Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 02:24:43

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

14
-1.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,945
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,974.99
Current Value
$7,470.13
Period P&L
$-4,504.86
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
28 / 32
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-11.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,117,637.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,504.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,504.86
Gross Return
-37.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,974.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:40pm ET $27.36 437 $11,956.10
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $27.06 437 $11,823.04 $11,841.91 $-133.07
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET $26.74 442 $11,816.87
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $25.86 442 $11,430.12 $11,455.16 $-386.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.56 387 $11,439.68
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $28.56 387 $11,050.79 $11,066.27 $-388.90
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $26.52 417 $11,056.76
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.05 417 $11,278.81 $11,288.32 +$222.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $27.79 406 $11,282.54
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $26.78 406 $10,872.68 $10,878.46 $-409.86
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $26.52 410 $10,871.15
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.15 410 $11,131.50 $11,138.81 +$260.35
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET $26.66 417 $11,115.14
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET $27.23 417 $11,354.95 $11,378.63 +$239.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $26.63 427 $11,371.01
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $25.78 427 $11,006.14 $11,013.76 $-364.87
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $25.58 430 $10,999.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $26.23 430 $11,278.43 $11,292.79 +$279.03
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET $25.74 438 $11,275.52
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $26.29 438 $11,512.83 $11,530.09 +$237.31
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $25.67 449 $11,525.07
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $24.86 449 $11,159.90 $11,164.92 $-365.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $24.27 460 $11,164.20
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $24.79 460 $11,403.86 $11,404.58 +$239.66
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $22.52 506 $11,395.98
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $21.81 506 $11,036.72 $11,045.32 $-359.26
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $20.43 540 $11,034.90
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $19.73 540 $10,654.20 $10,664.62 $-380.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $20.95 508 $10,645.14
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $21.49 508 $10,914.38 $10,933.86 +$269.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.64 505 $10,925.68
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $21.67 505 $10,945.87 $10,954.06 +$20.20
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $19.69 556 $10,950.42
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $19.10 556 $10,619.60 $10,623.24 $-330.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $18.76 566 $10,620.25
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $18.18 566 $10,289.82 $10,292.81 $-330.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:45am ET $18.41 559 $10,288.40
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $19.19 559 $10,727.21 $10,731.62 +$438.81
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $19.27 556 $10,716.90
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 556 $10,075.83 $10,090.55 $-641.07
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:55am ET $17.82 566 $10,086.12
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.18 566 $10,289.88 $10,294.31 +$203.76
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.81 547 $10,286.34
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $19.19 547 $10,499.66 $10,507.64 +$213.33
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $19.27 545 $10,504.87
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $18.48 545 $10,071.60 $10,074.36 $-433.28
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $18.36 548 $10,061.28
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $17.77 548 $9,738.89 $9,751.97 $-322.39
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $18.50 526 $9,733.63
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:25am ET $17.94 526 $9,439.07 $9,457.41 $-294.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $17.83 530 $9,449.90
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.24 530 $9,137.15 $9,144.66 $-312.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $17.42 525 $9,142.88
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $16.79 525 $8,814.75 $8,816.54 $-328.13
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $16.90 521 $8,804.90
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 11:50am ET $17.25 521 $8,987.25 $8,998.89 +$182.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $17.04 528 $8,997.12
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $16.52 528 $8,725.20 $8,726.97 $-271.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET $16.78 519 $8,711.41
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.25 519 $8,433.75 $8,449.31 $-277.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $15.57 542 $8,438.94
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:25am ET $15.10 542 $8,181.49 $8,191.86 $-257.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:35am ET $15.58 525 $8,179.45
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.96 525 $8,377.58 $8,390.00 +$198.14
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.88 528 $8,382.16
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $15.18 528 $8,015.04 $8,022.88 $-367.12
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $16.23 494 $8,015.15
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 494 $8,746.27 $8,754.00 +$731.12
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $16.16 541 $8,739.86
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $16.55 541 $8,953.55 $8,967.69 +$213.69
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $17.96 499 $8,962.09
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $18.46 499 $9,211.54 $9,217.14 +$249.45
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $18.82 489 $9,202.44
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $19.23 489 $9,401.03 $9,415.72 +$198.58
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $19.86 473 $9,396.14
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $19.22 473 $9,090.07 $9,109.64 $-306.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $19.32 471 $9,097.37
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $18.72 471 $8,817.12 $8,829.39 $-280.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $18.25 483 $8,812.34
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $18.63 483 $8,996.17 $9,013.22 +$183.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $18.68 482 $9,003.76
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 482 $7,943.36 $7,952.82 $-1,060.40
(-11.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET $15.98 497 $7,941.46
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $16.34 497 $8,123.46 $8,134.82 +$182.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
43 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $16.73 486 $8,128.35
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $16.17 486 $7,858.62 $7,865.09 $-269.73
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
44 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $16.11 488 $7,863.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $16.47 488 $8,034.92 $8,036.62 +$171.53
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
45 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:15am ET $16.34 491 $8,022.94
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $15.77 491 $7,745.52 $7,759.20 $-277.42
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
46 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:35am ET $16.11 481 $7,748.86
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.59 481 $7,496.39 $7,506.72 $-252.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
47 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $15.39 487 $7,492.50
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $15.73 487 $7,658.08 $7,672.30 +$165.58
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
48 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $15.48 495 $7,665.07
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $15.81 495 $7,828.42 $7,835.65 +$163.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
49 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.60 502 $7,828.69
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:25am ET $15.13 502 $7,592.75 $7,599.71 $-235.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
50 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:15am ET $15.50 490 $7,594.95
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $15.90 490 $7,793.45 $7,798.21 +$198.50
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
51 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:40am ET $16.12 483 $7,785.96
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $16.51 483 $7,974.33 $7,986.58 +$188.37
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
52 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:15am ET $16.57 481 $7,970.17
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.92 481 $8,139.19 $8,155.60 +$169.02
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
53 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.39 443 $8,146.73
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $17.74 443 $7,859.66 $7,868.54 $-287.06
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $17.92 438 $7,851.15
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $17.09 438 $7,485.16 $7,502.55 $-365.99
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET $17.02 440 $7,491.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $16.46 440 $7,242.40 $7,253.95 $-248.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.48 440 $7,249.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $16.85 440 $7,416.20 $7,421.15 +$167.20
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $16.43 451 $7,409.97
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.94 451 $7,186.69 $7,197.86 $-223.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
58 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $16.53 435 $7,190.55
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $17.31 435 $7,527.68 $7,534.98 +$337.12
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
59 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $17.55 429 $7,526.85
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $17.95 429 $7,702.69 $7,710.83 +$175.85
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $18.57 415 $7,704.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.99 415 $7,463.78 $7,470.13 $-240.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,470.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,529.87
Total Return: -25.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire