Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 12.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

67
+22.7%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.0 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+55 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,140
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,058.93
Current Value
$9,000.16
Period P&L
$1,941.23
Max Drawdown
-63.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
39 / 26
Best Trade
+14.78%
Worst Trade
-8.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$988,702.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,941.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,941.23
Gross Return
+27.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $7,058.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $40.13 175 $7,022.38
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $40.93 175 $7,163.49 $7,200.05 +$141.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:10pm ET $38.98 184 $7,171.40
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:45pm ET $37.79 184 $6,952.44 $6,981.09 $-218.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.10 198 $6,949.80
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $35.92 198 $7,112.16 $7,143.45 +$162.36
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $34.57 206 $7,121.40
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 1:15pm ET $35.35 206 $7,282.10 $7,304.15 +$160.70
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:15pm ET $33.35 219 $7,303.65
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $34.03 219 $7,452.57 $7,453.07 +$148.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $31.52 236 $7,438.72
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $32.22 236 $7,603.92 $7,618.27 +$165.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET $32.17 236 $7,592.12
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET $32.94 236 $7,772.66 $7,798.81 +$180.54
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:15pm ET $32.28 241 $7,778.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $33.11 241 $7,979.51 $8,000.04 +$201.24
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:05pm ET $33.32 240 $7,995.60
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $34.07 240 $8,176.80 $8,181.24 +$181.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:50am ET $33.03 247 $8,158.41
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:40am ET $33.71 247 $8,326.22 $8,349.05 +$167.81
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:40pm ET $34.12 244 $8,324.06
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $35.14 244 $8,574.16 $8,599.15 +$250.10
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET $34.75 247 $8,583.23
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET $33.71 247 $8,325.14 $8,341.06 $-258.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:50am ET $34.04 245 $8,338.58
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $32.86 245 $8,050.68 $8,053.16 $-287.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:35am ET $31.66 254 $8,041.64
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $30.62 254 $7,777.48 $7,789.00 $-264.16
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:00am ET $30.11 258 $7,768.38
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $29.18 258 $7,528.44 $7,549.06 $-239.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:30am ET $31.19 242 $7,546.77
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET $30.19 242 $7,304.77 $7,307.06 $-242.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:55am ET $30.53 239 $7,295.48
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET $29.53 239 $7,056.48 $7,068.06 $-239.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $30.71 230 $7,062.15
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $31.33 230 $7,204.75 $7,210.66 +$142.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $30.22 238 $7,191.17
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $29.29 238 $6,969.93 $6,989.42 $-221.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $29.61 236 $6,989.05
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $30.29 236 $7,147.76 $7,148.13 +$158.71
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:50am ET $30.27 236 $7,143.72
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $29.20 236 $6,890.02 $6,894.43 $-253.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET $28.40 242 $6,871.59
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.02 242 $7,022.84 $7,045.68 +$151.25
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $31.19 225 $7,017.75
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:50am ET $31.92 225 $7,182.00 $7,209.93 +$164.25
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET $31.26 230 $7,189.80
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET $31.89 230 $7,334.70 $7,354.83 +$144.90
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $33.08 222 $7,343.76
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET $31.94 222 $7,090.68 $7,101.75 $-253.08
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $31.05 228 $7,078.26
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $30.02 228 $6,844.56 $6,868.05 $-233.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:05am ET $31.64 217 $6,864.80
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $30.48 217 $6,614.16 $6,617.41 $-250.64
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $29.87 221 $6,600.17
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.94 221 $6,395.76 $6,413.01 $-204.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $29.24 219 $6,403.21
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 219 $7,349.64 $7,359.44 +$946.43
(+14.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $31.68 232 $7,349.76
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $30.61 232 $7,101.59 $7,111.27 $-248.17
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $34.08 208 $7,087.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $32.86 208 $6,834.88 $6,858.55 $-252.72
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $33.93 202 $6,852.89
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $33.92 202 $6,851.82 $6,857.48 $-1.07
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
6m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $29.67 231 $6,853.77
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $30.45 231 $7,033.95 $7,037.66 +$180.18
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $30.31 232 $7,031.92
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.36 232 $6,811.52 $6,817.26 $-220.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $31.75 214 $6,794.48
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:35am ET $32.50 214 $6,955.00 $6,977.78 +$160.52
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $31.28 223 $6,975.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $32.04 223 $7,144.92 $7,147.26 +$169.48
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $31.79 224 $7,121.30
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET $32.43 224 $7,264.32 $7,290.28 +$143.02
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 11:35am ET $31.12 234 $7,281.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $31.76 234 $7,433.01 $7,442.19 +$151.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $30.43 244 $7,426.14
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $31.14 244 $7,598.16 $7,614.21 +$172.02
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $32.44 234 $7,591.19
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $33.10 234 $7,746.57 $7,769.59 +$155.38
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:45am ET $31.64 245 $7,751.33
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $32.36 245 $7,928.18 $7,946.43 +$176.84
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $31.11 255 $7,934.32
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $31.91 255 $8,136.06 $8,148.16 +$201.73
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $31.90 255 $8,134.47
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $32.76 255 $8,355.07 $8,368.76 +$220.60
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $31.65 264 $8,355.60
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET $30.53 264 $8,061.24 $8,074.40 $-294.36
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $31.68 254 $8,047.89
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $32.45 254 $8,242.30 $8,268.81 +$194.41
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $31.21 264 $8,239.44
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $30.05 264 $7,933.20 $7,962.57 $-306.24
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $22.41 355 $7,953.78
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $21.67 355 $7,693.56 $7,702.35 $-260.21
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $21.84 352 $7,689.44
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $21.12 352 $7,434.24 $7,447.15 $-255.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $23.45 317 $7,435.23
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $24.06 317 $7,625.44 $7,637.35 +$190.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $22.37 341 $7,628.17
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $21.60 341 $7,365.60 $7,374.78 $-262.57
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:20am ET $21.75 339 $7,371.56
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $21.08 339 $7,147.81 $7,151.04 $-223.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $22.50 317 $7,132.50
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $23.11 317 $7,327.23 $7,345.77 +$194.73
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $22.02 333 $7,334.32
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $22.70 333 $7,560.76 $7,572.21 +$226.44
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $22.49 336 $7,556.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 336 $8,074.08 $8,089.65 +$517.44
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $23.44 345 $8,086.80
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $23.94 345 $8,261.02 $8,263.87 +$174.22
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $24.51 337 $8,261.22
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $25.00 337 $8,426.68 $8,429.34 +$165.47
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
25m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET $27.28 308 $8,402.24
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $27.91 308 $8,596.28 $8,623.38 +$194.04
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $28.33 304 $8,613.84
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $29.08 304 $8,840.32 $8,849.86 +$226.48
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $29.01 305 $8,848.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 305 $8,085.55 $8,087.33 $-762.53
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:00am ET $28.17 287 $8,086.20
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $28.92 287 $8,298.61 $8,299.74 +$212.41
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET $27.91 297 $8,289.27
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $26.73 297 $7,937.33 $7,947.80 $-351.94
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $25.88 307 $7,945.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $26.49 307 $8,130.90 $8,133.54 +$185.74
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.35 297 $8,122.95
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $28.11 297 $8,348.67 $8,359.26 +$225.72
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
64 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $28.21 296 $8,350.16
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 296 $9,282.56 $9,291.66 +$932.40
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
65 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:10am ET $34.94 265 $9,259.10
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $33.84 265 $8,967.60 $9,000.16 $-291.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,000.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-999.84
Total Return: -10.00%
Back to Rebel Contraire