REGN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 39 trades in period
+4.30%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,094.96
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$7,761.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
11.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.9
30-Day Momentum
9
-3.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,049
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,761.11
Current Value
$8,094.96
Period P&L
$333.88
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+2.28%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$642,096.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$333.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$333.88
Gross Return
+4.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,761.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:35pm ET | $644.73 | 12 | $7,736.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $657.80 | 12 | $7,893.60 | $7,917.94 |
+$156.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $652.40 | 12 | $7,828.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 11:10am ET | $666.13 | 12 | $7,993.56 | $8,082.70 |
+$164.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $684.91 | 11 | $7,534.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $698.78 | 11 | $7,686.53 | $8,235.21 |
+$152.52 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $697.47 | 11 | $7,672.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $712.45 | 11 | $7,836.94 | $8,399.98 |
+$164.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $718.16 | 11 | $7,899.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $732.92 | 11 | $8,062.12 | $8,562.34 |
+$162.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:40am ET | $741.26 | 11 | $8,153.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:35pm ET | $756.10 | 11 | $8,317.10 | $8,725.58 |
+$163.24 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:05am ET | $775.41 | 11 | $8,529.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $778.43 | 11 | $8,562.73 | $8,758.80 |
+$33.22 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $738.38 | 11 | $8,122.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $715.80 | 11 | $7,873.80 | $8,510.42 |
$-248.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET | $702.45 | 12 | $8,429.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:35am ET | $717.41 | 12 | $8,608.92 | $8,690.00 |
+$179.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:45am ET | $736.15 | 11 | $8,097.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $750.95 | 11 | $8,260.45 | $8,852.80 |
+$162.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $750.33 | 11 | $8,253.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $766.40 | 11 | $8,430.40 | $9,029.57 |
+$176.77 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:40am ET | $780.65 | 11 | $8,587.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $783.15 | 11 | $8,614.70 | $9,057.11 |
+$27.55 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $773.75 | 11 | $8,511.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $768.44 | 11 | $8,452.84 | $8,998.70 |
$-58.41 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $777.94 | 11 | $8,557.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $795.67 | 11 | $8,752.37 | $9,193.73 |
+$195.03 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $809.19 | 11 | $8,901.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $784.00 | 11 | $8,624.00 | $8,916.64 |
$-277.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $754.48 | 11 | $8,299.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $731.79 | 11 | $8,049.69 | $8,667.05 |
$-249.59 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $734.10 | 11 | $8,075.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $749.28 | 11 | $8,242.08 | $8,834.03 |
+$166.98 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $757.29 | 11 | $8,330.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $774.01 | 11 | $8,514.06 | $9,017.90 |
+$183.87 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $754.00 | 11 | $8,294.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $753.48 | 11 | $8,288.28 | $9,012.18 |
$-5.72 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $760.52 | 11 | $8,365.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $777.43 | 11 | $8,551.78 | $9,198.30 |
+$186.12 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $775.80 | 11 | $8,533.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $773.38 | 11 | $8,507.18 | $9,171.68 |
$-26.62 (-0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $801.77 | 11 | $8,819.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $776.76 | 11 | $8,544.36 | $8,896.57 |
$-275.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $771.27 | 11 | $8,483.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $788.40 | 11 | $8,672.45 | $9,085.11 |
+$188.54 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $784.12 | 11 | $8,625.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $759.83 | 11 | $8,358.08 | $8,817.87 |
$-267.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $780.39 | 11 | $8,584.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $780.68 | 11 | $8,587.48 | $8,821.11 |
+$3.24 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $763.71 | 11 | $8,400.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $779.87 | 11 | $8,578.57 | $8,998.87 |
+$177.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $773.14 | 11 | $8,504.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:25pm ET | $748.53 | 11 | $8,233.83 | $8,728.16 |
$-270.71 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $745.93 | 11 | $8,205.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $760.95 | 11 | $8,370.45 | $8,893.38 |
+$165.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $765.87 | 11 | $8,424.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $742.17 | 11 | $8,163.92 | $8,632.73 |
$-260.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $741.08 | 11 | $8,151.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $732.58 | 11 | $8,058.33 | $8,539.17 |
$-93.56 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $750.29 | 11 | $8,253.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:55am ET | $755.83 | 11 | $8,314.08 | $8,600.06 |
+$60.89 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $774.10 | 11 | $8,515.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $750.81 | 11 | $8,258.91 | $8,343.87 |
$-256.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $767.20 | 10 | $7,672.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $743.79 | 10 | $7,437.95 | $8,109.82 |
$-234.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $740.94 | 10 | $7,409.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $756.45 | 10 | $7,564.50 | $8,264.92 |
+$155.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $747.75 | 11 | $8,225.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $752.27 | 11 | $8,274.97 | $8,314.64 |
+$49.72 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $751.34 | 11 | $8,264.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $749.48 | 11 | $8,244.28 | $8,294.18 |
$-20.46 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $748.98 | 11 | $8,238.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $703.09 | 11 | $7,733.99 | $7,789.39 |
$-504.79 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $691.59 | 11 | $7,607.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $706.18 | 11 | $7,768.03 | $7,949.93 |
+$160.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $707.52 | 11 | $7,782.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $720.70 | 11 | $7,927.70 | $8,094.96 |
+$145.03 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,094.96
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,905.04
Total Return:
-19.05%