Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

35
+4.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.3 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,928
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,552.10
Current Value
$6,783.37
Period P&L
$-1,768.72
Max Drawdown
-39.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
30 / 28
Best Trade
+5.95%
Worst Trade
-6.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$815,975.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,768.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,768.72
Gross Return
-20.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,552.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:35am ET $6.96 1,228 $8,546.76
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $6.73 1,228 $8,264.44 $8,269.77 $-282.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 2:00pm ET $6.68 1,238 $8,263.65
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $6.43 1,238 $7,960.34 $7,966.46 $-303.31
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $6.43 1,238 $7,960.34
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:10am ET $6.23 1,238 $7,706.55 $7,712.67 $-253.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:10am ET $6.24 1,235 $7,707.26
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $6.04 1,235 $7,459.52 $7,464.93 $-247.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 1,262 $7,464.73
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.73 1,262 $7,231.51 $7,231.71 $-233.22
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.48 1,319 $7,228.38
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $5.61 1,319 $7,395.11 $7,398.43 +$166.72
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $5.47 1,352 $7,395.44
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:10am ET $5.60 1,352 $7,570.25 $7,573.24 +$174.81
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $5.47 1,384 $7,571.86
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $5.31 1,384 $7,342.12 $7,343.50 $-229.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $5.27 1,393 $7,341.11
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET $5.10 1,393 $7,103.74 $7,106.13 $-237.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET $4.80 1,480 $7,104.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $4.97 1,480 $7,355.60 $7,357.73 +$251.60
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $5.08 1,448 $7,355.84
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $5.23 1,448 $7,568.26 $7,570.15 +$212.42
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:10am ET $5.01 1,512 $7,567.56
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:45am ET $5.13 1,512 $7,749.00 $7,751.59 +$181.44
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 12:30pm ET $5.13 1,511 $7,750.98
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $4.97 1,511 $7,514.81 $7,515.42 $-236.17
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:25am ET $5.00 1,504 $7,512.48
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:25am ET $5.04 1,504 $7,580.16 $7,583.10 +$67.68
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:30pm ET $4.89 1,552 $7,581.52
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $5.00 1,552 $7,752.24 $7,753.82 +$170.72
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:40am ET $5.29 1,467 $7,753.10
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $5.58 1,467 $8,192.31 $8,193.04 +$439.22
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,589 $8,191.30
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:25am ET $4.97 1,589 $7,897.33 $7,899.08 $-293.97
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET $5.15 1,535 $7,897.58
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.97 1,535 $7,621.28 $7,622.78 $-276.30
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET $4.96 1,536 $7,618.56
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.81 1,536 $7,384.32 $7,388.54 $-234.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $4.75 1,557 $7,387.97
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $4.88 1,557 $7,598.16 $7,598.73 +$210.20
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $4.71 1,613 $7,597.23
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.57 1,613 $7,363.35 $7,364.85 $-233.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $4.66 1,580 $7,362.80
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $4.51 1,580 $7,117.90 $7,119.95 $-244.90
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET $4.63 1,539 $7,117.88
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,539 $7,317.95 $7,320.02 +$200.07
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $4.70 1,556 $7,316.78
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $4.80 1,556 $7,474.56 $7,477.80 +$157.78
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $4.85 1,543 $7,475.84
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $4.70 1,543 $7,244.39 $7,246.35 $-231.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $4.78 1,515 $7,242.15
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 1,515 $6,862.95 $6,867.14 $-379.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $4.50 1,526 $6,863.03
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,526 $7,271.39 $7,275.50 +$408.36
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $5.07 1,434 $7,274.30
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,434 $6,825.41 $6,826.61 $-448.89
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $4.93 1,383 $6,825.10
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $4.97 1,383 $6,866.60 $6,868.11 +$41.49
(+0.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $4.99 1,376 $6,866.10
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET $4.83 1,376 $6,644.02 $6,646.02 $-222.09
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.95 1,343 $6,641.14
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.05 1,343 $6,775.44 $6,780.32 +$134.30
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.30 1,280 $6,777.60
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:05am ET $5.13 1,280 $6,566.02 $6,568.74 $-211.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:05am ET $4.95 1,326 $6,567.55
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,326 $6,311.76 $6,312.95 $-255.79
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:00am ET $4.49 1,406 $6,312.80
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.59 1,406 $6,446.51 $6,446.66 +$133.71
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.79 1,345 $6,442.28
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $4.64 1,345 $6,240.80 $6,245.18 $-201.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.76 1,311 $6,243.11
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $4.89 1,311 $6,404.24 $6,406.30 +$161.12
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET $5.37 1,193 $6,401.04
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $5.48 1,193 $6,537.64 $6,542.90 +$136.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:35am ET $5.63 1,163 $6,541.88
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $5.45 1,163 $6,332.54 $6,333.56 $-209.34
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $5.57 1,138 $6,332.97
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $5.74 1,138 $6,526.43 $6,527.02 +$193.46
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:00am ET $6.05 1,079 $6,526.01
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $6.21 1,079 $6,700.59 $6,701.60 +$174.58
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:55am ET $6.01 1,114 $6,700.71
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.82 1,114 $6,483.48 $6,484.37 $-217.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $5.77 1,124 $6,483.79
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET $5.59 1,124 $6,288.78 $6,289.36 $-195.01
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:00am ET $5.76 1,091 $6,285.47
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET $5.89 1,091 $6,425.44 $6,429.34 +$139.98
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET $5.81 1,106 $6,425.86
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $5.63 1,106 $6,229.43 $6,232.91 $-196.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $5.41 1,151 $6,228.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $5.54 1,151 $6,376.54 $6,380.93 +$148.02
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $6.09 1,047 $6,376.23
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.22 1,047 $6,507.11 $6,511.81 +$130.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.24 1,042 $6,507.29
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $6.05 1,042 $6,304.00 $6,308.52 $-203.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.43 980 $6,302.38
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 980 $6,438.60 $6,444.74 +$136.22
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $6.39 1,007 $6,439.76
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $6.54 1,007 $6,584.37 $6,589.35 +$144.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.50 1,013 $6,585.21
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $6.64 1,013 $6,726.22 $6,730.36 +$141.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $6.47 1,040 $6,728.70
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $6.65 1,040 $6,914.96 $6,916.62 +$186.26
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $6.86 1,007 $6,913.05
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $6.64 1,007 $6,686.48 $6,690.05 $-226.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $6.49 1,030 $6,689.85
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $6.29 1,030 $6,478.70 $6,478.90 $-211.15
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.22 1,041 $6,475.02
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $6.35 1,041 $6,610.25 $6,614.13 +$135.23
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $6.30 1,049 $6,611.43
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.60 1,049 $6,923.40 $6,926.10 +$311.97
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $6.26 1,106 $6,923.23
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $6.39 1,106 $7,061.81 $7,064.68 +$138.58
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
57 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.93 1,192 $7,062.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $6.05 1,192 $7,205.64 $7,207.72 +$143.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $6.07 1,187 $7,205.09
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 1,187 $6,780.74 $6,783.37 $-424.35
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,783.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,216.63
Total Return: -32.17%
Back to Rebel Contraire