Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 40.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

52
+8.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.8 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,233
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,645.74
Current Value
$19,156.07
Period P&L
$-489.61
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
36 / 30
Best Trade
+7.06%
Worst Trade
-9.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,682,847.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-489.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-489.61
Gross Return
-2.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,645.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:25pm ET $238.94 82 $19,593.08
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 82 $20,783.72 $20,836.30 +$1,190.64
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:55am ET $241.15 86 $20,738.90
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $233.50 86 $20,081.00 $20,178.40 $-657.90
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $247.49 81 $20,046.69
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $239.96 81 $19,436.75 $19,568.46 $-609.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $227.29 86 $19,546.94
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET $232.90 86 $20,029.40 $20,050.92 +$482.46
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET $208.76 96 $20,040.96
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $223.49 96 $21,455.04 $21,465.00 +$1,414.08
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:00am ET $224.34 95 $21,312.54
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $231.63 95 $22,004.85 $22,157.31 +$692.31
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:10pm ET $240.56 92 $22,131.52
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $232.39 92 $21,379.88 $21,405.67 $-751.64
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $227.00 94 $21,338.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $236.77 94 $22,256.38 $22,324.05 +$918.38
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:50am ET $252.05 88 $22,179.96
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $261.65 88 $23,025.20 $23,169.29 +$845.24
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:40am ET $259.79 89 $23,121.31
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $249.45 89 $22,200.61 $22,248.59 $-920.71
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $246.05 90 $22,144.50
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:20pm ET $238.53 90 $21,467.70 $21,571.79 $-676.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $231.16 93 $21,498.33
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $223.92 93 $20,824.56 $20,898.02 $-673.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $254.96 81 $20,651.76
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $261.13 81 $21,151.53 $21,397.79 +$499.77
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $269.70 79 $21,306.30
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:10pm ET $275.56 79 $21,769.11 $21,860.60 +$462.81
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:20am ET $287.13 76 $21,821.87
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $286.05 76 $21,739.42 $21,778.15 $-82.45
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET $294.30 73 $21,483.90
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:15am ET $284.89 73 $20,796.97 $21,091.22 $-686.93
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $306.78 68 $20,861.05
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $313.92 68 $21,346.56 $21,576.73 +$485.51
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $330.00 65 $21,450.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $336.89 65 $21,897.53 $22,024.25 +$447.52
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $338.23 65 $21,984.95
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $327.73 65 $21,302.13 $21,341.43 $-682.83
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $336.45 63 $21,196.35
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $343.59 63 $21,646.16 $21,791.24 +$449.81
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:25pm ET $344.13 63 $21,680.19
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $332.66 63 $20,957.58 $21,068.63 $-722.61
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $343.39 61 $20,946.79
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 61 $21,947.83 $22,069.67 +$1,001.04
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $374.80 58 $21,738.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $363.21 58 $21,066.18 $21,397.45 $-672.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $384.74 55 $21,160.70
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $392.49 55 $21,586.95 $21,823.70 +$426.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $395.08 55 $21,729.40
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:55am ET $403.73 55 $22,204.88 $22,299.18 +$475.48
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET $391.22 56 $21,908.04
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $402.17 56 $22,521.51 $22,912.65 +$613.47
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $431.50 53 $22,869.50
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET $443.39 53 $23,499.41 $23,542.56 +$629.91
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $440.59 53 $23,351.27
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $427.10 53 $22,636.06 $22,827.35 $-715.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $440.59 51 $22,470.09
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $426.66 51 $21,759.66 $22,116.92 $-710.43
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $404.19 54 $21,826.26
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $389.18 54 $21,015.72 $21,306.38 $-810.54
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:10am ET $370.12 57 $21,096.84
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $379.15 57 $21,611.55 $21,821.09 +$514.71
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $390.20 55 $21,461.27
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 55 $20,465.50 $20,825.31 $-995.77
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.60 55 $20,493.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:10am ET $381.20 55 $20,966.27 $21,298.59 +$473.27
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $386.88 55 $21,278.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $397.15 55 $21,843.52 $21,863.71 +$565.12
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $403.30 54 $21,778.47
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $413.31 54 $22,318.73 $22,403.98 +$540.27
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET $426.49 52 $22,177.48
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $413.68 52 $21,511.62 $21,738.12 $-665.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:20am ET $423.07 51 $21,576.57
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $431.94 51 $22,028.94 $22,190.49 +$452.37
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:55am ET $427.40 51 $21,797.65
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $409.71 51 $20,895.21 $21,288.04 $-902.45
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:35am ET $413.89 51 $21,108.39
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:30am ET $400.74 51 $20,437.99 $20,617.64 $-670.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $385.19 53 $20,415.07
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $392.99 53 $20,828.47 $21,031.04 +$413.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $396.20 53 $20,998.86
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $383.34 53 $20,317.02 $20,349.20 $-681.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $383.57 53 $20,329.21
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $371.56 53 $19,692.93 $19,712.92 $-636.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET $412.58 47 $19,391.26
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET $421.58 47 $19,814.26 $20,135.92 +$423.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $398.11 50 $19,905.50
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $406.17 50 $20,308.50 $20,538.92 +$403.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $421.91 48 $20,251.68
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 48 $21,433.92 $21,721.16 +$1,182.24
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET $454.68 47 $21,369.96
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $464.51 47 $21,831.92 $22,183.12 +$461.96
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET $449.90 49 $22,045.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:55am ET $435.58 49 $21,343.42 $21,481.44 $-701.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $429.40 50 $21,470.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $415.13 50 $20,756.50 $20,767.95 $-713.49
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $393.65 52 $20,469.80
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 52 $19,604.00 $19,902.15 $-865.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 53 $19,557.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 53 $18,966.05 $19,311.20 $-590.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $360.75 53 $19,119.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 53 $18,294.80 $18,486.25 $-824.95
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET $324.42 56 $18,167.52
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $331.30 56 $18,553.08 $18,871.81 +$385.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $375.60 50 $18,780.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 50 $17,045.30 $17,137.11 $-1,734.70
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $376.62 45 $16,947.90
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $365.20 45 $16,434.22 $16,623.43 $-513.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $405.73 40 $16,229.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $414.44 40 $16,577.60 $16,971.83 +$348.40
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $419.64 40 $16,785.68
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 40 $17,440.00 $17,626.15 +$654.32
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $459.50 38 $17,461.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $445.13 38 $16,915.02 $17,080.17 $-545.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET $456.93 37 $16,906.45
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $466.44 37 $17,258.35 $17,432.08 +$351.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $452.52 38 $17,195.95
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $438.11 38 $16,648.37 $16,884.50 $-547.58
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $442.54 38 $16,816.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $451.53 38 $17,158.14 $17,226.12 +$341.62
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $485.14 35 $16,979.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 35 $17,353.00 $17,599.22 +$373.10
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $520.66 33 $17,181.78
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 33 $16,574.91 $16,992.35 $-606.87
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET $518.76 32 $16,600.32
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $533.47 32 $17,071.04 $17,463.07 +$470.72
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
64 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $536.02 32 $17,152.64
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 32 $17,883.84 $18,194.27 +$731.20
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
65 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $643.41 28 $18,015.62
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $659.20 28 $18,457.46 $18,636.11 +$441.84
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
66 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $650.98 28 $18,227.44
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:10am ET $669.55 28 $18,747.40 $19,156.07 +$519.96
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,156.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,156.07
Total Return: +91.56%
Back to Rebel Contraire