PYPL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 43 trades in period
-9.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,517.48
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$9,436.13
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality
11.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 10.9
30-Day Momentum
67
+12.2%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.7
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+56 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,778
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,436.13
Current Value
$8,517.48
Period P&L
$-918.70
Max Drawdown
-52.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
23 /
20
Best Trade
+9.13%
Worst Trade
-17.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$692,275.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-918.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-918.70
Gross Return
-9.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,436.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:45am ET | $66.46 | 141 | $9,370.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:45am ET | $67.44 | 141 | $9,509.04 | $9,572.92 |
+$138.18 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.83 | 145 | $9,545.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $63.06 | 145 | $9,142.98 | $9,170.55 |
$-402.38 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $61.80 | 148 | $9,146.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.29 | 148 | $8,774.18 | $8,798.21 |
$-372.34 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET | $58.30 | 150 | $8,744.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.76 | 150 | $9,114.00 | $9,167.96 |
+$369.75 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $60.56 | 151 | $9,144.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 151 | $9,367.29 | $9,390.68 |
+$222.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:20pm ET | $62.51 | 150 | $9,376.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $61.43 | 150 | $9,214.50 | $9,228.68 |
$-162.00 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET | $61.66 | 149 | $9,186.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $61.16 | 149 | $9,112.84 | $9,154.93 |
$-73.76 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $61.96 | 147 | $9,108.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.93 | 147 | $8,809.71 | $8,856.52 |
$-298.41 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $59.90 | 147 | $8,804.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 10:50am ET | $59.61 | 147 | $8,761.94 | $8,813.89 |
$-42.63 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $59.79 | 147 | $8,789.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.95 | 147 | $8,518.66 | $8,543.42 |
$-270.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $59.80 | 142 | $8,491.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.89 | 142 | $8,219.67 | $8,271.49 |
$-271.93 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.60 | 143 | $8,236.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.20 | 143 | $8,178.89 | $8,213.58 |
$-57.92 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $56.65 | 144 | $8,157.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.69 | 144 | $8,019.37 | $8,075.35 |
$-138.23 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.89 | 144 | $8,048.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.05 | 144 | $8,215.20 | $8,242.39 |
+$167.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.74 | 145 | $8,226.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.82 | 145 | $7,948.90 | $7,964.72 |
$-277.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.17 | 149 | $7,922.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.62 | 149 | $6,499.38 | $6,541.77 |
$-1,422.95 (-18.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.42 | 161 | $6,507.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $41.33 | 161 | $6,654.93 | $6,689.08 |
+$147.32 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $39.13 | 170 | $6,652.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $39.95 | 170 | $6,791.50 | $6,828.48 |
+$139.40 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:35pm ET | $40.37 | 169 | $6,822.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $41.22 | 169 | $6,965.40 | $6,971.35 |
+$142.87 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $41.97 | 166 | $6,967.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $41.80 | 166 | $6,938.82 | $6,943.15 |
$-28.20 (-0.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.79 | 170 | $6,934.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $41.61 | 170 | $7,073.87 | $7,082.72 |
+$139.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $41.20 | 171 | $7,045.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $42.06 | 171 | $7,193.11 | $7,230.63 |
+$147.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $40.82 | 177 | $7,225.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $44.54 | 177 | $7,884.46 | $7,889.95 |
+$659.32 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $43.52 | 181 | $7,877.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $44.41 | 181 | $8,038.21 | $8,051.04 |
+$161.09 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET | $47.15 | 170 | $8,014.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $45.65 | 170 | $7,760.60 | $7,796.99 |
$-254.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $45.88 | 169 | $7,752.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $46.86 | 169 | $7,919.34 | $7,963.46 |
+$166.47 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $47.13 | 168 | $7,917.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.61 | 168 | $7,662.46 | $7,708.08 |
$-255.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $45.01 | 171 | $7,697.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.09 | 171 | $7,881.39 | $7,892.34 |
+$184.25 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $45.11 | 174 | $7,849.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.45 | 174 | $8,082.30 | $8,125.50 |
+$233.16 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $45.45 | 178 | $8,089.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $44.04 | 178 | $7,839.12 | $7,874.69 |
$-250.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $47.13 | 168 | $7,917.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.72 | 168 | $7,512.96 | $7,469.81 |
$-404.88 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $44.37 | 168 | $7,453.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.36 | 168 | $7,620.48 | $7,636.97 |
+$167.16 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $45.77 | 166 | $7,597.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $44.36 | 166 | $7,363.76 | $7,402.91 |
$-234.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $44.55 | 166 | $7,395.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.69 | 166 | $7,584.54 | $7,592.15 |
+$189.24 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.17 | 168 | $7,589.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.10 | 168 | $7,744.80 | $7,747.55 |
+$155.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.66 | 169 | $7,716.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $46.60 | 169 | $7,876.24 | $7,907.25 |
+$159.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $48.22 | 163 | $7,859.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $49.19 | 163 | $8,017.97 | $8,065.36 |
+$158.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $49.37 | 163 | $8,047.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.54 | 163 | $8,238.02 | $8,256.07 |
+$190.71 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $50.65 | 163 | $8,255.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.00 | 163 | $8,476.00 | $8,476.93 |
+$220.86 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $50.92 | 166 | $8,453.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $49.27 | 166 | $8,178.82 | $8,202.20 |
$-274.73 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.27 | 163 | $8,194.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.05 | 163 | $8,158.15 | $8,166.34 |
$-35.86 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.01 | 163 | $8,150.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $51.01 | 163 | $8,314.63 | $8,330.15 |
+$163.81 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $45.93 | 181 | $8,313.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.97 | 181 | $8,500.67 | $8,517.48 |
+$187.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,517.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,482.52
Total Return:
-14.83%