PFE Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 35 trades in period
+16.65%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,535.35
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$7,317.24
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
9.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 9.3
30-Day Momentum
2
-2.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,571
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,317.24
Current Value
$8,535.35
Period P&L
$1,218.17
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
24 /
11
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$575,227.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,218.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,218.17
Gross Return
+16.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,317.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $24.77 | 294 | $7,282.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.84 | 294 | $7,301.49 | $7,318.29 |
+$19.11 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:05am ET | $24.52 | 298 | $7,305.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:25pm ET | $25.04 | 298 | $7,460.43 | $7,473.25 |
+$154.96 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 12:30pm ET | $25.82 | 289 | $7,462.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $26.44 | 289 | $7,641.16 | $7,652.40 |
+$179.15 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET | $25.22 | 303 | $7,641.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $25.34 | 303 | $7,676.51 | $7,687.25 |
+$34.85 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $24.51 | 313 | $7,670.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $25.03 | 313 | $7,832.83 | $7,850.01 |
+$162.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $25.31 | 310 | $7,844.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $25.88 | 310 | $8,021.25 | $8,026.71 |
+$176.70 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:25am ET | $25.74 | 311 | $8,005.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:25am ET | $25.48 | 311 | $7,925.37 | $7,946.31 |
$-80.39 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $25.16 | 315 | $7,923.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $25.73 | 315 | $8,104.95 | $8,127.44 |
+$181.13 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $25.41 | 319 | $8,105.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.92 | 319 | $8,268.48 | $8,290.13 |
+$162.69 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:10pm ET | $26.06 | 318 | $8,287.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.95 | 318 | $8,252.10 | $8,255.15 |
$-34.98 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $25.95 | 318 | $8,252.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $25.16 | 318 | $8,001.10 | $8,004.15 |
$-251.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.15 | 318 | $7,996.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.26 | 318 | $8,031.09 | $8,039.13 |
+$34.98 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:15pm ET | $25.02 | 321 | $8,031.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.11 | 321 | $8,058.71 | $8,066.42 |
+$27.29 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.96 | 323 | $8,060.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 323 | $8,179.98 | $8,185.93 |
+$119.51 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.71 | 318 | $8,174.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.33 | 318 | $8,054.94 | $8,066.68 |
$-119.25 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.14 | 320 | $8,043.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $25.64 | 320 | $8,204.80 | $8,228.28 |
+$161.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 318 | $8,207.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.48 | 318 | $8,101.05 | $8,121.75 |
$-106.53 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.81 | 314 | $8,104.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.82 | 314 | $8,106.54 | $8,123.91 |
+$2.17 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.46 | 307 | $8,121.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 307 | $8,141.64 | $8,143.87 |
+$19.96 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.67 | 317 | $8,137.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 317 | $8,348.19 | $8,354.70 |
+$210.84 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.93 | 310 | $8,349.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.27 | 310 | $8,455.25 | $8,460.10 |
+$105.40 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.74 | 305 | $8,459.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.86 | 305 | $8,193.82 | $8,194.75 |
$-265.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.38 | 310 | $8,178.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $26.97 | 310 | $8,359.15 | $8,375.26 |
+$180.51 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $27.23 | 307 | $8,358.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.57 | 307 | $8,463.99 | $8,481.17 |
+$105.91 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.88 | 318 | $8,547.81 | $8,554.28 |
+$73.11 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $27.11 | 315 | $8,539.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 315 | $8,419.95 | $8,434.58 |
$-119.70 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 318 | $8,474.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.05 | 318 | $8,601.90 | $8,561.78 |
+$127.20 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 322 | $8,539.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $27.08 | 322 | $8,721.37 | $8,743.71 |
+$181.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.38 | 319 | $8,734.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $27.51 | 319 | $8,777.28 | $8,786.55 |
+$42.84 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.18 | 311 | $8,765.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $28.06 | 311 | $8,726.66 | $8,747.68 |
$-38.88 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $27.00 | 323 | $8,721.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 323 | $8,679.01 | $8,705.69 |
$-41.99 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.24 | 319 | $8,689.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.60 | 319 | $8,804.40 | $8,820.53 |
+$114.84 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.25 | 323 | $8,801.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.40 | 323 | $8,525.59 | $8,544.37 |
$-276.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.74 | 319 | $8,530.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.33 | 319 | $8,718.27 | $8,732.58 |
+$188.21 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.75 | 326 | $8,722.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.15 | 326 | $8,524.90 | $8,535.35 |
$-197.23 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,535.35
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,464.65
Total Return:
-14.65%