Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:18:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.7

30-Day Momentum

16
-3.0%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,071
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,335.72
Current Value
$4,848.98
Period P&L
$513.30
Max Drawdown
-60.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
67
Winners / Losers
41 / 26
Best Trade
+7.40%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$627,916.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$513.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$513.30
Gross Return
+11.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 67 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $4,335.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $15.15 286 $4,332.87
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:20am ET $15.46 286 $4,421.56 $4,424.36 +$88.69
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:50am ET $17.47 253 $4,419.91
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:05pm ET $17.83 253 $4,510.96 $4,515.42 +$91.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $17.51 257 $4,498.79
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:25am ET $16.93 257 $4,349.73 $4,366.36 $-149.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:05am ET $15.57 280 $4,358.20
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $14.89 280 $4,167.80 $4,175.96 $-190.40
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $14.92 279 $4,162.18
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:10pm ET $15.23 279 $4,249.17 $4,262.95 +$86.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $14.75 289 $4,261.31
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 289 $4,483.84 $4,485.48 +$222.53
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET $14.52 308 $4,472.16
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $14.06 308 $4,328.94 $4,342.26 $-143.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET $14.89 291 $4,332.99
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $15.25 291 $4,436.30 $4,445.57 +$103.31
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $15.89 279 $4,431.92
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $16.23 279 $4,528.17 $4,541.82 +$96.26
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:20am ET $17.17 264 $4,531.56
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 12:55pm ET $17.52 264 $4,623.96 $4,634.22 +$92.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:55pm ET $17.34 267 $4,628.45
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $17.79 267 $4,748.60 $4,754.37 +$120.15
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET $18.08 263 $4,754.12
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:50pm ET $18.46 263 $4,853.67 $4,853.92 +$99.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET $17.48 277 $4,840.58
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $17.83 277 $4,938.91 $4,952.25 +$98.33
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $16.81 294 $4,942.46
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:45am ET $16.31 294 $4,793.67 $4,803.46 $-148.79
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $18.92 253 $4,785.50
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:55pm ET $19.32 253 $4,887.96 $4,905.92 +$102.47
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET $17.89 274 $4,900.76
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $18.27 274 $5,004.61 $5,009.77 +$103.85
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $18.87 265 $5,000.55
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:25pm ET $19.26 265 $5,102.58 $5,111.79 +$102.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:00pm ET $22.11 231 $5,106.26
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $21.27 231 $4,913.37 $4,918.91 $-192.89
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:50am ET $21.26 231 $4,909.91
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $20.43 231 $4,719.33 $4,728.33 $-190.58
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $19.82 238 $4,717.16
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $20.39 238 $4,851.96 $4,863.14 +$134.80
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $19.29 252 $4,861.08
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $19.84 252 $4,999.71 $5,001.76 +$138.63
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $18.89 264 $4,986.96
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET $19.35 264 $5,108.40 $5,123.20 +$121.44
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $19.83 258 $5,116.14
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $20.29 258 $5,234.97 $5,242.04 +$118.83
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
54m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $20.51 255 $5,228.78
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $19.79 255 $5,045.18 $5,058.44 $-183.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $18.99 266 $5,050.01
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $19.37 266 $5,152.42 $5,160.85 +$102.41
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $18.80 274 $5,151.20
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.88 274 $4,897.75 $4,907.40 $-253.45
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET $17.22 285 $4,906.28
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.70 285 $4,758.08 $4,759.20 $-148.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.02 297 $4,756.46
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $16.35 297 $4,854.47 $4,857.21 +$98.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:30am ET $16.78 289 $4,847.98
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.27 289 $4,702.03 $4,711.26 $-145.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:40am ET $15.65 301 $4,709.15
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:55am ET $15.17 301 $4,564.67 $4,566.78 $-144.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.34 297 $4,554.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:30am ET $14.86 297 $4,414.76 $4,427.04 $-139.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:30am ET $14.47 306 $4,426.29
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $14.76 306 $4,515.03 $4,515.78 +$88.74
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $14.30 315 $4,504.50
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $13.87 315 $4,369.05 $4,380.33 $-135.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $14.86 294 $4,370.31
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $14.40 294 $4,235.07 $4,245.09 $-135.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $15.34 276 $4,233.81
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $15.32 276 $4,228.32 $4,239.60 $-5.49
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
30m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $14.44 293 $4,232.38
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.77 293 $4,326.15 $4,333.36 +$93.76
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.10 253 $4,327.31
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $16.57 253 $4,192.21 $4,198.26 $-135.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:50am ET $16.80 249 $4,181.96
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.27 249 $4,051.23 $4,067.54 $-130.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.23 267 $4,065.08
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $15.56 267 $4,153.19 $4,155.65 +$88.11
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $15.02 276 $4,145.52
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.34 276 $4,233.84 $4,243.97 +$88.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.36 276 $4,239.86
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $15.67 276 $4,324.92 $4,329.03 +$85.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:55am ET $15.22 284 $4,321.06
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $14.71 284 $4,178.21 $4,186.18 $-142.85
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $14.94 280 $4,184.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:55am ET $15.25 280 $4,270.03 $4,271.61 +$85.43
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET $15.11 282 $4,262.43
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $15.45 282 $4,356.90 $4,366.08 +$94.47
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $15.44 282 $4,354.08
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $15.77 282 $4,445.73 $4,457.73 +$91.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.78 265 $4,446.73
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $16.24 265 $4,303.60 $4,314.60 $-143.13
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $15.84 272 $4,308.48
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $15.36 272 $4,177.92 $4,184.04 $-130.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $14.84 281 $4,170.01
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:25am ET $15.16 281 $4,259.96 $4,273.99 +$89.95
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:00am ET $15.65 273 $4,273.65
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.97 273 $4,359.81 $4,360.15 +$86.16
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $15.61 279 $4,356.58
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $16.77 279 $4,678.80 $4,682.37 +$322.22
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $15.19 308 $4,678.52
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET $15.52 308 $4,778.62 $4,782.47 +$100.10
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $15.82 302 $4,779.15
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $16.33 302 $4,930.15 $4,933.47 +$151.00
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $15.60 316 $4,929.60
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $15.07 316 $4,762.12 $4,765.99 $-167.48
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.43 330 $4,761.90
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:10am ET $14.77 330 $4,875.75 $4,879.84 +$113.85
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $15.20 320 $4,865.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $15.57 320 $4,984.00 $4,998.24 +$118.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $15.10 331 $4,998.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:40am ET $14.62 331 $4,839.22 $4,839.36 $-158.88
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.35 315 $4,833.68
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $15.71 315 $4,948.65 $4,954.33 +$114.97
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $15.53 319 $4,954.07
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $15.86 319 $5,060.93 $5,061.20 +$106.87
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.94 317 $5,053.04
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:00am ET $16.26 317 $5,156.00 $5,164.16 +$102.96
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $16.98 304 $5,160.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $17.32 304 $5,265.28 $5,269.04 +$104.88
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $16.83 312 $5,252.52
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $17.19 312 $5,361.88 $5,378.40 +$109.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $17.56 306 $5,371.83
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $17.92 306 $5,483.52 $5,490.09 +$111.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.12 320 $5,478.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $16.50 320 $5,280.00 $5,291.69 $-198.40
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $16.67 317 $5,285.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $16.14 317 $5,114.80 $5,120.51 $-171.18
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $15.98 320 $5,112.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $16.34 320 $5,228.80 $5,237.31 +$116.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
66 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:30am ET $15.40 340 $5,236.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $14.70 340 $4,997.97 $4,999.28 $-238.03
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
67 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $14.94 334 $4,989.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.49 334 $4,839.66 $4,848.98 $-150.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,848.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,151.02
Total Return: -51.51%
Back to Rebel Contraire