OXY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 50 trades in period
+49.66%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,042.50
Current Value
72%
Win Rate
$10,051.43
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
35.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 35.1
30-Day Momentum
19
-3.0%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,687
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,051.43
Current Value
$15,042.50
Period P&L
$4,991.17
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
36 /
14
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-7.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,281,312.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,991.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,991.17
Gross Return
+49.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+49.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,051.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 12:35pm ET | $40.11 | 249 | $9,987.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $41.11 | 249 | $10,236.39 | $10,260.50 |
+$249.00 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $41.15 | 249 | $10,246.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.10 | 249 | $10,731.43 | $10,745.58 |
+$485.08 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $41.50 | 258 | $10,705.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.40 | 258 | $10,940.39 | $10,980.25 |
+$234.68 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:15am ET | $42.11 | 260 | $10,949.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $42.99 | 260 | $11,177.40 | $11,208.09 |
+$227.84 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:50am ET | $42.60 | 263 | $11,202.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.22 | 263 | $10,839.55 | $10,845.15 |
$-362.94 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $42.39 | 255 | $10,809.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.86 | 255 | $10,420.42 | $10,456.12 |
$-389.03 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $40.70 | 256 | $10,419.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 1:40pm ET | $41.53 | 256 | $10,630.40 | $10,667.32 |
+$211.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:40pm ET | $41.34 | 258 | $10,665.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:55am ET | $42.20 | 258 | $10,887.60 | $10,889.20 |
+$221.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $42.64 | 255 | $10,871.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.70 | 255 | $10,632.23 | $10,649.50 |
$-239.70 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $41.29 | 257 | $10,611.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.81 | 257 | $10,488.17 | $10,526.14 |
$-123.36 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $39.08 | 269 | $10,512.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $39.88 | 269 | $10,726.38 | $10,740.00 |
+$213.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:50am ET | $39.87 | 269 | $10,723.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:50am ET | $39.81 | 269 | $10,707.55 | $10,723.86 |
$-16.14 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $40.00 | 268 | $10,720.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $40.27 | 268 | $10,793.32 | $10,797.18 |
+$73.32 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $41.48 | 260 | $10,783.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $42.34 | 260 | $11,008.40 | $11,021.93 |
+$224.74 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $41.56 | 265 | $11,013.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $42.46 | 265 | $11,251.82 | $11,260.35 |
+$238.42 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $42.78 | 263 | $11,249.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $43.80 | 263 | $11,518.09 | $11,528.61 |
+$268.26 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:35am ET | $44.46 | 259 | $11,513.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $43.11 | 259 | $11,164.20 | $11,178.96 |
$-349.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $42.67 | 261 | $11,136.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $43.72 | 261 | $11,410.92 | $11,453.01 |
+$274.05 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $42.58 | 268 | $11,411.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.08 | 268 | $11,813.44 | $11,855.01 |
+$402.00 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.00 | 269 | $11,836.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.00 | 269 | $12,105.03 | $12,123.98 |
+$268.97 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $46.29 | 261 | $12,081.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $44.90 | 261 | $11,718.93 | $11,761.22 |
$-362.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $44.04 | 267 | $11,758.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $44.94 | 267 | $11,997.65 | $12,000.18 |
+$238.97 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $45.24 | 265 | $11,989.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $46.25 | 265 | $12,256.25 | $12,266.51 |
+$266.33 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.31 | 264 | $12,225.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $46.21 | 264 | $12,198.12 | $12,238.79 |
$-27.72 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.79 | 267 | $12,227.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.91 | 267 | $12,524.97 | $12,536.50 |
+$297.71 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.84 | 246 | $12,506.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.93 | 246 | $12,775.89 | $12,805.75 |
+$269.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $52.76 | 242 | $12,767.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.08 | 242 | $12,361.65 | $12,399.48 |
$-406.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.22 | 242 | $12,396.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.83 | 242 | $12,784.86 | $12,787.89 |
+$388.41 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $53.76 | 237 | $12,741.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.29 | 237 | $13,103.73 | $13,150.50 |
+$362.61 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $53.40 | 246 | $13,136.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.49 | 246 | $13,403.31 | $13,417.41 |
+$266.91 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $53.48 | 250 | $13,370.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.88 | 250 | $13,720.25 | $13,767.66 |
+$350.25 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $53.85 | 255 | $13,731.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $52.15 | 255 | $13,298.25 | $13,334.16 |
$-433.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $55.14 | 241 | $13,288.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.71 | 241 | $13,665.91 | $13,711.33 |
+$377.17 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.40 | 238 | $13,661.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.19 | 238 | $13,850.41 | $13,900.54 |
+$189.21 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $59.87 | 232 | $13,889.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $61.08 | 232 | $14,169.89 | $14,180.59 |
+$280.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $60.23 | 235 | $14,154.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $61.88 | 235 | $14,541.80 | $14,568.34 |
+$387.75 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $61.27 | 237 | $14,520.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.18 | 237 | $14,973.66 | $15,021.01 |
+$452.67 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.92 | 231 | $14,996.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $66.22 | 231 | $15,297.97 | $15,322.37 |
+$301.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $66.51 | 230 | $15,297.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $64.12 | 230 | $14,747.60 | $14,772.67 |
$-549.70 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.52 | 240 | $14,764.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.60 | 240 | $15,503.86 | $15,511.73 |
+$739.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $62.56 | 247 | $15,452.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $64.03 | 247 | $15,816.15 | $15,875.56 |
+$363.83 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $58.60 | 270 | $15,823.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $59.81 | 270 | $16,150.05 | $16,202.26 |
+$326.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $58.53 | 276 | $16,155.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.58 | 276 | $15,341.46 | $15,388.06 |
$-814.20 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $56.06 | 274 | $15,360.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.44 | 274 | $14,642.56 | $14,670.10 |
$-717.96 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $54.49 | 269 | $14,657.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $55.61 | 269 | $14,959.76 | $14,972.03 |
+$301.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $56.53 | 264 | $14,923.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $57.68 | 264 | $15,227.52 | $15,275.60 |
+$303.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $56.60 | 269 | $15,224.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.77 | 269 | $15,540.13 | $15,591.67 |
+$316.07 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $58.27 | 267 | $15,559.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.46 | 267 | $15,875.82 | $15,908.49 |
+$316.82 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $59.48 | 267 | $15,881.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.67 | 267 | $16,200.22 | $16,227.55 |
+$319.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $59.22 | 274 | $16,224.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.89 | 274 | $15,039.86 | $15,042.50 |
$-1,185.05 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,042.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,042.50
Total Return:
+50.42%