30 106 $14,235.80 $14,255.19 +$299.98
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:20pm ET $137.85 103 $14,198.91
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $128.98 103 $13,284.94 $13,341.22 $-913.97
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $121.45 109 $13,238.50
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $117.55 109 $12,812.41 $12,915.13 $-426.09
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $119.02 108 $12,854.16
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $122.18 108 $13,195.44 $13,256.41 +$341.28
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET $121.54 109 $13,247.66
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $117.78 109 $12,838.02 $12,846.77 $-409.64
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET $121.25 105 $12,731.25
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:35am ET $124.27 105 $13,047.83 $13,163.34 +$316.58
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:55am ET $117.76 111 $13,071.76
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $120.24 111 $13,347.17 $13,438.75 +$275.41
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $119.12 112 $13,341.44
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:40pm ET $115.51 112 $12,937.12 $13,034.43 $-404.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $112.76 115 $12,967.06
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $115.34 115 $13,264.10 $13,331.48 +$297.05
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $121.89 109 $13,286.01
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $118.17 109 $12,880.53 $12,926.00 $-405.48
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $115.97 111 $12,872.67
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $118.56 111 $13,160.16 $13,213.49 +$287.49
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $118.27 111 $13,127.97
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $114.61 111 $12,721.16 $12,806.67 $-406.81
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.19 117 $12,774.69
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 117 $12,377.44 $12,409.42 $-397.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET $106.84 116 $12,392.86
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $109.08 116 $12,652.70 $12,669.26 +$259.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET $107.80 117 $12,612.60
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $104.28 117 $12,200.18 $12,256.84 $-412.42
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $101.89 120 $12,226.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $98.80 120 $11,855.40 $11,885.44 $-371.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $88.07 134 $11,802.05
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $85.40 134 $11,443.60 $11,526.99 $-358.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $76.72 150 $11,508.75
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $74.12 150 $11,118.05 $11,136.28 $-390.70
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $82.61 134 $11,070.41
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $84.53 134 $11,327.02 $11,392.90 +$256.61
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET $87.18 130 $11,333.66
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $86.16 130 $11,200.80 $11,260.04 $-132.86
(-1.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $75.17 149 $11,200.33
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $76.72 149 $11,432.02 $11,491.74 +$231.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $74.57 154 $11,483.78
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $76.27 154 $11,745.58 $11,753.54 +$261.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET $76.81 153 $11,751.93
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $74.39 153 $11,381.67 $11,383.28 $-370.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:15am ET $77.25 147 $11,355.75
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.82 147 $10,999.27 $11,026.80 $-356.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:00am ET $71.68 153 $10,967.04
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $73.12 153 $11,187.36 $11,247.12 +$220.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $77.83 144 $11,207.52
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $79.42 144 $11,436.49 $11,476.09 +$228.97
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $78.87 145 $11,436.15
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $74.19 145 $10,757.55 $10,797.49 $-678.60
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:40am ET $82.38 131 $10,792.32
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET $79.86 131 $10,461.66 $10,466.83 $-330.66
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $78.26 133 $10,408.58
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $75.87 133 $10,090.71 $10,148.96 $-317.87
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $78.41 129 $10,114.89
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET $80.08 129 $10,330.96 $10,365.03 +$216.07
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $77.99 132 $10,294.02
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $75.36 132 $9,946.86 $10,017.87 $-347.16
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $73.95 135 $9,983.25
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:15am ET $75.48 135 $10,189.80 $10,224.42 +$206.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $77.12 132 $10,179.84
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $72.28 132 $9,540.96 $9,585.54 $-638.88
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $72.75 131 $9,530.90
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $70.36 131 $9,217.42 $9,272.06 $-313.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $72.97 127 $9,267.19
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $70.77 127 $8,987.79 $8,992.66 $-279.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET $73.64 122 $8,984.08
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $71.11 122 $8,675.42 $8,684.00 $-308.66
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $67.67 128 $8,661.12
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $65.58 128 $8,394.88 $8,417.76 $-266.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $68.00 123 $8,364.00
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 123 $8,757.60 $8,811.36 +$393.60
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $65.86 133 $8,759.38
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET $67.68 133 $9,000.78 $9,052.76 +$241.40
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET $69.92 129 $9,019.68
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $67.79 129 $8,744.90 $8,777.98 $-274.78
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $75.46 116 $8,753.36
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $73.04 116 $8,473.22 $8,497.84 $-280.14
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $70.57 120 $8,468.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $72.02 120 $8,642.40 $8,671.84 +$174.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $68.79 126 $8,667.54
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $70.32 126 $8,860.02 $8,864.32 +$192.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET $78.37 113 $8,855.89
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.36 113 $9,419.79 $9,428.22 +$563.90
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 110 $9,352.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $86.86 110 $9,554.59 $9,630.06 +$201.84
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:50am ET $92.03 104 $9,570.96
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 104 $9,276.80 $9,335.90 $-294.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $87.29 106 $9,252.74
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $89.34 106 $9,470.04 $9,553.20 +$217.30
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $87.20 109 $9,504.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $84.43 109 $9,202.87 $9,251.27 $-301.93
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $84.56 109 $9,217.04
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 109 $8,880.23 $8,914.46 $-336.81
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 123 $8,874.17
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $73.61 123 $9,054.03 $9,094.32 +$179.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
62 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $74.64 121 $9,031.46
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 121 $9,356.93 $9,419.79 +$325.47
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
63 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $77.03 122 $9,397.66
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.98 122 $9,635.56 $9,657.69 +$237.90
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,657.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-342.31
Total Return: -3.42%
Back to Rebel Contraire