Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:25:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 34.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.6

30-Day Momentum

44
+6.6%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.1 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,360
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,190.57
Current Value
$14,864.26
Period P&L
$-8,326.26
Max Drawdown
-34.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
34 / 30
Best Trade
+4.00%
Worst Trade
-23.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,433,662.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8,326.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8,326.26
Gross Return
-35.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $23,190.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:35am ET $81.93 283 $23,184.78
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $81.67 283 $23,112.61 $23,118.38 $-72.16
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET $81.54 283 $23,075.82
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $79.02 283 $22,362.66 $22,405.22 $-713.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $80.11 279 $22,350.69
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:25am ET $81.82 279 $22,826.75 $22,881.27 +$476.06
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
54m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:50am ET $76.41 299 $22,846.59
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $73.92 299 $22,100.59 $22,135.27 $-746.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $72.88 303 $22,082.64
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.70 303 $22,936.34 $22,988.97 +$853.70
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $82.94 277 $22,974.38
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $84.63 277 $23,441.13 $23,455.72 +$466.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $82.99 282 $23,403.18
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $85.23 282 $24,034.55 $24,087.09 +$631.37
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $89.00 270 $24,030.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:45am ET $90.91 270 $24,544.35 $24,601.44 +$514.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $80.74 304 $24,544.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $77.26 304 $23,487.04 $23,543.52 $-1,057.92
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $75.15 313 $23,520.39
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $72.38 313 $22,654.94 $22,678.07 $-865.45
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $72.70 311 $22,609.70
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $74.80 311 $23,262.80 $23,331.17 +$653.10
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $72.63 321 $23,314.26
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:25am ET $74.34 321 $23,863.14 $23,880.05 +$548.88
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:30am ET $67.86 351 $23,818.86
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $65.62 351 $23,030.87 $23,092.05 $-788.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $67.98 339 $23,045.22
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $65.32 339 $22,144.33 $22,191.16 $-900.89
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET $64.25 345 $22,166.25
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $62.17 345 $21,448.65 $21,473.56 $-717.60
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $67.56 317 $21,416.52
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $70.26 317 $22,274.00 $22,331.05 +$857.49
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $74.25 300 $22,273.50
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.64 300 $21,792.00 $21,849.54 $-481.50
(-2.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $63.44 344 $21,823.36
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $65.17 344 $22,418.48 $22,444.66 +$595.12
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:30am ET $64.76 346 $22,408.69
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $61.41 346 $21,247.86 $21,283.83 $-1,160.83
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $60.83 349 $21,227.93
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:40am ET $62.19 349 $21,704.31 $21,760.21 +$476.38
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $65.01 334 $21,713.34
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $66.44 334 $22,192.63 $22,239.50 +$479.29
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $67.57 329 $22,230.56
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $68.97 329 $22,691.69 $22,700.63 +$461.13
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $69.72 325 $22,660.62
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.40 325 $21,905.00 $21,945.01 $-755.62
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $64.04 342 $21,902.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET $65.43 342 $22,377.06 $22,419.71 +$474.70
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:45am ET $67.47 332 $22,401.70
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $68.96 332 $22,896.38 $22,914.39 +$494.68
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $63.40 361 $22,887.40
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $60.58 361 $21,869.38 $21,896.37 $-1,018.02
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:15am ET $60.25 363 $21,870.75
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $58.33 363 $21,173.79 $21,199.41 $-696.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $57.55 368 $21,178.40
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:10am ET $59.24 368 $21,802.16 $21,823.17 +$623.76
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $59.74 365 $21,805.10
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $57.89 365 $21,130.21 $21,148.28 $-674.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $58.26 362 $21,090.12
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $56.46 362 $20,438.52 $20,496.68 $-651.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $56.69 361 $20,463.29
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $54.78 361 $19,777.38 $19,810.78 $-685.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:45am ET $56.21 352 $19,784.16
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $54.28 352 $19,106.70 $19,133.32 $-677.46
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $52.73 362 $19,088.26
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $53.89 362 $19,508.18 $19,553.24 +$419.92
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.28 335 $19,525.47
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $56.47 335 $18,917.79 $18,945.55 $-607.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET $59.25 319 $18,900.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $57.26 319 $18,264.35 $18,309.15 $-636.40
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $56.22 325 $18,271.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.47 325 $18,677.75 $18,715.40 +$406.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $56.71 330 $18,714.30
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $54.63 330 $18,027.90 $18,029.00 $-686.40
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $54.57 330 $18,008.10
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $52.92 330 $17,461.95 $17,482.85 $-546.15
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $58.56 298 $17,450.88
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $60.29 298 $17,966.42 $17,998.39 +$515.54
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $60.31 298 $17,972.38
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $61.79 298 $18,413.42 $18,439.43 +$441.04
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $60.60 304 $18,423.92
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $61.87 304 $18,808.48 $18,823.99 +$384.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $61.76 304 $18,775.04
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.85 304 $18,195.92 $18,244.87 $-579.12
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.84 338 $18,197.92
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.10 338 $18,622.11 $18,669.06 +$424.19
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $57.51 324 $18,633.24
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 324 $17,669.34 $17,705.16 $-963.90
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $55.78 317 $17,682.26
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 317 $13,478.84 $13,501.74 $-4,203.42
(-23.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
46 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $45.03 299 $13,462.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.23 299 $13,822.77 $13,862.03 +$360.29
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
47 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $45.87 302 $13,851.23
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $44.48 302 $13,432.96 $13,443.76 $-418.27
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
48 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $43.81 306 $13,407.39
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 306 $13,693.50 $13,729.87 +$286.11
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
49 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $43.54 315 $13,716.67
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:30am ET $42.18 315 $13,286.70 $13,299.90 $-429.97
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
50 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $42.10 315 $13,261.50
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $42.98 315 $13,538.70 $13,577.10 +$277.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
51 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:35am ET $40.87 332 $13,567.18
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $41.80 332 $13,877.60 $13,887.52 +$310.42
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
52 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $43.03 322 $13,857.27
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $43.90 322 $14,135.80 $14,166.05 +$278.53
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
53 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:05am ET $46.89 302 $14,160.78
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:25am ET $45.16 302 $13,638.35 $13,643.62 $-522.43
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
54 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:35am ET $45.33 300 $13,600.50
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $46.35 300 $13,903.50 $13,946.62 +$303.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
55 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:15am ET $46.95 297 $13,944.15
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.94 297 $14,238.18 $14,240.65 +$294.03
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
56 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $45.93 310 $14,237.25
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:40am ET $46.88 310 $14,532.80 $14,536.20 +$295.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
57 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $47.09 308 $14,503.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $45.55 308 $14,029.40 $14,061.88 $-474.32
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $43.24 325 $14,053.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $44.86 325 $14,579.50 $14,588.38 +$526.50
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $42.99 339 $14,575.23
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.56 339 $14,088.84 $14,101.99 $-486.39
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $42.58 331 $14,095.63
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $43.45 331 $14,381.95 $14,388.31 +$286.32
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
61 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $42.58 337 $14,351.14
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $41.17 337 $13,874.29 $13,911.45 $-476.86
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $42.76 325 $13,897.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.64 325 $14,183.00 $14,197.45 +$286.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $45.41 312 $14,168.14
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $46.58 312 $14,532.96 $14,562.27 +$364.82
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $48.61 299 $14,534.39
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:05am ET $49.62 299 $14,836.38 $14,864.26 +$301.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,864.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,864.26
Total Return: +48.64%
Back to Rebel Contraire