META Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 41 trades in period
+3.84%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,097.74
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$14,539.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
33.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 33.2
30-Day Momentum
26
+3.3%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.8
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,193
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,539.26
Current Value
$15,097.74
Period P&L
$558.54
Max Drawdown
-36.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
23 /
18
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,178,906.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$558.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$558.54
Gross Return
+3.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,539.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 2:35pm ET | $629.42 | 23 | $14,476.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $607.92 | 23 | $13,982.16 | $14,265.50 |
$-494.50 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET | $631.34 | 22 | $13,889.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:40am ET | $611.55 | 22 | $13,454.10 | $13,830.21 |
$-435.29 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET | $609.74 | 22 | $13,414.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $590.40 | 22 | $12,988.69 | $13,404.58 |
$-425.63 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $592.81 | 22 | $13,041.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $605.70 | 22 | $13,325.39 | $13,688.26 |
+$283.68 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $583.03 | 23 | $13,409.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $595.44 | 23 | $13,695.12 | $13,973.80 |
+$285.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:25pm ET | $614.58 | 22 | $13,520.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET | $628.56 | 22 | $13,828.32 | $14,281.36 |
+$307.56 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:45am ET | $634.86 | 22 | $13,966.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $648.02 | 22 | $14,256.44 | $14,570.99 |
+$289.63 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $640.52 | 22 | $14,091.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $661.96 | 22 | $14,563.12 | $15,042.67 |
+$471.68 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $663.01 | 22 | $14,586.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $650.40 | 22 | $14,308.69 | $14,765.14 |
$-277.53 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $648.26 | 22 | $14,261.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $653.10 | 22 | $14,368.09 | $14,871.51 |
+$106.37 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:50am ET | $656.89 | 22 | $14,451.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $670.08 | 22 | $14,741.76 | $15,161.71 |
+$290.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $667.76 | 22 | $14,690.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $667.50 | 22 | $14,685.00 | $15,155.98 |
$-5.73 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $662.17 | 22 | $14,567.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:25pm ET | $660.14 | 22 | $14,523.08 | $15,111.32 |
$-44.66 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $662.07 | 22 | $14,565.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $638.60 | 22 | $14,049.20 | $14,594.98 |
$-516.34 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $648.68 | 22 | $14,270.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $628.53 | 22 | $13,827.66 | $14,151.79 |
$-443.19 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $620.12 | 22 | $13,642.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $605.91 | 22 | $13,329.91 | $13,839.17 |
$-312.62 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $602.18 | 22 | $13,247.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $614.28 | 22 | $13,514.16 | $14,105.36 |
+$266.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $645.87 | 21 | $13,563.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $659.89 | 21 | $13,857.69 | $14,399.78 |
+$294.42 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $668.65 | 21 | $14,041.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $730.79 | 21 | $15,346.59 | $15,704.72 |
+$1,304.94 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $723.31 | 21 | $15,189.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $700.57 | 21 | $14,711.87 | $15,227.18 |
$-477.54 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $677.25 | 22 | $14,899.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $655.47 | 22 | $14,420.34 | $14,747.98 |
$-479.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $660.21 | 22 | $14,524.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $673.59 | 22 | $14,818.98 | $15,042.34 |
+$294.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $635.22 | 23 | $14,610.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $648.11 | 23 | $14,906.45 | $15,338.73 |
+$296.39 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $648.54 | 23 | $14,916.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $636.98 | 23 | $14,650.65 | $15,072.85 |
$-265.88 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $646.35 | 23 | $14,866.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $665.03 | 23 | $15,295.69 | $15,502.49 |
+$429.64 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $662.72 | 23 | $15,242.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $637.57 | 23 | $14,664.00 | $14,923.81 |
$-578.68 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $626.90 | 23 | $14,418.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $639.95 | 23 | $14,718.74 | $15,223.84 |
+$300.03 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $652.85 | 23 | $15,015.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $624.06 | 23 | $14,353.38 | $14,561.67 |
$-662.17 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $632.96 | 23 | $14,558.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $611.96 | 23 | $14,074.97 | $14,078.55 |
$-483.12 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $599.58 | 23 | $13,790.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $601.46 | 23 | $13,833.58 | $14,121.79 |
+$43.24 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $574.86 | 24 | $13,796.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $556.71 | 24 | $13,361.04 | $13,686.07 |
$-435.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $527.86 | 25 | $13,196.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $538.66 | 25 | $13,466.38 | $13,955.95 |
+$269.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:45pm ET | $568.71 | 24 | $13,648.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $580.80 | 24 | $13,939.20 | $14,246.23 |
+$290.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $560.92 | 25 | $14,023.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $575.54 | 25 | $14,388.62 | $14,611.86 |
+$365.63 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $575.03 | 25 | $14,375.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 25 | $15,150.00 | $15,385.99 |
+$774.13 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $623.58 | 24 | $14,965.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $636.19 | 24 | $15,268.56 | $15,688.63 |
+$302.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $627.83 | 24 | $15,067.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $644.63 | 24 | $15,471.12 | $16,091.83 |
+$403.20 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $672.43 | 23 | $15,465.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $686.63 | 23 | $15,792.49 | $16,418.43 |
+$326.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $673.34 | 24 | $16,160.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $671.69 | 24 | $16,120.56 | $16,378.83 |
$-39.60 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $674.40 | 24 | $16,185.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.33 | 24 | $14,815.83 | $15,009.18 |
$-1,369.65 (-8.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $611.08 | 24 | $14,665.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $614.77 | 24 | $14,754.48 | $15,097.74 |
+$88.56 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,097.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,097.74
Total Return:
+50.98%