Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 42.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.6

30-Day Momentum

16
-1.9%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,677
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,878.37
Current Value
$20,946.08
Period P&L
$6,067.74
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
44 / 23
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-6.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
22.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,646,305.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,067.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,067.74
Gross Return
+40.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,878.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET $23.72 627 $14,872.44
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET $24.32 627 $15,248.64 $15,254.54 +$376.20
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:40am ET $25.32 602 $15,239.63
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $25.87 602 $15,570.73 $15,585.64 +$331.10
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:10pm ET $26.39 590 $15,571.28
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $26.98 590 $15,915.25 $15,929.61 +$343.97
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:35pm ET $24.96 638 $15,924.48
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET $24.14 638 $15,401.32 $15,406.45 $-523.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:15am ET $24.42 631 $15,405.87
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $23.64 631 $14,916.84 $14,917.42 $-489.02
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $23.40 637 $14,905.80
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:05pm ET $23.91 637 $15,230.67 $15,242.29 +$324.87
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
54m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET $24.12 631 $15,219.72
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:20pm ET $24.63 631 $15,538.38 $15,560.95 +$318.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:35pm ET $25.19 617 $15,542.23
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $25.72 617 $15,868.62 $15,887.34 +$326.39
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $24.27 654 $15,869.31
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:40am ET $24.84 654 $16,242.09 $16,260.12 +$372.78
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $24.90 653 $16,259.70
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:15am ET $25.49 653 $16,644.97 $16,645.39 +$385.27
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $26.82 620 $16,628.40
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $27.41 620 $16,994.20 $17,011.19 +$365.80
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $27.67 614 $16,986.31
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:10pm ET $28.29 614 $17,366.99 $17,391.87 +$380.68
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $29.35 592 $17,372.24
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:45am ET $29.95 592 $17,730.40 $17,750.03 +$358.16
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $29.32 605 $17,735.58
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $29.95 605 $18,116.73 $18,131.18 +$381.15
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $31.12 582 $18,111.84
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:30pm ET $30.19 582 $17,567.67 $17,587.01 $-544.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:40pm ET $31.37 560 $17,564.40
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET $32.06 560 $17,953.60 $17,976.21 +$389.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:25am ET $34.67 518 $17,961.03
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:55am ET $35.43 518 $18,352.74 $18,367.92 +$391.71
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:10pm ET $32.98 556 $18,336.88
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET $31.96 556 $17,769.76 $17,800.80 $-567.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:35am ET $30.90 576 $17,798.40
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:20am ET $29.97 576 $17,262.72 $17,265.12 $-535.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $30.97 557 $17,247.51
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $32.15 557 $17,907.55 $17,925.17 +$660.04
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $35.52 504 $17,902.08
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $36.50 504 $18,393.48 $18,416.57 +$491.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $33.96 542 $18,406.32
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $34.64 542 $18,774.88 $18,785.13 +$368.56
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $33.24 565 $18,780.60
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 565 $19,952.98 $19,957.50 +$1,172.38
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET $41.04 486 $19,946.95
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.75 486 $19,318.50 $19,329.06 $-628.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $40.37 478 $19,296.86
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $41.76 478 $19,961.28 $19,993.48 +$664.42
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET $42.52 470 $19,984.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 470 $20,856.25 $20,865.33 +$871.85
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $52.85 394 $20,822.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 394 $19,554.22 $19,596.65 $-1,268.68
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $47.34 413 $19,549.36
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $50.15 413 $20,711.66 $20,758.95 +$1,162.31
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET $43.63 475 $20,724.25
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET $44.62 475 $21,194.50 $21,229.20 +$470.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $46.37 457 $21,191.09
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $47.30 457 $21,616.10 $21,654.21 +$425.01
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $43.47 498 $21,648.06
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET $42.12 498 $20,975.76 $20,981.91 $-672.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $43.54 481 $20,942.74
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $42.05 481 $20,226.05 $20,265.22 $-716.69
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $43.03 470 $20,224.10
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.72 470 $19,608.40 $19,649.52 $-615.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $40.17 489 $19,640.69
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.99 489 $20,044.11 $20,052.95 +$403.43
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $44.72 448 $20,034.56
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $44.27 448 $19,832.96 $19,851.35 $-201.60
(-1.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $39.32 504 $19,817.28
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $40.11 504 $20,215.44 $20,249.51 +$398.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $43.13 469 $20,230.31
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.06 469 $20,664.61 $20,683.81 +$434.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $46.01 449 $20,656.25
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:35am ET $47.14 449 $21,165.86 $21,193.42 +$509.61
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET $48.90 433 $21,171.54
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $49.95 433 $21,628.35 $21,650.24 +$456.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.45 429 $21,643.05
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.60 429 $22,136.40 $22,143.59 +$493.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $52.53 421 $22,113.03
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $50.77 421 $21,374.17 $21,404.73 $-738.86
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $51.50 415 $21,372.50
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.58 415 $21,820.70 $21,852.93 +$448.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.10 411 $21,822.05
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $51.40 411 $21,123.35 $21,154.23 $-698.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $52.74 401 $21,148.74
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:10am ET $53.85 401 $21,595.85 $21,601.34 +$447.11
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $56.59 381 $21,559.65
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $54.83 381 $20,890.23 $20,931.92 $-669.42
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $51.96 402 $20,887.92
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 402 $21,507.00 $21,551.00 +$619.08
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $53.01 406 $21,522.06
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:25am ET $54.15 406 $21,986.93 $22,015.87 +$464.87
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $56.76 387 $21,968.05
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $54.77 387 $21,195.99 $21,243.81 $-772.06
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET $53.24 399 $21,240.77
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $54.35 399 $21,685.65 $21,688.69 +$444.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $51.62 420 $21,680.40
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $52.74 420 $22,152.90 $22,161.19 +$472.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET $52.54 421 $22,119.34
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.85 421 $21,409.95 $21,451.80 $-709.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.67 415 $21,444.96
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $53.07 415 $22,023.30 $22,030.14 +$578.34
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $53.69 410 $22,010.85
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET $51.92 410 $21,287.20 $21,306.49 $-723.65
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $48.24 441 $21,273.84
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $49.88 441 $21,997.08 $22,029.73 +$723.24
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $51.43 428 $22,012.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $49.84 428 $21,331.52 $21,349.21 $-680.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $48.75 437 $21,303.75
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $49.70 437 $21,718.90 $21,764.36 +$415.15
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $51.18 425 $21,751.50
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $52.39 425 $22,265.75 $22,278.61 +$514.25
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:25am ET $51.19 435 $22,267.65
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:20am ET $52.39 435 $22,789.65 $22,800.61 +$522.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $53.31 427 $22,761.24
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.41 427 $23,233.07 $23,272.44 +$471.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.08 430 $23,256.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 430 $23,865.00 $23,880.89 +$608.45
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET $54.81 435 $23,840.18
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.46 435 $22,820.10 $22,860.81 $-1,020.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $54.95 416 $22,859.20
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.23 416 $22,143.68 $22,145.29 $-715.52
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.96 434 $22,116.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $49.35 434 $21,417.90 $21,446.55 $-698.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET $47.58 450 $21,408.75
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $45.88 450 $20,646.00 $20,683.80 $-762.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:05am ET $47.60 434 $20,656.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $46.12 434 $20,016.08 $20,043.65 $-640.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
66 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $44.10 454 $20,021.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 454 $20,511.81 $20,534.06 +$490.41
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
67 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $47.10 436 $20,533.42
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $48.04 436 $20,945.44 $20,946.08 +$412.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,946.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,946.08
Total Return: +109.46%
Back to Rebel Contraire