NFLX Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 42 trades in period
+7.20%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,735.54
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$16,545.03
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
46.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 46.1
30-Day Momentum
12
+0.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,452
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$16,545.03
Current Value
$17,735.54
Period P&L
$1,190.51
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
25 /
17
Best Trade
+3.78%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,372,322.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,190.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,190.51
Gross Return
+7.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,545.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $110.38 | 150 | $16,556.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.85 | 150 | $16,777.35 | $16,867.22 |
+$220.65 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:35am ET | $112.15 | 150 | $16,822.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:55am ET | $114.46 | 150 | $17,168.55 | $17,213.42 |
+$346.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 12:45pm ET | $114.93 | 149 | $17,124.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET | $111.47 | 149 | $16,609.70 | $16,698.70 |
$-514.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $110.68 | 150 | $16,602.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:45am ET | $112.90 | 150 | $16,935.45 | $17,032.15 |
+$333.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $109.55 | 155 | $16,979.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET | $106.22 | 155 | $16,464.10 | $16,516.77 |
$-515.38 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $104.93 | 157 | $16,473.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $107.04 | 157 | $16,805.28 | $16,848.83 |
+$332.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:30pm ET | $106.51 | 158 | $16,828.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $108.71 | 158 | $17,176.18 | $17,196.43 |
+$347.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:10pm ET | $109.46 | 157 | $17,184.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $104.55 | 157 | $16,413.57 | $16,425.56 |
$-770.87 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $102.87 | 159 | $16,356.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:10pm ET | $99.63 | 159 | $15,840.38 | $15,909.60 |
$-515.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $95.69 | 166 | $15,884.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $92.57 | 166 | $15,366.62 | $15,391.68 |
$-517.92 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $95.54 | 161 | $15,381.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:25am ET | $97.14 | 161 | $15,638.74 | $15,648.48 |
+$256.80 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $95.35 | 164 | $15,637.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:45am ET | $93.37 | 164 | $15,311.86 | $15,322.94 |
$-325.54 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:30am ET | $93.48 | 163 | $15,236.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $93.93 | 163 | $15,309.78 | $15,396.29 |
+$73.35 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET | $93.73 | 164 | $15,370.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $90.91 | 164 | $14,908.58 | $14,933.97 |
$-462.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $91.69 | 162 | $14,853.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $88.61 | 162 | $14,354.01 | $14,434.87 |
$-499.11 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $90.06 | 160 | $14,409.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $89.50 | 160 | $14,320.00 | $14,345.73 |
$-89.14 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.18 | 172 | $14,306.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $85.02 | 172 | $14,623.44 | $14,662.21 |
+$316.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $84.04 | 174 | $14,622.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $85.89 | 174 | $14,943.99 | $14,983.22 |
+$321.01 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:05pm ET | $85.95 | 174 | $14,954.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $83.09 | 174 | $14,458.27 | $14,487.06 |
$-496.16 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $83.29 | 173 | $14,408.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $85.06 | 173 | $14,715.40 | $14,794.16 |
+$307.09 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $81.08 | 182 | $14,757.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.79 | 182 | $15,067.78 | $15,104.47 |
+$310.31 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $80.94 | 186 | $15,055.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.59 | 186 | $15,547.74 | $15,596.43 |
+$491.97 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.92 | 205 | $15,562.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $77.59 | 205 | $15,906.03 | $15,939.89 |
+$343.46 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $78.19 | 203 | $15,872.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.19 | 203 | $15,263.57 | $15,330.89 |
$-609.00 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.55 | 200 | $15,310.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.44 | 200 | $15,888.00 | $15,908.87 |
+$577.98 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $83.28 | 191 | $15,905.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $85.01 | 191 | $16,236.53 | $16,239.49 |
+$330.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $95.09 | 170 | $16,165.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $97.37 | 170 | $16,552.90 | $16,627.09 |
+$387.60 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $96.82 | 171 | $16,556.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $98.82 | 171 | $16,898.22 | $16,969.09 |
+$342.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $98.42 | 172 | $16,928.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $97.24 | 172 | $16,725.28 | $16,766.13 |
$-202.96 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:05pm ET | $95.13 | 176 | $16,742.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $95.01 | 176 | $16,721.76 | $16,745.01 |
$-21.12 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $95.32 | 175 | $16,681.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $92.36 | 175 | $16,163.87 | $16,227.88 |
$-517.13 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $91.26 | 177 | $16,153.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $93.12 | 177 | $16,482.24 | $16,557.10 |
+$329.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $92.28 | 179 | $16,518.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $94.15 | 179 | $16,853.21 | $16,892.19 |
+$335.09 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $93.35 | 180 | $16,802.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET | $95.53 | 180 | $17,194.50 | $17,284.59 |
+$392.40 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $95.67 | 180 | $17,220.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $97.67 | 180 | $17,580.60 | $17,644.59 |
+$360.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $98.19 | 179 | $17,576.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $100.21 | 179 | $17,937.57 | $18,006.15 |
+$361.56 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $101.82 | 176 | $17,921.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.74 | 176 | $18,433.36 | $18,518.31 |
+$512.16 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $105.82 | 174 | $18,413.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $108.03 | 174 | $18,797.22 | $18,901.98 |
+$383.67 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $97.82 | 193 | $18,878.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $94.69 | 193 | $18,276.13 | $18,299.49 |
$-602.49 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:25am ET | $93.31 | 196 | $18,287.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.85 | 196 | $18,002.60 | $18,014.31 |
$-285.18 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.76 | 198 | $17,970.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $92.69 | 198 | $18,352.64 | $18,396.47 |
+$382.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $93.11 | 197 | $18,343.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $89.76 | 197 | $17,682.72 | $17,735.54 |
$-660.93 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,735.54
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,735.54
Total Return:
+77.36%