QQQ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 32 trades in period
+1.92%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,674.69
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,473.88
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
21.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 21.2
30-Day Momentum
66
+14.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.1
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,537
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,473.88
Current Value
$10,674.69
Period P&L
$200.78
Max Drawdown
-24.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
17 /
15
Best Trade
+4.30%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$620,310.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$200.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$200.78
Gross Return
+1.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,473.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $624.82 | 17 | $10,621.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $603.87 | 17 | $10,265.79 | $10,314.28 |
$-356.15 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $620.57 | 16 | $9,929.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $597.61 | 16 | $9,561.76 | $9,946.92 |
$-367.36 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $608.30 | 16 | $9,732.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:45pm ET | $589.97 | 16 | $9,439.52 | $9,653.72 |
$-293.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:50pm ET | $593.50 | 16 | $9,496.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 1:10pm ET | $605.51 | 16 | $9,688.17 | $9,845.89 |
+$192.17 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:05pm ET | $607.22 | 16 | $9,715.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $614.68 | 16 | $9,834.88 | $9,965.33 |
+$119.44 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $621.31 | 16 | $9,940.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $628.10 | 16 | $10,049.52 | $10,073.92 |
+$108.59 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $623.45 | 16 | $9,975.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $616.19 | 16 | $9,859.04 | $9,957.76 |
$-116.16 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $609.52 | 16 | $9,752.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $619.58 | 16 | $9,913.20 | $10,118.59 |
+$160.83 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $618.01 | 16 | $9,888.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $620.45 | 16 | $9,927.20 | $10,157.63 |
+$39.04 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $619.77 | 16 | $9,916.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $617.98 | 16 | $9,887.68 | $10,128.99 |
$-28.64 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $621.29 | 16 | $9,940.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $624.95 | 16 | $9,999.18 | $10,187.53 |
+$58.54 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $627.40 | 16 | $10,038.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $613.05 | 16 | $9,808.80 | $9,957.93 |
$-229.60 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $615.69 | 16 | $9,851.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $626.54 | 16 | $10,024.57 | $10,131.46 |
+$173.53 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $631.14 | 16 | $10,098.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $621.00 | 16 | $9,936.00 | $9,969.22 |
$-162.24 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $620.46 | 16 | $9,927.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $601.25 | 16 | $9,620.00 | $9,661.86 |
$-307.36 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $600.55 | 16 | $9,608.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $613.10 | 16 | $9,809.60 | $9,862.66 |
+$200.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $615.27 | 16 | $9,844.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $615.03 | 16 | $9,840.56 | $9,858.90 |
$-3.76 (-0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $598.12 | 16 | $9,569.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.49 | 16 | $9,703.84 | $9,992.82 |
+$133.92 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $603.83 | 16 | $9,661.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $615.97 | 16 | $9,855.44 | $10,186.98 |
+$194.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $608.15 | 16 | $9,730.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $602.18 | 16 | $9,634.88 | $10,091.46 |
$-95.52 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $611.17 | 16 | $9,778.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $592.67 | 16 | $9,482.72 | $9,795.46 |
$-296.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $606.94 | 16 | $9,711.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.03 | 16 | $9,600.48 | $9,684.90 |
$-110.56 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $605.21 | 16 | $9,683.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $586.58 | 16 | $9,385.28 | $9,386.82 |
$-298.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $593.39 | 15 | $8,900.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET | $575.26 | 15 | $8,628.90 | $9,114.87 |
$-271.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $562.66 | 16 | $9,002.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:00pm ET | $574.09 | 16 | $9,185.44 | $9,297.75 |
+$182.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $587.49 | 15 | $8,812.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $586.83 | 15 | $8,802.45 | $9,287.78 |
$-9.97 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $584.05 | 15 | $8,760.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.17 | 15 | $9,137.55 | $9,664.58 |
+$376.80 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $604.41 | 15 | $9,066.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $617.21 | 15 | $9,258.15 | $9,856.58 |
+$192.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $633.17 | 15 | $9,497.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $645.88 | 15 | $9,688.19 | $10,047.24 |
+$190.66 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $644.40 | 15 | $9,666.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $658.27 | 15 | $9,874.05 | $10,255.29 |
+$208.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $661.08 | 15 | $9,916.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $674.58 | 15 | $10,118.70 | $10,457.79 |
+$202.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $674.61 | 15 | $10,119.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $689.07 | 15 | $10,336.05 | $10,674.69 |
+$216.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,674.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$674.69
Total Return:
+6.75%