JNJ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 34 trades in period
+12.51%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,846.95
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$12,307.20
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
44.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 43.1
30-Day Momentum
3
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,717
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,307.20
Current Value
$13,846.95
Period P&L
$1,539.75
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
19 /
15
Best Trade
+2.49%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$904,399.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,539.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,539.75
Gross Return
+12.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,307.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $185.80 | 65 | $12,077.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $185.96 | 65 | $12,087.40 | $12,229.85 |
+$10.40 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:50pm ET | $192.34 | 63 | $12,117.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET | $196.20 | 63 | $12,360.56 | $12,473.31 |
+$243.46 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:50pm ET | $199.80 | 62 | $12,387.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $203.84 | 62 | $12,637.88 | $12,723.34 |
+$250.03 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $205.30 | 61 | $12,523.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $207.12 | 61 | $12,634.32 | $12,834.66 |
+$111.33 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:05am ET | $204.85 | 62 | $12,700.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $205.77 | 62 | $12,757.43 | $12,891.39 |
+$56.73 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:10am ET | $203.17 | 63 | $12,799.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $202.43 | 63 | $12,753.09 | $12,844.77 |
$-46.62 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $203.82 | 63 | $12,840.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $208.74 | 63 | $13,150.62 | $13,154.73 |
+$309.96 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:20am ET | $211.14 | 62 | $13,090.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $210.18 | 62 | $13,030.85 | $13,095.21 |
$-59.52 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $210.17 | 62 | $13,030.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:20am ET | $205.66 | 62 | $12,750.92 | $12,815.90 |
$-279.31 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:30am ET | $207.53 | 61 | $12,659.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $208.37 | 61 | $12,710.57 | $12,867.45 |
+$51.54 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:50am ET | $206.88 | 62 | $12,826.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.23 | 62 | $12,662.26 | $12,703.15 |
$-164.30 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $205.59 | 61 | $12,540.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.38 | 61 | $12,467.18 | $12,629.34 |
$-73.81 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $212.63 | 59 | $12,544.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $216.97 | 59 | $12,801.23 | $12,885.69 |
+$256.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $216.95 | 59 | $12,799.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $216.17 | 59 | $12,754.03 | $12,839.97 |
$-45.73 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $215.73 | 59 | $12,728.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.11 | 59 | $13,045.49 | $13,157.24 |
+$317.27 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $219.46 | 59 | $12,948.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.93 | 59 | $13,211.87 | $13,420.97 |
+$263.73 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $226.54 | 59 | $13,366.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $229.52 | 59 | $13,541.68 | $13,596.64 |
+$175.67 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $233.17 | 58 | $13,523.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $238.07 | 58 | $13,808.35 | $13,881.13 |
+$284.49 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $239.26 | 58 | $13,877.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $238.63 | 58 | $13,840.54 | $13,844.30 |
$-36.83 (-0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $243.44 | 56 | $13,632.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.60 | 56 | $13,585.60 | $13,797.26 |
$-47.04 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $246.74 | 55 | $13,570.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.38 | 55 | $13,716.17 | $13,942.73 |
+$145.47 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.34 | 56 | $13,739.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $237.65 | 56 | $13,308.12 | $13,511.81 |
$-430.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $238.62 | 56 | $13,362.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $243.59 | 56 | $13,640.76 | $13,789.85 |
+$278.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $243.68 | 56 | $13,646.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.77 | 56 | $13,707.12 | $13,850.89 |
+$61.04 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $240.86 | 57 | $13,729.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.12 | 57 | $13,515.84 | $13,637.71 |
$-213.18 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 58 | $13,538.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $238.34 | 58 | $13,823.72 | $13,922.49 |
+$284.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $239.88 | 58 | $13,913.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $244.89 | 58 | $14,203.62 | $14,213.07 |
+$290.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $244.96 | 58 | $14,207.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $242.67 | 58 | $14,074.86 | $14,080.25 |
$-132.82 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $238.35 | 59 | $14,062.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $243.60 | 59 | $14,372.28 | $14,389.88 |
+$309.63 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $239.69 | 60 | $14,381.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $239.35 | 60 | $14,361.00 | $14,369.48 |
$-20.40 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $235.13 | 61 | $14,343.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.15 | 61 | $13,856.15 | $13,882.39 |
$-487.09 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $226.34 | 61 | $13,806.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $230.88 | 61 | $14,083.98 | $14,159.63 |
+$277.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $227.71 | 62 | $14,118.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $227.66 | 62 | $14,114.91 | $14,156.52 |
$-3.11 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $228.73 | 61 | $13,952.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $223.65 | 61 | $13,642.95 | $13,846.95 |
$-309.57 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,846.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,846.95
Total Return:
+38.47%