TQQQ Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-14 to present • 52 trades in period
-36.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,356.50
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$13,204.53
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,524
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,204.53
Current Value
$8,356.50
Period P&L
$-4,847.99
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
23 /
29
Best Trade
+3.49%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.83%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,148,298.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,847.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,847.99
Gross Return
-36.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,204.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 11:55am ET | $47.32 | 278 | $13,154.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 11:55am ET | $46.28 | 278 | $12,866.42 | $12,897.89 |
$-288.54 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 11:55am ET | $45.19 | 285 | $12,878.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:40am ET | $43.82 | 285 | $12,489.41 | $12,508.81 |
$-389.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $43.53 | 287 | $12,491.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.74 | 287 | $12,838.95 | $12,855.99 |
+$347.18 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 11:35am ET | $45.35 | 283 | $12,834.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 12:25pm ET | $46.29 | 283 | $13,100.07 | $13,121.28 |
+$265.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 2:20pm ET | $44.54 | 294 | $13,094.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.45 | 294 | $12,478.83 | $12,505.35 |
$-615.93 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:00am ET | $44.85 | 278 | $12,466.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.76 | 278 | $12,721.28 | $12,759.72 |
+$254.37 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $46.64 | 273 | $12,731.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $47.62 | 273 | $13,000.26 | $13,028.62 |
+$268.91 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:40am ET | $47.84 | 272 | $13,011.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.97 | 272 | $13,319.16 | $13,335.98 |
+$307.36 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 11:30am ET | $49.40 | 269 | $13,287.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $47.90 | 269 | $12,886.04 | $12,934.77 |
$-401.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $50.60 | 255 | $12,903.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $51.62 | 255 | $13,164.25 | $13,196.02 |
+$261.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:35am ET | $52.02 | 253 | $13,161.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET | $50.32 | 253 | $12,729.70 | $12,763.94 |
$-432.07 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 12:00pm ET | $50.28 | 253 | $12,721.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.52 | 253 | $13,035.19 | $13,078.12 |
+$314.18 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $51.11 | 255 | $13,031.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $52.17 | 255 | $13,302.71 | $13,348.88 |
+$270.76 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:15pm ET | $53.10 | 251 | $13,328.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:15pm ET | $52.61 | 251 | $13,204.83 | $13,225.61 |
$-123.27 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.26 | 243 | $13,185.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.53 | 243 | $12,764.79 | $12,805.22 |
$-420.39 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $51.49 | 248 | $12,769.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.38 | 248 | $12,246.24 | $12,281.97 |
$-523.26 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:45am ET | $52.59 | 233 | $12,254.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:05pm ET | $50.79 | 233 | $11,833.42 | $11,861.33 |
$-420.63 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 1:40pm ET | $51.29 | 231 | $11,848.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:10pm ET | $52.35 | 231 | $12,093.43 | $12,106.26 |
+$244.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:15pm ET | $53.98 | 224 | $12,091.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:25am ET | $52.21 | 224 | $11,693.92 | $11,708.66 |
$-397.60 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $53.28 | 219 | $11,668.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.14 | 219 | $12,075.66 | $12,115.47 |
+$406.81 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 10:55am ET | $57.54 | 210 | $12,083.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $58.96 | 210 | $12,380.55 | $12,412.62 |
+$297.15 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $60.25 | 206 | $12,410.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $58.17 | 206 | $11,983.54 | $11,985.69 |
$-426.94 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:45am ET | $59.16 | 202 | $11,949.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.23 | 202 | $11,358.46 | $11,394.84 |
$-590.85 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 12:05pm ET | $56.69 | 201 | $11,394.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.49 | 201 | $10,952.49 | $10,952.64 |
$-442.20 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $50.99 | 214 | $10,911.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET | $52.06 | 214 | $11,140.84 | $11,181.62 |
+$228.98 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.71 | 200 | $11,142.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.03 | 200 | $10,806.50 | $10,846.12 |
$-335.50 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 2:05pm ET | $52.59 | 206 | $10,833.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $50.95 | 206 | $10,494.67 | $10,507.25 |
$-338.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $49.87 | 210 | $10,472.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.02 | 210 | $10,713.15 | $10,747.70 |
+$240.45 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:55am ET | $52.66 | 204 | $10,741.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $50.89 | 204 | $10,381.56 | $10,387.52 |
$-360.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $47.69 | 217 | $10,347.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:00pm ET | $48.67 | 217 | $10,561.37 | $10,601.24 |
+$213.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:30pm ET | $51.00 | 207 | $10,556.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $49.26 | 207 | $10,196.51 | $10,240.77 |
$-360.47 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:55pm ET | $53.63 | 190 | $10,190.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:55pm ET | $54.37 | 190 | $10,329.35 | $10,379.57 |
+$138.80 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:35pm ET | $54.92 | 188 | $10,324.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.37 | 188 | $10,596.62 | $10,651.21 |
+$271.64 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $56.21 | 189 | $10,623.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $54.27 | 189 | $10,257.03 | $10,284.55 |
$-366.66 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $54.28 | 189 | $10,258.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.60 | 189 | $9,941.40 | $9,967.03 |
$-317.52 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:40am ET | $52.36 | 190 | $9,948.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $50.61 | 190 | $9,615.90 | $9,634.53 |
$-332.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $51.53 | 186 | $9,584.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.77 | 186 | $9,815.22 | $9,865.17 |
+$230.64 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $54.35 | 181 | $9,837.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.54 | 181 | $10,051.84 | $10,079.65 |
+$214.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $54.46 | 185 | $10,075.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.71 | 185 | $9,751.35 | $9,755.83 |
$-323.82 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.85 | 181 | $9,746.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $54.94 | 181 | $9,943.24 | $9,952.21 |
+$196.39 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $55.93 | 177 | $9,899.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.19 | 177 | $9,591.63 | $9,644.23 |
$-307.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $54.77 | 176 | $9,639.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $55.87 | 176 | $9,833.37 | $9,838.08 |
+$193.85 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $56.10 | 175 | $9,817.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.28 | 175 | $9,498.13 | $9,518.70 |
$-319.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.04 | 172 | $9,466.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.05 | 172 | $8,952.27 | $9,004.10 |
$-514.61 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $52.62 | 171 | $8,998.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $50.83 | 171 | $8,691.30 | $8,697.37 |
$-306.72 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $54.12 | 160 | $8,658.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.25 | 160 | $8,839.20 | $8,878.17 |
+$180.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $56.57 | 156 | $8,824.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.93 | 156 | $9,037.08 | $9,090.35 |
+$212.18 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.76 | 163 | $9,088.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.85 | 163 | $8,777.55 | $8,779.02 |
$-311.33 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $55.05 | 159 | $8,752.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $53.22 | 159 | $8,461.98 | $8,488.85 |
$-290.17 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $50.17 | 169 | $8,479.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $48.63 | 169 | $8,218.47 | $8,227.74 |
$-261.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $48.47 | 169 | $8,192.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $49.48 | 169 | $8,362.09 | $8,397.55 |
+$169.81 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET | $52.15 | 161 | $8,396.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $51.90 | 161 | $8,355.10 | $8,356.50 |
$-41.06 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,356.50
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,643.50
Total Return:
-16.43%