Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:23:10

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.8/35
Total Return
16.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 43.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.8

30-Day Momentum

35
+5.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.7 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,777
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,633.55
Current Value
$20,543.04
Period P&L
$-90.46
Max Drawdown
-33.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
40 / 30
Best Trade
+10.19%
Worst Trade
-11.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
19.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,912,598.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-90.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-90.46
Gross Return
-0.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,633.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 2:55pm ET $43.85 475 $20,828.37
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.89 475 $18,945.61 $18,954.61 $-1,882.76
(-9.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $44.85 422 $18,926.70
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.29 422 $17,846.38 $17,874.29 $-1,080.32
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:40pm ET $43.01 415 $17,849.19
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 415 $16,274.23 $16,299.33 $-1,574.97
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $35.54 458 $16,278.47
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:45am ET $36.28 458 $16,613.95 $16,634.81 +$335.49
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 1:35pm ET $34.32 484 $16,610.49
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $35.11 484 $16,993.24 $17,017.56 +$382.75
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:40am ET $30.71 554 $17,016.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:30pm ET $31.34 554 $17,362.36 $17,363.92 +$346.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:30am ET $35.94 483 $17,356.61
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $39.60 483 $19,124.39 $19,131.70 +$1,767.78
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET $41.29 463 $19,117.27
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $43.93 463 $20,337.28 $20,351.70 +$1,220.01
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $46.08 441 $20,321.28
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:20am ET $44.49 441 $19,620.09 $19,650.51 $-701.19
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:35am ET $46.49 422 $19,618.78
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $47.45 422 $20,023.90 $20,055.63 +$405.12
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET $47.70 420 $20,034.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $48.93 420 $20,550.60 $20,572.23 +$516.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:40am ET $49.34 416 $20,525.44
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $47.78 416 $19,876.48 $19,923.27 $-648.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $41.72 477 $19,900.39
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $39.95 477 $19,056.15 $19,079.03 $-844.24
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET $36.95 516 $19,066.20
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $38.86 516 $20,049.18 $20,062.01 +$982.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $43.19 464 $20,040.16
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $44.49 464 $20,642.71 $20,664.56 +$602.55
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:25pm ET $43.75 472 $20,650.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:05am ET $42.42 472 $20,022.29 $20,036.85 $-627.71
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $47.42 422 $20,011.20
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $48.93 422 $20,648.46 $20,674.11 +$637.26
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $53.85 383 $20,624.55
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $52.15 383 $19,973.45 $20,023.01 $-651.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:05am ET $49.57 403 $19,977.07
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $54.03 403 $21,774.09 $21,820.03 +$1,797.02
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $54.90 397 $21,793.32
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.41 397 $22,394.77 $22,421.48 +$601.45
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $55.07 407 $22,413.49
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 407 $24,329.65 $24,337.64 +$1,916.16
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET $60.95 399 $24,319.05
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 399 $22,912.58 $22,931.16 $-1,406.48
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $63.80 359 $22,904.38
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.56 359 $22,100.04 $22,126.83 $-804.34
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $60.89 363 $22,103.07
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $65.50 363 $23,776.50 $23,800.26 +$1,673.43
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $70.90 335 $23,751.50
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $72.39 335 $24,249.41 $24,298.17 +$497.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $68.65 353 $24,233.45
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 353 $22,509.05 $22,573.76 $-1,724.41
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $65.45 344 $22,514.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $66.81 344 $22,982.64 $23,041.60 +$467.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $57.54 400 $23,016.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.84 400 $23,536.00 $23,561.60 +$520.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.49 457 $23,530.93
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $53.78 457 $24,577.46 $24,608.13 +$1,046.53
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $58.07 423 $24,563.61
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $59.31 423 $25,088.13 $25,132.65 +$524.52
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
36m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $64.70 388 $25,103.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.72 388 $23,947.36 $23,976.41 $-1,156.24
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $67.38 355 $23,919.90
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $64.47 355 $22,886.85 $22,943.36 $-1,033.05
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $61.82 371 $22,935.22
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $59.90 371 $22,222.90 $22,231.04 $-712.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET $68.03 326 $22,176.64
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $65.67 326 $21,408.42 $21,462.82 $-768.22
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.86 336 $21,456.96
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $65.76 336 $22,095.36 $22,101.22 +$638.40
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $66.25 333 $22,061.85
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $64.11 333 $21,348.60 $21,387.97 $-713.25
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:30am ET $69.42 308 $21,379.82
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $71.14 308 $21,911.12 $21,919.27 +$531.30
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $66.18 331 $21,905.58
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $64.00 331 $21,184.03 $21,197.72 $-721.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 10:55am ET $62.67 338 $21,181.61
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 338 $19,661.46 $19,677.56 $-1,520.16
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $54.62 360 $19,663.99
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 360 $20,235.60 $20,249.17 +$571.61
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $56.10 360 $20,195.75
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $57.46 360 $20,685.38 $20,738.81 +$489.64
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:50am ET $51.94 399 $20,724.46
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET $53.08 399 $21,178.92 $21,193.27 +$454.46
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $50.27 421 $21,163.67
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $52.11 421 $21,938.31 $21,967.91 +$774.64
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.92 399 $21,913.08
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $56.60 399 $22,583.40 $22,638.23 +$670.32
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $52.86 428 $22,624.51
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $50.88 428 $21,776.60 $21,790.32 $-847.91
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:10am ET $52.93 411 $21,754.27
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $50.99 411 $20,958.94 $20,994.99 $-795.33
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $54.25 387 $20,994.21
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $55.51 387 $21,482.49 $21,483.27 +$488.28
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $54.53 393 $21,432.25
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $56.02 393 $22,015.86 $22,066.88 +$583.61
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $48.55 454 $22,041.70
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET $50.00 454 $22,700.00 $22,725.18 +$658.30
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $53.73 422 $22,674.06
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:25am ET $51.66 422 $21,800.52 $21,851.64 $-873.54
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:35am ET $56.10 389 $21,820.96
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $54.30 389 $21,122.70 $21,153.38 $-698.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $54.97 384 $21,108.48
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $56.46 384 $21,680.64 $21,725.54 +$572.16
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $54.13 401 $21,706.13
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $52.22 401 $20,942.22 $20,961.63 $-763.91
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $48.21 434 $20,920.97
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $46.60 434 $20,223.31 $20,263.97 $-697.66
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $40.42 501 $20,247.92
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 501 $21,455.33 $21,471.38 +$1,207.41
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $53.02 404 $21,420.12
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 404 $19,036.48 $19,087.74 $-2,383.64
(-11.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $54.53 350 $19,085.54
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $52.67 350 $18,434.50 $18,436.70 $-651.04
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $66.85 275 $18,383.75
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $68.78 275 $18,914.53 $18,967.48 +$530.78
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:45am ET $76.84 246 $18,902.64
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $78.54 246 $19,320.84 $19,385.68 +$418.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $84.07 230 $19,336.10
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $81.39 230 $18,718.55 $18,768.13 $-617.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $87.92 213 $18,726.96
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $92.75 213 $19,755.75 $19,796.92 +$1,028.79
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $93.82 211 $19,796.02
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $95.77 211 $20,207.47 $20,208.37 +$411.45
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $99.11 203 $20,119.33
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $102.94 203 $20,896.82 $20,985.86 +$777.49
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:45am ET $115.87 181 $20,972.47
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $111.49 181 $20,178.79 $20,192.17 $-793.69
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $128.47 157 $20,169.79
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $122.00 157 $19,154.47 $19,176.85 $-1,015.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $110.35 173 $19,090.53
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $106.09 173 $18,353.57 $18,439.89 $-736.96
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $116.46 158 $18,399.89
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $121.85 158 $19,252.30 $19,292.30 +$852.41
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
68 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $128.43 150 $19,264.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $131.08 150 $19,662.00 $19,689.80 +$397.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
69 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:40am ET $140.63 140 $19,688.90
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $143.74 140 $20,124.30 $20,125.20 +$435.40
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
35m held
70 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $158.16 127 $20,086.31
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:30am ET $161.45 127 $20,504.15 $20,543.04 +$417.84
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,543.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,543.04
Total Return: +105.43%
Back to Rebel Contraire