LLY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 44 trades in period
+9.81%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,462.43
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,349.05
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,349.05
Current Value
$12,462.43
Period P&L
$1,113.37
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
25 /
19
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-4.31%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,034,864.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,113.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,113.37
Gross Return
+9.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,349.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 11:30am ET | $649.50 | 17 | $11,041.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 9:50am ET | $663.15 | 17 | $11,273.55 | $11,319.46 |
+$232.05 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $690.21 | 16 | $11,043.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 1:25pm ET | $705.17 | 16 | $11,282.64 | $11,558.74 |
+$239.28 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 1:45pm ET | $701.67 | 16 | $11,226.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $716.09 | 16 | $11,457.44 | $11,789.42 |
+$230.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 11:40am ET | $714.25 | 16 | $11,428.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 2:40pm ET | $729.28 | 16 | $11,668.48 | $12,029.91 |
+$240.48 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 3:20pm ET | $732.66 | 16 | $11,722.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $731.98 | 16 | $11,711.68 | $12,019.11 |
$-10.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:10am ET | $735.25 | 16 | $11,764.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 11:10am ET | $724.23 | 16 | $11,587.68 | $11,842.79 |
$-176.32 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 11:55am ET | $748.87 | 15 | $11,233.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $748.16 | 15 | $11,222.33 | $11,832.06 |
$-10.73 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 12:35pm ET | $765.76 | 15 | $11,486.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $749.10 | 15 | $11,236.50 | $11,582.16 |
$-249.90 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:55am ET | $746.84 | 15 | $11,202.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:45am ET | $723.52 | 15 | $10,852.85 | $11,232.44 |
$-349.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $719.42 | 15 | $10,791.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $734.99 | 15 | $11,024.85 | $11,465.99 |
+$233.55 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $792.41 | 14 | $11,093.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $808.54 | 14 | $11,319.49 | $11,691.81 |
+$225.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $816.42 | 14 | $11,429.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $832.89 | 14 | $11,660.44 | $11,922.33 |
+$230.52 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 11:45am ET | $850.13 | 14 | $11,901.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $832.79 | 14 | $11,659.06 | $11,679.59 |
$-242.74 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $811.37 | 14 | $11,359.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 12:05pm ET | $827.68 | 14 | $11,587.52 | $11,907.93 |
+$228.34 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:15pm ET | $821.57 | 14 | $11,501.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $794.00 | 14 | $11,116.00 | $11,522.02 |
$-385.91 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:30am ET | $803.26 | 14 | $11,245.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $821.72 | 14 | $11,504.08 | $11,780.46 |
+$258.44 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:40am ET | $831.39 | 14 | $11,639.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 11:40am ET | $822.15 | 14 | $11,510.10 | $11,651.10 |
$-129.36 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 12:35pm ET | $838.78 | 13 | $10,904.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 12:00pm ET | $856.48 | 13 | $11,134.24 | $11,881.20 |
+$230.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:25pm ET | $891.18 | 13 | $11,585.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $913.33 | 13 | $11,873.28 | $12,169.14 |
+$287.94 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $945.15 | 12 | $11,341.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $914.77 | 12 | $10,977.24 | $11,804.58 |
$-364.56 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $974.83 | 12 | $11,697.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:30pm ET | $994.74 | 12 | $11,936.90 | $12,043.52 |
+$238.94 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 1:40pm ET | $1,009.35 | 11 | $11,102.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $1,031.15 | 11 | $11,342.65 | $12,283.32 |
+$239.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET | $1,027.00 | 11 | $11,297.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $1,047.60 | 11 | $11,523.60 | $12,509.92 |
+$226.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $1,045.00 | 11 | $11,495.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $1,068.07 | 11 | $11,748.81 | $12,763.73 |
+$253.81 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET | $1,091.99 | 11 | $12,011.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,074.10 | 11 | $11,815.10 | $12,566.99 |
$-196.74 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $1,063.90 | 11 | $11,702.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $1,031.08 | 11 | $11,341.83 | $12,205.92 |
$-361.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $1,007.28 | 12 | $12,087.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:35am ET | $995.54 | 12 | $11,946.51 | $12,065.07 |
$-140.85 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:50am ET | $989.05 | 12 | $11,868.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,010.31 | 12 | $12,123.72 | $12,320.19 |
+$255.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $1,021.56 | 12 | $12,258.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $1,045.78 | 12 | $12,549.36 | $12,610.89 |
+$290.70 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $1,044.06 | 12 | $12,528.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,075.03 | 12 | $12,900.36 | $12,982.53 |
+$371.64 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $1,064.98 | 12 | $12,779.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:15am ET | $1,076.70 | 12 | $12,920.40 | $13,123.17 |
+$140.64 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:55pm ET | $1,072.52 | 12 | $12,870.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:55pm ET | $1,078.53 | 12 | $12,942.36 | $13,195.35 |
+$72.18 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $1,073.36 | 12 | $12,880.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,040.88 | 12 | $12,490.56 | $12,805.59 |
$-389.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,062.52 | 12 | $12,750.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,084.18 | 12 | $13,010.16 | $13,065.57 |
+$259.98 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,102.96 | 11 | $12,132.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,067.49 | 11 | $11,742.39 | $12,675.40 |
$-390.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,077.28 | 11 | $11,850.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,038.69 | 11 | $11,425.59 | $12,250.91 |
$-424.49 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,045.34 | 11 | $11,498.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,067.09 | 11 | $11,737.99 | $12,490.12 |
+$239.21 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,087.50 | 11 | $11,962.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,067.55 | 11 | $11,743.05 | $12,270.67 |
$-219.45 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,014.90 | 12 | $12,178.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,036.85 | 12 | $12,442.20 | $12,534.07 |
+$263.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,022.10 | 12 | $12,265.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,042.55 | 12 | $12,510.60 | $12,779.47 |
+$245.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,049.32 | 12 | $12,591.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:55am ET | $1,015.88 | 12 | $12,190.50 | $12,378.13 |
$-401.34 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,095.50 | 11 | $12,050.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.31 | 11 | $11,531.41 | $11,859.04 |
$-519.09 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,049.50 | 11 | $11,544.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,105.51 | 11 | $12,160.61 | $12,475.15 |
+$616.11 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,033.05 | 12 | $12,396.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,031.99 | 12 | $12,383.88 | $12,462.43 |
$-12.72 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
48m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,462.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,462.43
Total Return:
+24.62%